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IT Executive Tracker — CEE, Q2 2007

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: IDC
Published: January 2008
Product Code: R104-32453
Description

IDC's IT Quarterly Executive Tracker program for the Central and Eastern Europe is a qualitative complement to our PC, computer systems, and printer quarterly tracker products, and range of annual studies. Providing regional managers and market planners with timely and comprehensive insight into market trends, the Executive Tracker is an "IT watch" tool that further enables the interpretation of quarterly quantitative data and trends.

Now expanded to provide an overview of major IT segments in addition to the PC arena, the Executive Tracker is a regional study that provides in-depth information country-by-country on the hardware, software, IT services, Internet, and telecommunications markets.

Our regular research focuses on addressing the following questions:

What were the most important developments in the IT markets of CEE during the past quarter? What is the state of the IT environment? What is the latest IT spending breakdown by technology? What are the chief drivers and inhibitors of growth in IT market spending? What ongoing market developments are influencing channels and who are the new entrants on the market? What IT contracts and tenders were signed over the past three months? Which vendors were involved? What local mergers and acquisitions or commercial alliances are taking place in the IT arena? How have the main IT vendors in the countries performed, and why?

"First half numbers suggest the CEE markets will indeed slow slightly as forecast by IDC last quarter. The dampening of growth will be minimal, however, with most markets still posting double-digit increases in IT spending. Hardware will remain the key segment in most CEMA markets, as pent-up demand continues to drive PC and volume server acquisition." ? Steven Frantzen, Managing Director and VP, IDC CEMA

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

IDC Opinion

In This Study

Methodology

Executive Summary

Central and Eastern Europe

Situation Overview

Table: IT Market Value (US$M) Forecast and Analysis, by Country, in Central and Eastern Europe, 2006-2007

PC Market Quarterly Results ? Q2 2007

Table: Year-On-Year Growth in PC Shipments by Country in Central and Eastern Europe, Q2 2007

Market Spotlight ? Sourcing Update: Strong and Getting Stronger in Central and Eastern Europe

Offshore and Nearshore Will Blend

Services Breakdown

Maturation and Consolidation Expected

CEE Profile: Trends, Challenges, and the Future of Offshore/Nearshore Sourcing in CEE

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the IT Market in CEE, 2007-2011

Forecast Tables

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Central and Eastern Europe, 2006-2011

Bulgaria

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Bulgaria, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Distributors Face New Challenges

Triple Play on the Rise

3G Mobile Communications

Maturing PC Market

Growing Interest in IT Training

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Bulgaria, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Bulgaria, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

HP

Microsoft

Oracle

IBM

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Bulgaria, 2006-2011

Croatia

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Croatia, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Ties Weaken between Global Vendors, Local Partners

Q2 Acquisitions

eSignature Use on Rise

WiMAX Gaining Ground

Ambiguous Role of FINA and Apis IT

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Croatia, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Croatia, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

Oracle

IBM

Microsoft

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Croatia, 2006-2011

Czech Republic

Situation Overview

Table: Key Economic Indicators for the Czech Republic, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

WiFi Connections Remain Popular

Channel Strategy for EAS Vendors

Consolidation of IT Services Market

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in the Czech Republic, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in the Czech Republic, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

HP

Microsoft

Oracle

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in the Czech Republic, 2006-2011

Hungary

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Hungary, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Rising Broadband Mobile Internet Penetration

Government District

Government Investments

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Hungary, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Hungary, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

HP

Microsoft

SAP

Oracle

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Hungary, 2006-2011

Poland

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Poland, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Poland as R&D Location

Foreign Investment in Poland in 2006

New Computer Facilities for Schools

EAS Providers Battle for Upper Mid-Market

IT Companies Go Public

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Poland, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Poland, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

HP

IBM

Oracle

SAP

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Poland, 2006-2011

Romania

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Romania, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Continued Government Support for IT Industry

Expansion of Retail Sector to Drive IT Hardware Sales

IT Market to Receive EUR 383m between 2007?2013

Economic Development to Continue Fueling IT Spending

Consolidation in IT Sector

Winning Bets for the Future of Romanian IT

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Romania, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Romania, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

Microsoft

HP

Cisco

IBM

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Romania, 2006-2011

Russia

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Russia, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Support for Software Developers

Slow Expansion of HCP Market as Vendors Deliver Products

Notebook Sales to Pick Up in Third Quarter

Mobile Market Grows to Do Higher Rates, Longer Calls

HDTV Will Fuel Sales of LCD TVs and Plasma Displays

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Russia, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Russia, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

Cisco Systems

HP

Microsoft

SAP

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Russia, 2006-2011

Slovakia

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Slovakia, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

The Rise of Outsourcing in Slovakia

Notebooks Drive PC Market

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Slovakia, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Slovakia, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

HP

Microsoft

Oracle

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Slovakia, 2006-2011

Slovenia

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Slovenia, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Slovenia Makes it Among Advanced Economies in IMF Report

New Mobile Operator Tusmobil to Introduce Quadruple Play

Slovenia Will Not Meet Lisbon Strategy Goals in R&D

Slovenia Gets OECD Membership Invitation

Telekom Partners with Iskratel to Provide Optical Internet Access

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Slovenia, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Slovenia, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

IBM

Microsoft

Canon

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Slovenia, 2006-2011

Ukraine

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Table: Economic Indicators for Ukraine, 2005-2008

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Government Spending to Decrease in Third Quarter

Increased Social Spending Will Drive Consumer Demand

Dollar Depreciation

Strong Demand in Corporate Sector

Delayed Ukrtelecom Sale Will Impede Broadband Services Market

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Ukraine, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Ukraine, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

Cisco Systems

Intel

HP

Microsoft

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Ukraine, 2006-2011

Central Asia

Situation Overview

Trends in the Economy

Kazakhstan

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Kazakhstan, 2005-2008

Kyrgyzstan

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Kyrgyzstan, 2005-2008

Tajikistan

Turkmenistan

Table: Key Economic Indicators for Turkmenistan, 2005-2008

Uzbekistan

IT Environment

Drivers

Inhibitors

Key Market Assumptions

Lower Internet Rates in Kazakhstan

TECATA to Satisfy the Local Demand for Cheap Computers

Kazakhstan's eGovernment Program

Hardware Market Watch

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Central Asia, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Central Asia, 2006?2011

Software Market Watch

IT Services Market Watch

Key Market Highlights

Current Performance of Top IT Suppliers: Vendor Highlights

SAP

Microsoft

Oracle

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Central Asia, 2006-2011

Rest of Central and Eastern Europe

Situation Overview

IT Environment

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Baltic States, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Baltic States, 2006?2011

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Rest of CEE, Q2 2007

Figure: IT Spending by Hardware Technology in Rest of CEE, 2006?2011

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in the Baltic States, 2006-2011

Table: The Information Technology Market (US$M) in Rest of CEE, 2006-2011

Belarus

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Moldova

Montenegro

Serbia

Essential Guidance

Invest in Training and Certification Programs to Keep Staff and Clients

Local Vendors Need to Defend Home Market

Offshore/Nearshore Providers: Emphasize Quality Along with Cost

Learn More

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