The Global Outlook for Chemicals and Materials in Compound Semiconductors,

The Global Outlook for Chemicals and Materials in Compound Semiconductors, 2002-2007

Published Date: October 2003

Published By: Kline & Company, Inc.

Order Code: R379-0118

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Compound semiconductors are used in many types of communications and photonic devices. The total market for these devices is approximately $11 billion in 2003 and is growing rapidly. Wireless devices, light-emitting diodes, lasers, UV detectors, solar cells, and many other types of photonic devices rely on compound semiconductors. Compared to conventional silicon-based semiconductors, compound semiconductors produce integrated circuits that are:

Faster
Operable to higher frequencies (hence, greater bandwidth)
Capable of emitting or detecting visible light and infrared radiation
Radiation-resistant
Heat-resistant

There are many types of compound semiconductors being produced commercially. The main categories, which will be the subject of exhaustive analysis in this report, include:

Combinations of Group IV elements, such as
Combinations of Group III with Group V elements, including

Using information garnered from interviews with device fabricators, tool producers, materials suppliers, and other value chain participants and market makers around the world, Kline has profiled the markets for these compound semiconductors, as well as the critical and ancillary materials needed to produce them. Ancillaries include photoresists, etchants, and cleaning compounds. The profiles include segmented estimates of volume of production, market value, growth, and supplier shares.

In the preparation of its market projections, Kline has employed a forecast model that takes into account changes in device fabrication techniques expected in the years to come. In assembling the model, Kline has undertaken an extensive assessment of technological as well as economic trends.

BACKGROUND

Compound semiconductors have been around for many years, but the market is minor compared to silicon-based chips. They are more expensive to build, melting points are lower (which compromises fabrication), and they lack a natural oxide that can serve as a dielectric medium. The basic boules from which wafers are cut are much smaller in diameter, and some compounds such as gallium nitride are not at all available in bulk boules. As a result, semiconductor processing has gone overwhelmingly to silicon.

But compound chips have some valuable advantages: They can react to microwaves in real time, converting them to electrical signals; they emit light; and they withstand radiation (a property put to good use in satellite circuitry) and extreme operating temperatures.

Superior performance in photonics, however, explains most of the current excitement over compound semiconductors.

Applications exist today that were not around when gallium arsenide was first developed, especially digital display appliances and mobile communications. The market has caught up to this technology, and compound semiconductors are finally poised for strong growth-growth that should exceed that of silicon-based integrated circuits in the years to come.

Understanding the market for consumables in compound semicondustors can assist suppliers and other companies in developing the strategies needed to win in this market.

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Kline has employed a proven approach to this study in order to gather, analyze, and confirm the informational inputs that are required to construct a comprehensive report for THE GLOBAL OUTLOOK FOR CHEMICALS AND MATERIALS IN COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS, 2002-2007. The components of this multi-method approach include the following:

Field interviews
The foundation of information and insight needed to complete these studies has been developed through an extensive series of field interviews with key industry participants in Europe, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States, including (1) leading electronic device and semiconductor manufacturers, (2) manufacturers of consumables and process equipment, and (3) all pertinent government agencies and trade factors.
Analysis of key insights and industry trends
Technology, economic, market, and supply factors has been be analyzed to assess the current industry structure and to identify key trends. During this analysis, we have utilized knowledge and expertise from our previous programs to realistically predict likely future process scenarios.
Market modeling
Kline has applied the knowledge gained through primary research and a review of technical and trade literature with a proprietary modeling algorithm that takes individual process steps into account for purposes of a bottoms-up transformation of chip counts to raw material consumption.
Technical experts
Kline has engaged a technical adviser for this report. Previously published studies in Kline's series on semiconductor materials relied on the advice of process technology managers from fabricating companies. It should be noted, however, that experts participating in this study do so on an individual basis, not as representatives of their companies.

SUBSCRIPTION TERMS AND PRIVILEGES

THE GLOBAL OUTLOOK FOR CHEMICALS AND MATERIALS IN COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS, 2002-2007 is available only by subscription. In order to maximize the value and usefulness of this report to each subscriber, the following privileges and services will be made available:

One day of consultation with members of the project team. This meeting can be scheduled at the Kline Group's offices in Little Falls, NJ, or Brussels, Belgium, to be used at the client's discretion within three months of receipt of the report. This meeting can be used as a company specific work session to help each subscriber obtain maximum value from the program.
The option of hard copy or online versions of the report. Subscribers can elect to receive three hard copies of the report or, alternatively, the online version. The online version includes unlimited online access to the report contents for members of the subscribing company plus one hard copy. Additional hard copies will be made available for a nominal fee. Details regarding subscription options and rates are described in the attached subscription agreement.

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