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Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia Mobile Phones Forecast and Analysis, 2003-2008

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: IDC
Published: January 2004
Product Code: R104-14336
Description
This study sizes the market for mobile handsets in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States and Mongolia over the period 2003-2008. It provides breakdowns by air interface (GSM, CDMA 800, CDMA 450, UMTS, (D)AMPS, and NMT 450). Breakdowns are given for each individual country. In addition, for each nation the GSM market is further sub-divided between main city and the rest of the country. "While this region encompasses handset markets that are reaching maturity, most are in their major growth phase. The key such countries, notably Russia, will have a significant place in the next few years in determining success among vendors in the increasingly competitive global market for mobile phones." Simon Baker, Research Analyst, IDC Russia
Table of Contents


Table of Contents


IDC Opinion


In This Study


Methodology


Executive Summary


Situation Overview


Central and Eastern Europe Economic Overview


EU Accession Countries


Economic Outlook


Other CEE Countries


Economic Outlook


Russia and The Commonwealth of independent States (CIS)


Economic Outlook


Table: Annual Change in Real GDP (%) in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2000-2004


Table: Consumer Price Index (%Change Over Previous Year) in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2000-2004


Table: GDP Per Capita, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) (current international $ - mid-year 2003) in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2000-2004


Table: Household Final Consumption Expenditure Per Capita (Constant 1995 US$) in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2000-2004


Table: Household Final Consumption Expenditure Per Capita Growth (% Over Previous Year) in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2000-2004


Table: Urbanization Level (% of total population) in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2001


Table: Population of Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2003 and 2008


Table: GSM Operators and Frequency Bands in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS, 2003


Overview of the Mobile Handset Market in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS


Table: Handset Sales by Technology in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS, 2003


The GSM Market


Table: GSM Handset Sales in CEE, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2003


Central and Eastern Europe


Table: GSM Handset Sales in EU Accession States, 2003


Other CEE Countries


Table: GSM Handset Sales in Rest of CEE, 2003


Russia


Table: GSM Handset Sales in the CIS, 2003


The CIS and Mongolia


Other Standards


Table: Total CDMA Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS, 2003


Table: CDMA 800 Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS, 2003


Table: CDMA 450 Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS, 2003


Table: AMPS/TDMA Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS, 2003


Central and Eastern Europe


Russia


The CIS and Mongolia


Future Outlook


Forecast and Assumptions


Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the mobile handset market in the CEE, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2003-2008


Forecast of the Mobile Handset Market in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the CIS and Mongolia


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Handset Sales by Technology in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS, 2003-2008


The GSM Market


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Total Sales of GSM Handsets in CEE, Russia, the CIS and Mongolia, 2003-2008


Figure: Forecast of Shipments of GSM Handsets in EU Accession States, 2003-2008


EU Accession States


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in EU Accession States, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast of GSM Handset Sales in EU Accession States, 2008


Other CEE


Table: Forecast of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Rest of CEE, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast of GSM Handset Sales in Rest of CEE, 2008


Table: Forecast of GSM Handset Sales in CEE, Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2008


Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Russia, The CIS, and Mongolia, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast of GSM Handset Sales in Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia, 2008


Other Standards


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Total CDMA Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of CDMA 800 Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and CIS, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of CDMA 450 Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of AMPS/TDMA Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of UMTS Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS, 2003-2008


Figure: UMTS, CDMA 800, and CDMA 450 Handset Sales in Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and CIS, 2003-2008


Central and Eastern Europe


Russia, the CIS, and Mongolia


Significance of Main Cities


Table: GSM Mobile Users as % Population, 2003 and 2008


Table: Key Cities in GSM Handset Sales in CEE and CIS Countries, 2003 and 2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Poland by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in the Czech Republic by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Slovakia by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Hungary by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Estonia by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Latvia by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Lithuania by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Slovenia by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in CEE by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Bulgaria by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Romania by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Bulgaria by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Croatia by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Bosnia-Hercegovina by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Macedonia by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Montenegro by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Albania by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Kosovo by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Other CEE Countries by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Russia by Main Cities and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Ukraine by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Belarus by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Moldova by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Kazakhstan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Uzbekistan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Kyrgyzstan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Uzbekistan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Tajikistan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Azerbaijan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Azerbaijan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Azerbaijan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and analysis of Shipments of GSM Handsets in Azerbaijan by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Table: Forecast and Analysis of Total Shipments of GSM Handsets in the CIS by Main City and Rest of Country, 2003-2008


Essential Guidance


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Related Research


Definitions


NMT (Nordic Mobile Telephone)


AMPS (Advanced Mobile Phone Service)


GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications)


CDMA (Code Division Multiple Access)


WAP (Wireless Application Protocol)


GPRS (General Packet Radio Service)


3G (Third Generation)


Methodology


Synopsis




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