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Turkey Telecommunications Report Q3 2009Product Type: Market Research ReportPublished by: Business Monitor International Published: July 2009 Product Code: R302-7100 Description In this update of our Turkey telecoms report, we have concentrated on the fixed-line and broadbandsections, adding new research and data to provide more in depth coverage. Because of this focus, themobile section, which was heavily expanded in the last quarter, has only received a very basic update ofthe data and major new developments.Since we are concentrating on the fixed-line and broadband markets, Türk Telekom has been the star ofour update. Türk Telekom still holds what is effectively a monopoly on fixed-line voice services. Although there are numerous operators licensed to offer long-distance calling services through carrierpre-selection, this is barely a blip on the incumbent’s radar, since it does not have to contend with localloop unbundling (LLU) or a significant fixed-wireless market. What it does have to worry about,however, is mobile substitution, and the effect of this can clearly be seen in fixed-line customer numbers,which have continued to decline for some time. Türk Telekom is doing its best to show that fixed-lineservices can compete in a mobile-centric market, but it is yet to have any success in slowing the fall insubscriptions. Türk Telekom is also the main supplier of broadband, through its subsidiary internet service provider(ISP) TTNet. There are other ADSL ISPs that use the Türk Telekom network, and these are believed tohave a little more impact than the limited competition in the fixed-line market, threatening the ADSLARPUs, which have generally been increasing. ADSL drives broadband growth, but there are alternative technologies present, and their footprint isgrowing. Leading mobile operator Turkcell is investing in its own fibre network. Although it hasgenerally provided networking services, it could yet become a significant commercial broadband layerfollowing its ongoing investment. Another potential boost to the broadband market comes from thegovernment’s decision, as part of a larger stimulus package, to drop some of the special communicationstax from internet services. Turkey is suffering at the hands of the global slowdown and financial turmoil. Turkcell reports that profitshave been hit by the massive depreciation of the Turkish lira against the US dollar. BMI has forecast verydifficult economic conditions in Turkey in 2009 and 2010, but we believe telecoms will weather the stormwell. Table of Contents
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