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Malaysia Infrastructure Report Q3 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: June 2009
Product Code: R302-6664
Description
We have revised down our forecasts for this quarter in light of worse than expected gross fixed capitalformation and real capital investment growth figures. In 2008, real capital investment growth was just1.1%, compared with an earlier estimate of 5.4%. This exacerbates our earlier-expressed fears thatpromised government investment in infrastructure is often failing to materialise (in part due to thegovernment's funding constraints). We now believe that the real value of Malaysia's construction sectorwill decline by 3.6% in 2009, compared with our earlier 2009 forecast of a relatively shallow decline of-1.4%. Furthermore, we are now more bearish about the prospects for 2010 than we were during our lastupdate. We now predict that the sector will register real growth of just 0.4% next calendar year, comparedwith our earlier forecast of 2.1%. Thereafter, we anticipate only very modest real sector growth in 2011and 2012 of 1.2% and 1.8% respectively.

The principal news in Malaysia’s infrastructure sector in the last quarter is concerning Malaysia's largestpower producer, Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB), which is aiming to raise ringgit-denominated loansfor funding its US$2bn undersea electricity transmission line (May 2009). The submarine transmissionline will transfer power from Sarawak on Borneo to the peninsula. The project includes installation of a730km high-voltage direct current transmission network. It also includes laying of a 670km underseacable for the 2,400MW Bakun hydro-electric dam.

This quarter we introduce a profile for IJM Corp. The company, which has interests across a wide rangeof infrastructure-related sectors and geographic regions, maintained a profit in the last 12-month reportingperiod. Several factors offer support, including exposure to India’s market, where we anticipatemoderately strong economic growth in 2009, in contrast to recessions in many other countries (includingMalaysia).
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market Overview
Malaysia
Global Overview
Governments To The Rescue: The Global Surge In Infrastructure Spending
Table: Infrastructure Stimulus Plans List, 2009-2010 (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Malaysia Infrastructure SWOT
Malaysia Political SWOT
Malaysia Economic SWOT
Malaysia Business Environment SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Airports
Ports
Roads
Railways
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
Primary Energy Demand
Meeting Future Demand
New And Ongoing Projects
Power Plants and Transmission Grids
Oil and Gas Pipelines
Water
Construction Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Residential Construction
Commercial Construction
Industrial Construction
Tourism Construction
Major Projects
Table: Malaysia - Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport
Table: Malaysia Major Infrastructure Projects - Utilities
Table: Malaysia Major Infrastructure Projects - Construction
Table: Economic And Construction Data
BMI Forecasts
Risks
Business Environment
Asia Pacific Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risk To The Realisation Of Potential Returns
Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Asia Pacific
Table: Design And Construction Rating
Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Foreign Direct Investment
Labour Force
Legal Framework
Tax Regime
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Malaysia - Economic Activity
Political Outlook
Company Monitor
Table: Malaysia - Key Players
Company Profiles
IJM Corp
Gamuda
WCT Berhad
Country Snapshot: Malaysia Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2003
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Forecast BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Construction Industry
Sources
Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Overview
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
Project Finance Ratings Methodology
Design & Construction Phase
Historical Data & Forecasts
Commissioning and Operating Phase- Commercial Construction
Commissioning and Operating Phase - Energy and Utilities
Commissioning and Operating Phase -Transport
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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