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Venezuela Information and Technology Report Q1 2008

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: February 2008
Product Code: R302-2433
Description
Market Overview

While one of the smaller markets in the Latin America region, the total value of Venezuelan domesticspending on IT products and services should pass US$2bn in 2009 and US$2.5bn by 2012. Overall, the ITmarket is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% over the 2007-2012 period.Despite income disparities and the likelihood of slowing private consumption, a PC penetration rate ofless than 12% indicates plenty of potential organic growth. Expansionary government fiscal policiesprovided a boost to IT spending in 2007 but the overall economic outlook is more problematic, withGDP/capita growth likely to slow as the forecast period progresses.

Despite this economic context, the retail sector should continue to perform reasonably well in terms of PCsales growth due to more affordable computers. The enterprise should sector also represents anopportunity in the forecast period, but overall levels of investment are likely to remain relatively lowcompared to some countries in the region.

The majority of opportunities will be in the oil industry sector, which is enjoying record profits andrevenues, which seems likely to translate into more IT and modernisation projects. Government policiesand programmes will continue to shape the market: a focus on science and technology independenceshould mean further efforts to encourage domestic production of cheaper computers.

Industry Developments

Leading state telecoms service provider CNTV tendered for a contract to supply equipment for its‘Internet Equipado’ programme for November and December 2007. The programme, launched last year,allows the company’s subscribers to purchase a computer bundled together with its fixed line services.Subscribers can choose between a desktop or portable computer which can then be paid for on credit over24 months.

In November 2007, production was due to start at a new IT production facility set up by Venezuela’snational IT guiding body CENIT with a 5000 computers/month capacity. The government plans to spendUS$2.3mn on the new facility, which will complement the production capacity of state owned ITcompany Venezuela de Industria Tecnologica (VIT).

Competitive Landscape

Venezuela’s IT competitive landscape has been dominated by the Chávez government’s efforts to providecheap PCs for lower-income consumers in Venezuela and Latin America. Domestically produced ‘clones’Venezuela Information Technology Report Q1 2008

have more than 50% of the market with Lenovo, Dell, HP, and Toshiba among the leading private sectorvendors. Since its foundation in October 2005, state-owned IT company Venezuela de IndustriaTecnologica (VIT) has already captured a close to 5% PC market share and in 2007 the companyexpected to sell 80,000 units priced at VEB900,000.

A similar situation pertains in the software field, where considerations of supporting the domesticsoftware industry lie behind the government’s promotion of open source software. In 2007 thegovernment announced that it had selected Uruguayan software firm Artech to deploy its K2B integratedmanagement platform for all of the MTI (Ministry of Information technologies) offices and facilities.

Computer Sales

Hardware dominates Venezuelan IT spending more than in many Latin American markets, accounting foran estimated 66% of the 2007 total. BMI is projecting that Venezuela’s computer and accessories marketwill have a CAGR of around 6% over the 2007-2012 period. For 2007, computer sales were put atUS$740mn, and should pass the US$1bn mark by 2012. The main drivers of growth in the PC segmentare lower prices and greater affordability, partly as a result of government cheap computer programmesand initiatives to encourage local production.

Software

Venezuela’s software market is estimated to have been worth US$283bn in 2007, and market value isexpected to pass US$300mn in 2008 and US$400mn by 2012. Software CAGR for 2007-2012 isprojected at around 7%. Software has opportunities for growth over the next few years, despite a softwarepiracy rate estimated at 86% in 2006, around 20% above the regional average. The market landscape islikely, moreover, to remain shaped by the government’s drive to promote open source software.

IT Services

Venezuela’s IT services market is estimated to have grown around 10% in 2007 to a value of aroundUS$681mn. Slightly lower growth of 9% is expected in 2008. By regional standards, the percentageaccounted for by services in this hardware dominated market is much lower than average at around 16%.However, BMI predicts that IT services will account for a steadily increasing portion of IT spendingduring the forecast period. High revenues from the oil industry will provide funds for spending on ITprojects, which are often favoured in such circumstances.

E-Readiness

Because of the low levels of internet access the country, the Venezuelan government has generally beenslow to roll out e-services. The recent decision by the government to launch in 2008 a consultation on aVenezuela Information Technology Report Q1 2008new telecoms law to promote competition may be a hopeful augur of progress. According to BMIestimates, the number of Venezuelan internet users reached 8.5mn in 2007, representing 18% of thepopulation. The percentage of broadband subscribers in the general population, however, was only 2.4%with just over 1.1mn subscribers.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market Overview
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Computer Sales
Software
IT Services
E-Readiness
SWOT Analysis
Venezuela IT Sector SWOT
Venezuela Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
Government Authority
Background
Hardware
Software
Services
Industry Developments
Industry Forecast
Table: Venezuela’a IT Industry Indicators
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Venezuela - Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Company Profiles
Venezuela de Industria Tecnologica (VIT)
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
IT Industry
Sources

Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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