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France Telecommunications Report Q3 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: July 2009
Product Code: R302-7095
Description
France’s fixed-line market has begun its irreversible decline with the rate of decline in 2008 on a par withthe decrease seen in 2007. As subscribers increasingly choose wireless connections over wireline, there islittle good news for operators in the market. The main focus now for companies in the wireline market ison broadband services which saw good growth in 2008.

Other than the popularity of mobile services, fixed-line subscriptions are falling as an increasing numberof fixed voice users choose VoIP over a fixed-line service. As naked DSL is increasingly available andoperators are keen to offer all services over a single platform, there is a drive from operators to sign upsubscribers to use VoIP services with considerable discounts in place. However, this is affectingtraditional fixed-line revenues which remain a significant proportion of total revenues for operators in themarket. As the incumbent, France Telecom is inevitably affected most by the decline, with strong lossesreported in 2008 and further decreases set for the future.

As there is little prospect of growth for fixed-line services, operators have turned their focus to ensuringfaster broadband services are available. France Telecom has rolled out fibre-optic networks in severalcities, as have SFR, Iliad and Numéricāble, providing real competition for very high-speed services.This is helping to drive growth in the broadband market and BMI’s forecasts are for strong increases inbroadband subscriptions over the next five years. Operators are offering download speeds up to 100Mbpsand high-definition IPTV services over a single connection as well as a VoIP connection. This is boostingsubscriptions as operators expand the reaches of their networks.

However, the coverage of these fibre-optic networks remains centred around France’s major cities withseveral already taking place in Paris. Reaching smaller, more rural areas will be a challenge for operatorsand unlikely to take place before they can see a real return on their current fibre-optic deployments. Abreakdown of deployments by operator is included in our Internet chapter which, like the fixed-linesection, has been extended to take in new data including broadband ARPUs from France Telecom andIliad.

As mentioned in our previous report, the focus for Q309 is on the fixed-line and broadband markets,leaving our mobile section untouched. However, we have updated our mobile operator databases andupgraded our forecasts to take into account Orange’s loss of subscribers in the first quarter of 2009.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
France Mobile Business Environment SWOT
France Wireline Business Environment SWOT
France Political SWOT
France Economic SWOT
Business Environment Analysis
Western Europe
France
Table: Western Europe Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: France Telecom Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Fixed Line
Table: France Telecom Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Internet
Table: France Telecom Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Mobile
Table: France Mobile Market, Q408
Table: France Mobile Market Net Additions, Q208-Q408
Subscriber Mix
Table: French Mobile Network Operator Subscriber Mix, Q408
ARPU
Table: French Mobile Market Blended ARPU, Q208-Q408
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: France Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Overview
France Market
VAS Timeline
Table: VAS Timeline
Mobile Data
Table: France Mobile Market Overview
Table: Orange
Table: SFR
Table: Bouygues Telecom
Table: MVNO
Fixed Line
Table: French Fixed-Line Market Q407-Q408
Table: French Fixed-Line Market 2003-2007
Table: France Telecom Subscriber Base (mn)
ARPU
Local Loop Unbundling
Functional Separation
Internet
Table: French Internet Market, Q407-Q408
Table: France Telecom Internet Subscribers (‘000)
The Broadband ‘Box’
ARPU
Technologies
Table: France Telecom FTTH
Table: Wireline Developments
Regulatory Environment
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In France
Background And Regulatory Bodies
Competition
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Market Overview
Table: Key Players: France Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2005-2008
Company Monitor
Table: Sony Ericsson Financial Highlights
Table: Ericsson Financial Highlights (SEKmn)
Table: Ericsson Recent Contract Wins In Western Europe
Operator Profiles
Appendix
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
Country Snapshot: France Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2005
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms
BMI Telecoms Forecast & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecasting:
Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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