Commonwealth of Independent States Mobile Communications Services 2005-2009

Commonwealth of Independent States Mobile Communications Services 2005-2009 Forecast

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: IDC
Published: February 2006
Product Code: R104-24778

Description

This study provides the latest research on the development of mobile communications in the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) excluding Russia. Although CIS country markets vary in terms of pace of development and the level of maturity, all are characterized by low mobile penetration. This presents a major opportunity for both mobile operators and network equipment vendors and also reflects the low levels of income of the populations and the difficulties of doing business in the region.

This study includes a five-year forecast with data segmented into subscriber numbers split between pre-paid and contract. It also analyzes revenue divided into that generated by voice communications, SMS, and data communications. The study covers eleven countries: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan (Russia is not included in this study, as it will be fully analyzed in a separate study).

"The unsaturated mobile markets of the CIS region offer huge growth opportunities for operators and network equipment suppliers. On the other hand, unstable politics and a troublesome economic heritage make the regional business environment risky. To reduce that risk, providers should try to adapt their offerings to local users' needs, extend the service availability, and cooperate with local governments to encourage the establishment of a regulatory framework that offers equal opportunities to all market participants." ? Kre?imir Alic, Senior Analyst, IDC CEMA

Table of Contents

Table of Contents
IDC Opinion
In This Study
Methodology
Executive Summary
COmmonwealth of Independent States Regional Analysis
Situation Overview
Economic Environment
Table: CIS Countries - Selected Macroeconomic Indicators, 2002-2004
The Political Arena
Regional Mobile Communications Market Overview
Figure: Mobile Subscriptions in the Commonwealth of Independent States, 2004 and 2009
Figure: Mobile Subscription Penetration in the Commonwealth of Independent States, 2004 and 2009
Future Outlook
Figure: Distribution of Services Spending in the Commonwealth of Independent States, 2004 and 2009
Forecast and Assumptions
Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the CIS Mobile Markets, 2005-2009
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States (Excluding Russia) - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States (Excluding Russia) - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States (Excluding Russia) - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States (Excluding Russia) - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States (Excluding Russia) - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States (Excluding Russia) - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Armenia
Situation Overview
ArmenTel
K Telecom (VivaCell)
Table: Armenia - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Armenia - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Armenia - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Armenia - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Armenia - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Armenia - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Armenia - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Azerbaijan
Situation Overview
Azercell Telecom
Bakcell
Table: Azerbaijan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Azerbaijan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Azerbaijan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Azerbaijan - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Azerbaijan - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Azerbaijan - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Azerbaijan - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Belarus
Situation Overview
MTS Belarus
Velcom
BelCel (DialLog)
BeST (Belarusian Network of Telecommunications)
Table: Belarus - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Belarus - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Belarus - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Belarus - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Belarus - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Belarus - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Belarus - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Georgia
Situation Overview
GeoCell
MegaCom
MagtiCom
IberiaTel
Table: Georgia - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Georgia - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Georgia - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Georgia - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Georgia - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Georgia - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Georgia - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Kazakhstan
Situation Overview
Kar-Tel
K'Cell (GSM Kazakhstan)
Altel
Table: Kazakhstan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Kazakhstan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Kazakhstan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Kazakhstan - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Kazakhstan - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Kazakhstan - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Kazakhstan - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Kyrgyzstan
Situation Overview
BiTel
KaTel
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Moldova
Situation Overview
Moldcell
Voxtel
Table: Moldova - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Moldova - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Moldova - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Moldova - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Moldova - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Moldova - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Moldova - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Tajikistan
Situation Overview
Indigo (Somoncom)
Tajik Tel
Babylon Mobile
Mobile Lines of Tajikistan (TT Mobile)
TK Mobile
Table: Tajikistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Tajikistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Tajikistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Tajikistan - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Tajikistan - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Tajikistan - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Tajikistan - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Turkmenistan
Situation Overview
Barash
Table: Turkmenistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Turkmenistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Turkmenistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Turkmenistan - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Turkmenistan - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Turkmenistan - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Turkmenistan - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Ukraine
Situation Overview
UMC
Kyivstar GSM
Golden Telecom
WellCOM (Ukrainian Radio Systems)
Astelit (DCC)
Table: Ukraine - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Ukraine - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Ukraine - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Ukraine - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Ukraine - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Ukraine - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Ukraine - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Uzbekistan
Situation Overview
Uzdunrobita
Uzmacom
Perfectum Mobile (Rubicon Wireless Operates)
Coscom
Unitel
BuzTel (Bakrie Telecom)
SkyTel (Uzbek Telecom)
Table: Uzbekistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Service Provider, End 2003 and 2004
Future Outlook
Table: Uzbekistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Air Interface, 2004-2009
Table: Uzbekistan - Mobile Subscriptions (000) by Billing Status, 2004-2009
Table: Uzbekistan - Mobile Service Spending (US$M) by Type of Charge and Type of Subscription, 2004-2009
Table: Uzbekistan - Average Monthly Spending per Subscription (ARPU, US$), 2004-2009
Table: Uzbekistan - Average Monthly Traffic Per Subscription (Minutes of Use), 2004-2009
Table: Uzbekistan - Network Traffic (Millions of Minutes), 2004-2009
Essential Guidance
Learn More
Related Research
Definitions
Methodology
Exchange Rates
Table: Commonwealth of Independent States Exchange Rates, Year 2004
Synopsis

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