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Southern Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: July 2009
Product Code: R302-7425
Description
We have not seen any dramatic changes in our Southern African markets this quarter. The first quarter of2009 saw the continuation of established trends in the mobile markets of Angola, Botswana, Mauritiusand Mozambique.

Botswana saw its growth continue to slow, with one of the operators actually losing some subscribersduring Q109. All this is very much in line with the fact that Botswana has a fairly mature market that isapproaching saturation. The operator will need to step up their promotion of value-added services if theywant to see continued growth, because it is not going to come from customer numbers.

Mauritius, although having lower penetration than Botswana, is still seeing its mobile market growthdecline more rapidly, and this decline again accelerated in Q109. Mauritius’ mobile market seems to havelost energy and begun to stagnate, and it is hard to see what could revive it besides more competition.

2009 will be a challenging year for operators there, as the country is likely to feel keenly the effect of theglobal economic slowdown, to which the island nation is heavily exposed. However, the completion ofthe LION cable project is good news for the telecommunications market, as the cable will bring newinternational bandwidth to the islands, reducing costs.

Angola is still the best performer out of the four, in BMI’s opinion. Penetration is low and growth hasbeen strong, despite the fact that average revenue per user (ARPU) levels have remained fairly high, or atleast high compared with many other countries in Africa. Angola has also seen probably the most excitingdevelopments to come up in the region this quarter. Angola Telecom announced a big spending plan thatshould see the reach of fixed-line and broadband services extended a great deal over the coming years. Ithas also launched an undersea cable project in conjunction with a number of alternative operators,signalling the country’s willingness for more market liberalisation.

Mozambique is also still growing, but at a slower rate than Angola and many other states. Mobilepenetration is low, but the market does not seem to be able to get over the hump and into the middlephase of high growth. While many countries in sub-Saharan Africa have high levels of poverty,Mozambique is one of the poorest, and this may be forming something of a barrier to the rapid growththat has been seen in other markets in the last two years.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Southern Africa Telecommunications SWOT
Angola Business Environment SWOT
Botswana Business Environment SWOT
Mozambique Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Africa
Southern Africa
Table: Africa Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Macroeconomic Data
Table: Southern Africa Macroeconomic Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Angola
Table: Angola Mobile Market, Q408
Botswana
Table: Botswana Mobile Market, Q408
Mauritius
Table: Mauritius Mobile Market, Q109
Mozambique
Table: Mozambique Mobile Market, Q109
Fixed Line And Internet
Angola
Botswana
Mauritius
Mozambique
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: Southern Africa Telecoms Regulators
Industry Developments
Angola
Botswana
Mauritius
Mozambique
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: Southern Africa Telecoms Sector
Company Monitor
Table: Alcatel Lucent Reported Results, Q108-Q109 (EURmn)
Table: Middle East And Africa Highlights For Alcatel-Lucent in 2008-2009
Profiles
Unitel Angola
Mascom Botswana
Mauritius Telecom/Orange
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Internet Use
Table: Regional Internet Use Penetration Overview
Macroeconomic Data Tables
Table: Angola - Economic Activity
Table: Botswana - Economic Activity
Table: Mozambique - Economic Activity
Table: Mauritius - Economic Activity
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms
BMI Telecommunications Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecast Table
Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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