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West and Central Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: July 2009
Product Code: R302-7435
Description
Following the reorganisation of the West and Central Africa report in the last quarterly update - whichincluded the addition of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and some new sections, as well asthe exclusion of Ghana - in this update we have made yet more improvements. BMI has beefed up itscoverage of the region’s markets with forecasts and a SWOT analysis relating specifically to the fixedlineand internet segments.

This is the first time BMI has made forecasts for fixed-line, internet and broadband use in the region. Theresults have been quite interesting. Both fixed-line and internet services are not far reaching in thesecountries, and penetration remains low. This does not mean, however, that these areas are not attractinginvestment. In fact, unlike many other regions, we do expect to see some fixed-line growth over thecoming years, although we believe that all the markets will eventually give way under the increasingpressure of the massive popularity of mobile services. Broadband is also attracting investment, with thefocus increasingly on WiMAX and other fixed-wireless technologies that make it easier and moreaffordable to roll out new services. We expect good growth from broadband, although we believe the totalnumbers are going to stay relatively low during our forecast period.

On the mobile front, we have not seen any dramatic changes, although all of our West and Central Africamarkets did manage to overshoot our 2008 estimates, except for the DRC. This is good news forcontinuing growth in the mobile markets. By the end of our forecast period, we expect the average mobilepenetration rate across the seven countries covered in this report to have risen to 74%.

In terms of interesting developments, probably the biggest news is that Chinese equipment manufacturerZTE is selling its stake in DRC mobile operator CCT, which is the fourth-ranked operator in the market,and Orange Senegal has joined Cameroon in launching an MVNO, a move that BMI sees as somewhatpremature in these developing mobile markets.

In the Business Environment Rankings, Mali has retained its second-last position, as the partialprivatisation of the incumbent Sotelma was successful, with a stake sold to regional telecoms investorMaroc Telecom.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
West And Central Africa Mobile SWOT
West And Central Africa Fixed-Line And Internet SWOT
Business Environment
Africa
West And Central Africa
Table: West and Central Africa Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Macroeconomic Data
Table: West And Central Africa Macroeconomic Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet and Broadband - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Cameroon
Table: Cameroon Mobile Market, Q408
Côte d’Ivoire
Table: Côte d’Ivoire Mobile Market, Q408
Democratic Republic Of The Congo (DRC)
Table: Democratic Republic Of The Congo Mobile Market, Q408
Gabon
Table: Gabon Mobile Market, Q408
Mali
Table: Mali Mobile Market, Q408
Mauritania
Table: Mauritania Mobile Market, Q408
Senegal
Table: Senegal Mobile Market, Q408
Fixed Line And Internet
Cameroon
Côte d’Ivoire
Democratic Republic Of The Congo (DRC)
Gabon
Mali
Mauritania
Senegal
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: West & Central Africa Telecoms Regulators
Cameroon
Côte d’Ivoire
DRC
Gabon
Mali
Mauritania
Senegal
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: West & Central Africa Telecoms Sector
Company Monitor
Table: Alcatel Lucent Reported Results, Q108-Q109 (EURmn)
Middle East And Africa Highlights For Alcatel-Lucent in 2008-2009
Regional Profiles
MTN
MTN
Table: MTN Group, March 2009
France Télécom
France Télécom
Table: France Télécom Africa Subscribers, 2007-2008 (‘000)
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Internet Usage
Table: Regional Internet Use Penetration Overview
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
BMI Telecommunications Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecast Table
Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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