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Turkey Telecommunications Report Q3 2007

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: December 2007
Product Code: R302-2511
Description
The biggest news in Turkey’s telecoms market this quarter is the country’s 3G auction, which finallywent ahead in early September. However, in a surprise move, Vodafone and Avea decided not to bid, andthe auction failed to attract any new entrants, leaving mobile market leader Turkcell as the onlyapplicant. The operator was duly awarded the A Type licence, which has the largest frequency band, afterentering a bid of US$440mn. At the time of writing, neither Vodafone nor Avea had made any officialstatement on their reasons for abstaining from the auction, although it is thought that they were protestingagainst the lack of mobile number portability in Turkey. They had previously claimed that in the absenceof number portability, the 3G licence tender would only serve to increase Turkcell’s dominant position inthe mobile sector. The move was a disappointment for the Turkish government, which had been hoping toearn as much as US$2bn from the sale. However, in the week following the auction, it emerged that thenational regulator and the Council of State may nullify the outcome of the auction on competitiongrounds.

While the outcome of the 3G auction was a disappointment, we maintain our broadly positive outlook forTurkey’s business environment. The resounding victory of the ruling party, the AKP, in July’s generalelections should improve investor confidence, especially as the administration has vowed to continue onits path of economic reform. Vodafone’s acquisition of and ongoing investment in Telsim should help theoperator to compete more effectively with Turkcell. Meanwhile, a stake in Oger Telecom, the largestshareholder in Turk Telekom and Avea, is due to be sold to an international investor, with France’sVivendi the most likely candidate.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Turkish Wireless Market, Net Additions Q207
Table: Turkish Wireless Market, Q207
Fixed-Line
Industry Developments
Table: Turkcell
Table: Vodafone*
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Turkey Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed-Line
Table - Turkey Telecoms Sector - Fixed-line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Turkey Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Business Environment Rankings
Middle East
Turkey
Table: MEA Business Environment Ranking
SWOT Analysis
Turkey Telecoms Industry SWOT
Company Monitor
Regional Case Study: Alcatel-Lucent
Teething Problems
Table: Alcatel-Lucent Q207 Financial Breakdown By Business Group (EURmn)
Asia Pacific Propping Up Revenue Growth
Eastern Adversaries
Table: Recent MEA Contract Wins
African Foothold
Future Prospects
Operator Profiles
Türk Telekom
Turkcell
Vodafone
Appendix: Competitive Landscape
Competitor Analysis
Table - Key Players: Turkish Telecoms Sector
Table - Selected Operators Financial Indicators
Key Players
Fixed-Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Internet
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Macroeconomic Climate
Table: Turkey - Economic Activity
BMI Forecast Modelling
How we generate our industry forecasts
Telecommunications Industry
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options


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