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2Q08 Malaysia Mobile Forecast, 2008 - 2010: Celcom to lose market share to Maxis and DiGi.com in Malaysia’s wireless operator space
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IEMR’s Mobile Forecast on Malaysia provides over 65 operational and financial metrics for the Malaysia wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 4Q2003 and ending in 4Q2007. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Malaysia include: Maxis, Celcom, and DiGi.Com. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 Malaysia Mobile Forecast include:- The wireless penetration level in Malaysia will continue to increase and will reach 96.8% in 2010.
- The level of market concentration in Malaysia, as measured by the HHI index, will stay the same over the next several years. However, we expect that Celcom will be losing subscribers to Maxis and DiGi.Com. We forecast that Celcom’s market share will drop from 30.2% to 28.4% while that of DiGi.Com will increase from 28.6% to 29.8% over the forecast period from 2008 to 2010.
- The number of subscribers in Malaysia will increase from our projected 25.0 million in 2008 to our forecasted 28.1 million in 2010. In the process, operators will enjoy high subscriber growth rates. Maxis, Celcom and DiGi.Com will have subscriber growth of 14.2%, 5.9% and 17.2% respectively over the forecast period of 2008 - 2010.
- In 2010, Maxis will receive the highest ARPU of US$ 21.76 per month while DiGi.Com will receive the lowest ARPU in the country at US$18.96 per month.
Please note: This is delivered as an Excel file.
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