Croatia Telecommunications Report Q1 2008: Industry Report

Croatia Telecommunications Report Q1 2008

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: December 2007
Product Code: R302-1830

Description

In the second quarter of 2007, the number of Croatian mobile subscribers grew by 3.4%, which meantthat Q207 was a stronger growth quarter than Q107, when the sector grew by just 2.4%. Nevertheless,with the Croatian sector having achieved 5.8% mobile subscriber growth in the first half of 2007, BMIdecided to upgrade its growth predictions for 2007 as a whole. Although we previously suggested that thesector would expand by 9.5% in 2007, we now estimate that mobile subscribers will increase by as muchas 12.5% in 2007, to reach 4.911mn by the end of the year.

Croatia’s mobile sector continues to be led by T-Mobile, which had a 48.1% share of the market at theend of June 2007. Despite the dominance of T-Mobile and its closest rival, Vipnet of the TelekomAustria group, both operators appeared to lose market share to third ranked Tele2 Croatia in Q207.Following numerous reports about Tele2 Croatia’s financial difficulties in the early part of 2007, thecountry’s third largest mobile operator appears to have had a comeback, securing 50% of new subscribersin the second quarter of 2007 and increasing its subscriber base to 400,000 by September 2007. By theend of June 2007, Tele2 had boosted its share of the market vis-à-vis T-Mobile and Vipnet. Meanwhile, itwas reported in October 2007 that Tele2’s Swedish parent company had increased its stake in its Croatianmobile business from 51% to 93% via a HRK120mn (US$23mn) recapitalisation. As a result of Tele2’scapital investment, the stake in Tele2 Croatia which previously belonged to Croatian private equity fundQuaestus, has been reduced from 49% to 7%.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Market Data Analysis

Mobile

Table: Croatia Mobile Market Net Additions, Q207 vs Q107 & 2006

Table - Croatian Mobile Market, Q207

Table: Croatia Mobile Market Prepaid and Postpaid Subscribers, Q106 - Q207

Table: Croatia Wireless ARPU2005-07 (EUR/user/month)

Fixed-Line/Internet

Industry Developments

Mobile Operator Data

Table: T-Mobile

Table: Vipnet

Table: Tele2

Industry Forecast Scenario

Mobile

Table: Croatian Telecom Sector - Mobiles - Historical Data & Forecasts

Fixed-Line

Table - Croatian Telecoms Sector - Fixed-line - Historical Data & Forecasts

Internet

Table: Croatian Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts

Business Environment Analysis

Eastern European Markets

Croatia

Table: Central & Eastern Europe Business Environment Ranking

SWOT - Croatia’s Telecommunications Industry

Company Monitor

Ericsson: Maturing Sectors in Eastern Europe Look Set to Remedy Weak Third Quarter Results

Table: Ericsson Recent European Contract Wins, 2006-07

Selected Profiles - Operators

T-Hrvatski Telekom

VIPNet

Appendix: Competitive Landscape

Market Structure

Table: Key Players: Croatia Telecoms Sector

Table: Selected Telecoms Operators - Financial Indicators

Fixed-Line Overview

Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview

Internet Overview

Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview

Mobile Overview

Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview

Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario

Table: Croatia - Economic Activity

BMI Forecast Modelling

How we generate our industry forecasts

Telecommunications Industry

Ordering and More Information

Price and Delivery Options

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