Base stations will have a 30.4% compound annual growth rate for the forecast period 2000 through 2004. The data presented in this report includes 800 MHz and 900 MHz cellular, 1800 MHz and 1900 MHz PCS, PDC and PCS base stations. It does not include micro or pico base station deployments, nor does it include any 3G deployment, which will be covered in a separate report, when infrastructure deployment begins in 2001.
Over the next four years, the South American share of the Americas market will rise dramatically from 21.8% to 50.2% and in Europe, where GSM/DCS-1800 tends to dominate, share of market will decrease by 10%. Here, In-Stat observes a significant year-to-year decline of analog, to the point of virtual non-existence after 2001 with DCS-1800 growing at a faster rate than GSM-900.
In-Stat has also found that:
- In 2000, Japan will have 8.6% of the total worldwide base stations, decreasing to 3.7% in 2004.
- Russia remains one of the few geographic areas to enjoy significant analog growth, peaking early in 2004 and then beginning a moderate decline as digital technology begins to take over, representing an opportunity for the "recycling" of analog infrastructure and handsets.
- Dynamic growth in RoW is anticipated through 2004, and beyond, in order to meet the anticipated surge in new subscribers in emerging third-world nations. This growth will remain unabated for the foreseeable future. China is expected to contribute heavily to this growth.
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