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France Telecommunications Report Q1 2008Product Type: Market Research ReportPublished by: Business Monitor International Published: January 2008 Product Code: R302-1832 Description In the third quarter of 2007, the number of customers subscribing to the services of France’s three mobileoperators increased by 0.69% to reach 50.536mn; this gave the country a mobile penetration rate of83.3%. However, when the customers of mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) are included, thetotal number of French mobile subscribers grew by 1.3% in Q307 and by 3% in the 12 months endingSeptember 2007. MVNOs continued to have a growing presence in the French mobile market during2007, with MVNOs signing up a much larger share of new mobile customers than the three networkoperators. BMI believes that this trend will continue during 2008 and 2009, reflecting the fact that mobilepenetration is still relatively low in France and that the market, consequently, still has room for furthergrowth. We estimate that there were 54.253mn mobile subscribers in France at the end of 2007, givingthe country a penetration rate equivalent to 89.4%. In this latest update on the French telecoms sector, wehave extended our growth forecasts to cover the period ending 2012. We now believe that the 100%penetration threshold will be crossed sometime in 2009. By 2012, we anticipate a market of some 67.2mnmobile customers, and a penetration rate of 108.4%. It is important to remember however, that thesefigures contain a certain number of inactive prepaid users.In October 2007, it was reported that France’s telecoms regulator ARCEP had rejected a bid bybroadband operator Iliad for France’s fourth 3G licence. At the close of bidding in July 2007, it wasrevealed that Iliad’s mobile unit, Free Mobile, had been the sole bidder for the country’s fourth UMTSconcession. At the time of submitting its bid, Iliad had set a condition on its application, which said itbelieved the success of the fourth mobile operator to be dependent on the winner being allowed to make adeferred annual payment of the licence fee instead of an up front one-off payment of EUR619mn. Thiscondition is understood to have been unacceptable to the regulator. Table of Contents
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