2008 Canada - Telecoms, Wireless and Broadband

• Forecast growth in select telecommunication markets.
• The emerging trends and convergence in Canadian voice, broadband and digital TV sectors.
• How Canada is faring in terms of global broadband development.
• The current and emerging broadband technologies and their long-term projections.
• The growth of mobile voice and data and the deployment of 3G and 4G technologies.
• Key information on the major telecommunication operators.
• Researcher: Lawrence Baker

1. Key statistics

2. Telecommunications Markets

2.1 Overview of Canada’s telecom market

2.1.1 Monopoly to competition

2.1.2 Convergence

2.1.3 Teledensity

2.1.4 Industry performance

2.2 Fixed line sector

2.3 Internet and e-commerce

2.4 Broadband sector

2.5 Wireless sector

2.6 Broadcasting sector

3. Regulatory Environment

3.1 Overview

3.1.1 Industry Canada

3.1.2 Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC)

3.1.3 Institutional reform

3.1.4 Liberalisation

3.1.5 Satellite and submarine cables

3.2 VoIP regulation

3.3 Wireless number portability

3.4 Local telephone regulation

3.4.1 Local forbearance

3.4.2 Price Cap 3

3.5 Foreign ownership controls

3.6 Broadcasting regulatory reform

4. Telecommunications Infrastructure

4.1 National telecom network

4.1.1 Overview

4.1.2 Wireline networks

4.1.3 Wireless networks

4.2 International infrastructure

4.2.1 Satellite networks

4.2.2 Submarine cable networks

4.3 Infrastructure developments

4.3.1 Overview

4.3.2 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)

4.3.3 Cable networks

4.3.4 Broadband over Powerline (BPL)

4.3.5 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)

4.3.6 IP networks

5. Major Telcos - Overview and Statistics

5.1 Key highlights

5.2 Industry structure

5.2.1 Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers (ILECs)

5.2.2 Registered Competitive Local Exchange Carriers (CLECs)

5.2.3 Growing competition

5.3 Major ILECs

5.3.1 Bell Canada Enterprises (BCE)

5.3.2 TELUS Corporation

5.3.3 Manitoba Telecom Services

5.3.4 Saskatchewan Telecommunications (SaskTel)

5.3.5 VSNL International Canada (Formerly Teleglobe)

5.4 CLECs and other operators

5.4.1 Overview

5.4.2 Rogers Communications

5.4.3 Primus Telecommunications Canada

5.4.4 Look Communications

6. Broadband Market

6.1 Industry overview and analysis

6.1.1 Government strategy

6.1.2 Regulatory reform

6.1.3 CANARIE Corporation

6.1.4 Canadian Advanced Technology Alliance (CATA)

6.2 Broadband statistics

6.3 Cable modems

6.3.1 Overview and statistics

6.3.2 Major cable broadband providers

6.4 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL)

6.4.1 Major Broadband DSL Providers

6.5 Fibre-to-the-Home/Node (FttH/FttN)

6.5.1 Overview

6.5.2 Major fibre projects

6.6 Broadband over Power line (BPL)

6.6.1 Overview

6.6.2 BPL Regulation

6.6.3 UPLC and UTC Canada

6.7 Wireless broadband

6.7.1 Wireless Local Area Networks (WLANs)

6.7.2 WiFi

6.7.3 WiMAX

6.7.4 Internet via satellite

7. Convergence

7.1 Key general trends

7.1.1 Regulatory issues

7.2 Digital TV (DTV)

7.2.1 Overview

7.2.2 Market statistics

7.2.3 TV-over-IP (IPTV)

7.2.4 Cable TV (CATV)

7.2.5 Satellite TV (DTH)

7.2.6 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)

7.3 VoIP

7.4 Consumer electronics

7.4.1 High Definition televisions

7.4.2 PVRs/DVRs

7.4.3 Mobile TV

8. Wireless Communications

8.1 Analysis

8.2 Overview of Canada’s Wireless market

8.2.1 Introduction

8.2.2 Wireless statistics

8.3 Regulatory overview

8.3.1 CRTC and Industry Canada

8.3.2 Telecom Policy Review

8.3.3 Spectrum licensing

8.3.4 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)

8.3.5 Rural digital roaming

8.3.6 System access fees

8.4 Wireless technologies

8.4.1 Personal Communications Services (PCS)

8.4.2 GSM

8.4.3 Third Generation (3G) wireless

8.4.4 WiFi and WiMAX

8.5 Major wireless operators

8.5.1 Overview

8.5.2 Rogers Wireless

8.5.3 Bell Mobility

8.5.4 Bell Aliant

8.5.5 TELUS Mobility

8.5.6 SaskTel Mobility

8.5.7 MTS Allstream

8.5.8 Virgin Mobile Canada

8.6 Wireless services

8.6.1 Prepaid and postpaid services

8.6.2 Short Message Service (SMS)

8.6.3 Multimedia messaging (MMS)

8.6.4 Mobile TV services

9. Forecasts

9.1 Notes on scenario forecasts

9.2 Forecasts - Internet services to 2018

9.3 Forecasts - wireless market to 2018

10. Glossary of Abbreviations

List of tables

Table 1 - Country statistics Canada - 2008

Table 2 - Telecom revenue and investment statistics - 2007

Table 3 - Telecom revenue distribution by market sector - 2007

Table 4 - Telecom revenue by category of provider - 2006

Table 5 - Fixed line statistics - 2007

Table 6 - Major ISPs - 2007

Table 7 - Internet user statistics - 2007

Table 8 - Broadband statistics - 2007

Table 9 - Wireless statistics - 2007

Table 10 - National telecommunications authorities

Table 11 - Canadian teledensity - 2000 - 2007

Table 12 - Services revenues by operator type - 2001 - 2006

Table 13 - Operating revenues by segment - 2002 - 2006

Table 14 - Revenue growth by segment - 2005 - 2006

Table 15 - Fixed line revenues - 2002 - 2007

Table 16 - Internet statistics - 2007

Table 17 - Internet revenues - 2001 - 2007

Table 18 - DSL and cable broadband subscribers - 2001 - 2007

Table 19 - Wireless subscribers and annual change - 1997 - 2007

Table 20 - Wireless revenues - 2001 - 2007

Table 21 - Wireless subscribers by major provider - 2004 - 2007

Table 22 - Cable, DTH & MDS subscribers - 2002 - 2007

Table 23 - Cable, DTH & MDS revenues - 2002 - 2006

Table 24 - Subscriber numbers by broadcaster - 2004 - 2007

Table 25 - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1995 - 2007

Table 26 - VoIP subscribers of major cable companies - 2005 - 2007

Table 27 - BCE ownership (percentage) - December 2007

Table 28 - BCE operating revenue, net profit, CAPEX and subscribers - 2007

Table 29 - BCE revenue summary - 1997 - 2007

Table 30 - Bell Canada operating statistics per market segment - 2006 - 2007

Table 31 - Bell Canada wireless and video ARPU and churn - 2006 - 2007

Table 32 - Bell Aliant operating results and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 33 - Bell Aliant operating revenue and annual change per market segment - 2006 - 2007

Table 34 - TELUS operating revenue, net profit, CAPEX and subscribers - 2001 - 2007

Table 35 - TELUS wireless ARPU and Churn - 2001 - 2007

Table 36 - TELUS operating results and annual change per market segment - 2006 - 2007

Table 37 - MTS Allstream operating revenue, CAPEX, customers & annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 38 - MTS Allstream operating revenues and annual change by division - 2006 - 2007

Table 39 - MTS Allstream wireless monthly ARPU - 2006 - 2007

Table 40 - SaskTel operating revenue, net income, CAPEX and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 41 - SaskTel operating results - 2005 - 2006

Table 42 - SaskTel wireless monthly ARPU - 2004 - 2006

Table 43 - Rogers Communications operating revenue & profit, subscribers and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 44 - Rogers Cable revenue, profit, CAPEX, stores and subscribers - 2002 - 2007

Table 45 - Rogers Wireless revenue, profit, CAPEX, subscribers and coverage - 2002 - 2007

Table 46 - Rogers Wireless pre and postpaid subscribers, churn, ARPU and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 47 - Rogers Media revenue, operating profit and CAPEX - 2002 - 2007

Table 48 - Residential broadband Internet subscribers - 2001 - 2007

Table 49 - Broadband subscribers and penetration in top 9 OECD countries - 2001; 2006 - 2007

Table 50 - Broadband penetration among Internet households in various countries - 2003 - 2007

Table 51 - Cable modem subscribers by major operator - 2003 - 2007

Table 52 - Rogers Cable average Internet monthly ARPU - 2006 - 2007

Table 53 - DSL subscribers by major operator - 2003 - 2007

Table 54 - Total television and digital households - 2002 - 2007

Table 55 - Digital households: percentage by technology - 2003 - 2007

Table 56 - DTH and major cable company subscribers and market share - 2006 - 2007

Table 57 - Number of HD services, foreign and Canadian by operator - 2006

Table 58 - Cable TV market operational overview - 2002 - 2007

Table 59 - Rogers Cable operational overview per market segment - 2001 - 2007

Table 60 - Shaw Cablesystems subscribers, customers and lines per market segment - 2002 - 2007

Table 61 - Vidéotron ltée subscriber statistics - 2003 - 2007

Table 62 - Cogeco Cable subscriber statistics - 2002 - 2007

Table 63 - DBS subscribers - 2001 - 2007

Table 64 - Bell ExpressVu DTH subscribers - 1998 - 2007

Table 65 - Star Choice digital TV subscribers - 1998 - 2007

Table 66 - VoIP subscribers by major cable companies - 2005 - 2007

Table 67 - Wireless subscribers and annual change - 1997 - 2007

Table 68 - Wireless subscribers by major provider - 2004 - 2007

Table 69 - Wireless provider market share by province - 2006

Table 70 - Wireless industry revenue by service type - 2002 - 2006

Table 71 - Top 7 licence winners of 2300MHz & 3500MHz auctions - 2004 - 2005

Table 72 - Rogers Wireless pre/postpaid revenue and operating income - 2002 - 2007

Table 73 - Rogers Wireless pre/postpaid subscriber, churn, ARPU and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 74 - Bell Mobility revenue, subscribers, churn and ARPU and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 75 - TELUS Mobility revenue, EBITDA, penetration and coverage - 2002 - 2007

Table 76 - TELUS Mobility prepaid, postpaid subscribers and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 77 - TELUS Mobility ARPU and monthly churn rate - 2001 - 2007

Table 78 - SaskTel Mobility revenue, subscribers, ARPU and annual change - 2005 - 2006

Table 79 - MTS Allstream wireless revenue, subscribers, ARPU and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 80 - Prepaid subscribers by major operator - 2004 - 2007

Table 81 - Postpaid and prepaid wireless subscribers and annual change - 2006 - 2007

Table 82 - Text messages sent per month - 2002 - 2007

Table 83 - Forecast residential DSL, cable and other broadband subscribers - weaker market growth scenario - 2008; 2013; 2018

Table 84 - Forecast residential DSL, cable and other broadband subscribers - stronger market growth scenario - 2008; 2013; 2018

Table 85 - Forecast wireless subscriber, penetration and revenue growth - weaker growth scenario - 2008 - 2013

Table 86 - Forecast wireless subscriber, penetration and revenue growth - stronger growth scenario - 2008 - 2013

List of Exhibites

Exhibit 1 - Definitions - ADSL, HFC Cable, FttP/FttB/FttH

Exhibit 2 - Definition - ADSL and VDSL

Exhibit 3 - Telesat’s current and planned fleet of satellites

Exhibit 4 - Major submarine cables landing in Canada

Exhibit 5 - Definition - FttH/FttP/FttB and FttN/FttC

Exhibit 6 - Major Fibre Projects in operation

Exhibit 7 - Definition - HFC cable

Exhibit 8 - Major VoIP providers in Canada

Exhibit 9 - The Alberta SuperNet

Exhibit 10 - MTS Allstream’s IPTV platform

Exhibit 11 - iTV developments

Exhibit 12 - VoD developments

Exhibit 13 - 3G licence awards - January 2001