Worldwide Hard Disk Drive 2006-2010 Forecast and Analysis: Record-Breaking Years Lie

Worldwide Hard Disk Drive 2006-2010 Forecast and Analysis: Record-Breaking Years Lie Ahead

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: IDC
Published: May 2006
Product Code: R104-25980

Description

This IDC study examines the market opportunity for hard disk drives (HDDs) in the following applications: portable and desktop PCs, personal storage, traditional workstations, enterprise storage systems, and various consumer electronic applications. The HDD market opportunity is described in terms of units, exit factory revenue, and terabytes shipped. Additionally, various metrics, significant trends, and related vendors are analyzed in an attempt to give the reader a solid indication of the current situation of and future outlook for the worldwide HDD industry.

"2005 was a year for breaking several records within the disk drive industry. Over the next several years, the industry is poised to surpass these new records - even in the midst of difficult technology transitions, further consolidation, and perplexing adoption patterns in consumer electronic markets." - John Rydning, IDC research manager, Hard Disk Drives and Components

Table of Contents

Table of Contents
IDC Opinion
In This Study
Methodology
Executive Summary
Situation Overview
Introduction
The Industry in Aggregate
Table: Worldwide 1.x-in., 2.5in., 3.0in., 3.5in., and 5.25in. HDD Shipments by Vendor, 2004 and 2005
Table: Worldwide 1.x-in., 2.5in., 3.0in., 3.5in., and 5.25in. HDD Revenue by Vendor, 2004 and 2005
Mobile-Class HDD Market Dynamics: Sometimes Small Is Beautiful - and Ugly
Figure: Worldwide HDD Revenue Share by Drive Class, 1Q02-4Q05
0.85in. HDDs
1.0in. HDDs
1.3in. HDDs
1.8in. HDDs
2.5in. HDDs
Mobile Drive Supplier Update: Competitors Making Their Mark
Figure: Worldwide Mobile-Class 1.x-in. and 2.5in. HDD Unit Share by Vendor, 1Q03-4Q06
Hitachi GST
Toshiba
Figure: Worldwide Mobile-Class 1.x-in. HDD Unit and Revenue Share by Vendor, 2005
Figure: Worldwide Mobile-Class 2.5in. HDD Unit and Revenue Share by Vendor, 2005
Fujitsu
Seagate
Samsung
Western Digital
Others
Desktop-Class HDD Dynamics: Big, Bigger, and Biggest
Desktop Drive Supplier Update: Surprise Acquisition
Maxtor
Seagate
Figure: Worldwide Desktop-Class HDD Unit and Revenue Share by Vendor, 2005
Western Digital
Hitachi
Samsung
ExcelStor
Enterprise-Class HDD Dynamics: The Big 3?
High-End Drive Supplier Update: Seagate and "Other"?
Figure: Worldwide Enterprise-Class HDD Unit and Revenue Share by Vendor, 2005
Seagate
Fujitsu
Hitachi GST
Maxtor
Western Digital
Consumer Electronic HDD Dynamics: Volatile But Growing
Figure: Worldwide Consumer Electronic HDD Unit and Revenue Share by Application, 2005
Markets Come and Go with CE
HDD Vendor CE Shares
Figure: Worldwide Consumer Electronic HDD Unit Share by Vendor, 2004 and 2005
Toshiba
Seagate
Maxtor
Western Digital
Hitachi
Samsung
Cornice
GS Magic
Table: Worldwide Consumer Electronic HDD Shipment Share by Form Factor and Vendor, 2005 (%)
Future Outlook
Forecast and Assumptions
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipment Analysis: Consumption by Form Factor and Consumption Category, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue Analysis: Revenue by Form Factor and Consumption Category, 2004-2010 ($M)
HDD Market Drivers and Dynamics
Personal Computers
Desktop PCs
Figure: Worldwide Desktop PC Shipment Share by Form Factor, 2004-2010
Figure: Worldwide Desktop PC Shipment Share by Interface, 2004-2010
Portable PCs
Figure: Worldwide Portable PC Shipment Share by Form Factor, 2004-2010
Figure: Worldwide Portable PC Shipment Share by Interface, 2004-2010
Enterprise Storage
Figure: Worldwide HDD Shipment Share of Units Shipped into Enterprise Applications by Spin Speed, 2004-2010
Figure: Worldwide HDD Shipment Share of Units Shipped into Enterprise Applications by Interface, 2004-2010
Personal Storage Devices
Personal DAS
Personal NAS
Consumer Electronics
Taxonomy Changes
Portable Media Players
Digital Cameras and Camcorders
Mobile Phones
Figure: Worldwide Sub-2.5in. HDD Shipments to Consumer Electronic Applications, 2004-2010
Automotive, Navigational, and Personal Navigation Devices
Digital Video Recorders
Game Consoles and Handheld Games
Table: Worldwide HDD Consumption in Consumer Electronic Applications, 2004-2010
Mobile-Class 0.85in. HDD Forecast: It Gets Flashed
Demand Dynamics
HDD Requirements and Trends
Table: Worldwide Mobile-Class 0.85in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
Key Assumptions
Mobile-Class 1.0in. HDD Forecast: Will Industry Infrastructure Investments Be Recouped?
Demand Dynamics
HDD Requirements and Trends
Table: Worldwide Mobile-Class 1.0in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
Key Assumptions
Mobile-Class 1.3in. HDDs: Room for Another Form Factor?
Mobile-Class 1.8in. HDD Forecast: Flat Demand Near Term
Demand Dynamics
Table: Worldwide Mobile-Class 1.8in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
HDD Requirements and Trends
Key Assumptions
Mobile-Class 2.5in. HDD Forecast: Six-Plus Vendors Leads to Price Erosion
Demand Dynamics
Table: Worldwide Mobile-Class 2.5in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
HDD Requirements and Trends
Key Assumptions
Desktop-Class 3.5in. HDD Forecast: Maturing Nicely
Demand Dynamics
Table: Worldwide Desktop-Class 3.5in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
HDD Requirements and Trends
Key Assumptions
Enterprise-Class HDD Forecast: Solid Demand Despite Incursion of SATA
Demand Dynamics
Table: Worldwide Enterprise-Class 2.5in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
Table: Worldwide Enterprise-Class 3.5in. HDD Analysis, 2004-2010
HDD Requirements and Trends
Key Assumptions
Assumptions Table
Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Market, 2006-2010
Market Context
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue, 2004-2010: Comparison of 2005 and 2006 Forecasts
Figure: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue, 2004-2010: Comparison of 2005 and 2006 Forecasts
Essential Guidance
Learn More
Related Research
Market Analysis
IDC Insight
Product Flash
Definitions
Areal Density
Average Sales Price or Average Unit Price
Hard Disk Drives
Platters
Server Blades
Unit Shipments
Value of Shipments
IDC System Classifications
Traditional Computing Applications
Portable PCs
Desktop PCs
Personal Storage Devices
Traditional Workstations
Enterprise Storage Systems
Industrial/Commercial Applications
Consumer Electronics
Digital Video Applications
Smart Handheld Devices
Mobile Phones
Automotive Applications
Digital Cameras
Digital Camcorders
Digital Audio Players/MP3s
Portable Media Players
Methodology
Appendix A: Units Shipped and Revenue by Form Factor and Capacity Range
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Capacity: All Form Factors, All Platforms, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Capacity: All Form Factors, All Platforms, 2004-2010 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Capacity: 0.85in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Capacity: 0.85in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Capacity: 1.0in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Capacity: 1.0in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Capacity: 1.8in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Capacity: 1.8in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Capacity: 2.5in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Capacity: 2.5in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 ($M)
Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Capacity: 3.5in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 (000)
Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Capacity: 3.5in., All Platforms, 2004-2010 ($M)
Appendix B: Areal Density, Gigabytes, and Platter Adoption by Form Factor
Table: Worldwide HDD Best Commercialized Areal Density, Average Heads per Drive, and Platter Adoption: 0.85in., Mobile Class, 2004-2010
Table: Worldwide HDD Best Commercialized Areal Density, Average Heads per Drive, and Platter Adoption: 1.0in., Mobile Class, 2004-2010
Table: Worldwide HDD Best Commercialized Areal Density, Average Heads per Drive, and Platter Adoption: 1.8in., Mobile Class, 2004-2010
Table: Worldwide HDD Best Commercialized Areal Density, Average Heads per Drive, and Platter Adoption: 2.5in., Mobile Class, 2004-2010
Table: Worldwide HDD Best Commercialized Areal Density, Average Heads per Drive, and Platter Adoption: All Form Factors, Desktop Class, 2004-2010
Table: Worldwide HDD Best Commercialized Areal Density, Average Heads per Drive, and Platter Adoption: All Form Factors, Enterprise Class, 2004-2010
Synopsis

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