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Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q2 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: June 2009
Product Code: R302-6356
Description
December 2008 brought good news for all of Venezuela’s mobile operators. Market leader Movilnet, themobile arm of incumbent CANTV, finally launched its GSM network in two states, eight months after ithad intended to launch the new platform. The operator’s president, Jacqueline Farías, indicated that theroll-out would continue at a slow pace in order to guarantee that the network coverage and quality was ona par with its existing CDMA network. The operator also announced its intention to offer 3G servicesover its new network by the end of 2009.

Venezuela joined the list of Latin American mobile markets to have seen 3G launches in 2008 whenTelefónica’s Movistar launched a UMTS/W-CDMA network in the greater Caracas area. The initialservices available are predominantly mobile broadband and data based, but Movistar has said it willexpand the applications available as it moves its network coverage outside the capital. A total ofVEF280mn will be invested over the first two phases of introduction, a considerable investment forMovistar. However it now has the advantage of being the first to bring 3G value-added services to themarket and this will do nothing but improve its reputation. While the operator’s market share improved inQ308, BMI does not believe that Movistar will necessarily try to compete directly with Movilnet. Thegovernment-owned operator is heavily focused on increasing telecoms usage for lower incomesubscribers, leaving the high end of the market open to operators such as Movistar and Digitel. Movistarhas introduced a pay-TV service which is clearly aimed at the high end of the market.

Meanwhile Digitel received 10MHz of spectrum in December 2008, for which it paid US$26mn,allowing it to improve services in the eastern and western regions. The operator had been awarded thespectrum in May 2008 but had to wait to the end of the year for delivery. The company’s results, based onregulatory data, show a slight decline in market share and still the highest prepaid subscriber base in thecountry. However, Digitel has stated its intention to launch 3G services before the end of Q109, whichwill be beneficial in improving its subscriber mix and boosting its revenues.

Developments in the mobile market mean that we have maintained our optimistic view of mobile marketgrowth for Venezuela. Following the introduction of new mobile data services analysis we have leftfixed-line and broadband data untouched over this quarter and will give a full update in the next report.A lower regulatory score and a fall in its country risk rating has seen Venezuela drop to 10th place in ourrankings, one place lower than previously. Venezuela faces a number of political and economic threats,with the drop in oil prices likely to impact the economy in the near future. We have also lowered theregulatory score for Venezuela following the nomination of CANTV’s president as Minister ofCommunications. BMI had held off decreasing the rating as the change had no immediate impact on themarket, but we have since seen no indication of any moves towards promoting competition.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Venezuela Mobile SWOT Analysis
Venezuela Political SWOT Analysis
Venezuela Economic SWOT Analysis
Venezuela Business Environment SWOT Analysis
Business Environment
Latin America Business Environment Rankings
Venezuela
Table: BMI Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings
Macroeconomic Climate
Table: Venezuela - Economic Activity
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Venezuelan Telecoms Sector - Mobiles - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed-Line
Table: Venezuelan Telecoms Sector - Fixed-Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Venezuela Wireless Market, Net Additions, Q208-Q308
Table: Venezuela Wireless Market, Q308
Subscriber Mix
ARPU & MOU
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Venezuela - Selected Recent Contracts Awarded
Mobile Content
Regional Overview
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Value-Added Services Timeline
Mobile Operator Data
Venezuela Mobile Market Overview
Movilnet (CANTV)
Movistar
Digitel
Fixed-Line
Table: Venezuela Local Market, Q208
Table: CANTV Fixed-Line Revenues 2006-2007 (VEBbn)*
Table: Venezuela Pay TV Market 2007-2008
Internet
Table: Venezuela Internet Market 2007-2008 By Connection Type (‘000)
Regulatory Environment
Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In Venezuela
Venezuela: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Background & Regulatory Bodies
Regulatory Issues
Competition
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: Venezuelan Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operator Financial Indicators
Company Monitor
Alvarion Selected Financial Data (US$mn)
Table: Alvarion Customers By Region
Selected Profiles - Operators
Compañía Anónima de Teléfonos de Venezuela (CANTV)
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed-Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Internet
Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Table: Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
Country Snapshot: Venezuela Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Glossary of Terms
BMI Forecasting And Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Telecommunications Industry Forecast
Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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