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2Q08 Germany Mobile Forecast, 2008 - 2010: Declines in EBITDA Margins forecasted by IEMR for T-Mobile (Germany) and D2 (Vodafone) in the German mobile operator market


Published Date: April 2008
Published By: IE Market Research Corp.
Order Code: R735-346
 
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IEMR’s Mobile Forecast on Germany provides over 65 operational and financial metrics for the Germany wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 4Q2003 and ending in 4Q2007. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Germany include: T-Mobile, D2 (Vodafone), E-Plus, O2. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Notable highlights of the 2Q08 Germany Mobile Forecast include:
  • The number of total subscribers in Germany will increase from 101.5 million to 105.4 million during the forecast period of 2008 - 2010. The wireless penetration level will continue to increase. We are now forecasting a wireless penetration level of 128.6% (reflecting a large increase from our previous forecast of 113%) in 2010.
  • We are forecasting market shares (by subscribers) of major operators to remain roughly the same over the next several years in Germany. T-Mobile, D2 (Vodafone), E-Plus and O2 will continue to have approximately their current market share levels.
  • In 2010, we are predicting that O2 will generate the highest ARPU of $32.78 per month while T-Mobile will generate the lowest ARPU of $24.06 per month.
  • We are now forecasting that the two largest operators, T-Mobile and D2 (Vodafone), will see some declines in EBITDA margins over the forecast period, averaging 38.3% and 41.3% in 2010.
Please note: This is delivered as an Excel file.

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