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Croatia Freight Transportation Report 2008

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: April 2008
Product Code: R302-2960
Description
In July 2007 the Croatian Motorway Company (HAC) called an international tender to enlarge two tunnels on a key motorway linking the capital with the Adriatic coast, according to news agency reports. The will be approximately HRK600mn (US$110.7mn), with the work due to be completed by May 2009. The proposed tunnels are to be constructed alongside the existing Sveti Rok and Mala Kapela single tunnels in mountainous central Croatia. Work has meanwhile been continuing on the highway connecting Croatia’s largest seaport and its capital. The project envisages the construction of 11 bridges, nine tunnels and accompanying facilities. The section is expected to be opened for traffic in late 2008 and will finally complete construction on the Rijeka-Zagreb highway, which began about 30 years ago. Croatia is moving ahead with motorway investments to improve the road haulage network across the country. In our new Croatia Freight Transport Report, BMI concludes that road freight tonnage will grow at an annual average of 5.3% over the next five years.

Various factors support this prediction. BMI is forecasting a period of steady growth in Croatia as the country focuses on EU accession over the rest of this decade. We expect that GDP will rise at an annual average of 4.9% for the next five years, a solid rate comparable to what was achieved over the preceding five years. This pace of development will be consistent with favourable freight transport industry development, as multi-modal links to the EU are improved and east-west pipeline opportunities are developed. Croatia’s development pattern will rely on the country’s freight transit role.

Total freight carried fell as a result of the regional wars in the 1990s and has been recovering in subsequent years. Road freight is now dominant, with a 68% share of the total, followed by rail with 20%. Looking forward, we forecast that overall Croatian freight tonnage will grow by an average of 5.0% per annum, a little ahead of GDP. Growth will be led by airfreight (5.7%), road haulage (5.3%), pipelines (5.0%) and rail (4.1%). Croatia scores a total of 40 in our freight business operating environment rating out of a theoretical maximum of 70, which places it near the average for its European peers.

For the 2006-2010 forecast period, we expect the transport and communications sector to continue outpacing the economy as a whole. BMI predicts an average annual growth of 6.1%, versus 4.9% for overall GDP. The total value of transport and communications GDP is forecast to rise to US$6.08bn in nominal terms by 2010, representing 9.1% of Croatia’s GDP.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary



SWOT Analysis

Croatia Freight Transit SWOT

Croatia Political SWOT

Croatia Economic SWOT

Croatia Business Environment SWOT



Business Environment Overview

Table: Central And Eastern Europe Business Environment Ranking

Croatia - Business Environment Ranking

Economics - Long-Term Risk

Politics - Long-Term Risk

Freight Transport Growth

Transport Infrastructure Growth

Regulatory Environment

Competitive Environment

Transport Intensity Index

Political Risk Summary

Economic Risk Summary

Business Environment Risk Summary

Legal Code/Corruption

Labour Force



Industry Trends And Developments

Road

Air

Sea And River

Pipelines



Industry Forecast Scenario

Macroeconomic Forecast

Table: Croatia - Economic Activity

Transport Outlook

Table: Freight Carried, Domestic And International

Table: Freight Transport Indicators



Trade Environment

Table: Value Of Imports By Category (US$mn)

Table: Value Of Exports By Category



Market Overview

Multi-Modal

Competitive Landscape: Multi-Modal

Infrastructure

Road

Competitive Landscape: Road

Rail

Air

Competitive Landscape: Aviation

Water

Competitive Landscape: Maritime

Company Profiles

Pipelines

Competitive Landscape: Pipelines



BMI Forecast Modelling

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Transport Industry

Sources

Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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