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West and Central Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2009Product Type: Market Research ReportPublished by: Business Monitor International Published: July 2009 Product Code: R302-7435 Description Following the reorganisation of the West and Central Africa report in the last quarterly update - whichincluded the addition of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and some new sections, as well asthe exclusion of Ghana - in this update we have made yet more improvements. BMI has beefed up itscoverage of the region’s markets with forecasts and a SWOT analysis relating specifically to the fixedlineand internet segments.This is the first time BMI has made forecasts for fixed-line, internet and broadband use in the region. Theresults have been quite interesting. Both fixed-line and internet services are not far reaching in thesecountries, and penetration remains low. This does not mean, however, that these areas are not attractinginvestment. In fact, unlike many other regions, we do expect to see some fixed-line growth over thecoming years, although we believe that all the markets will eventually give way under the increasingpressure of the massive popularity of mobile services. Broadband is also attracting investment, with thefocus increasingly on WiMAX and other fixed-wireless technologies that make it easier and moreaffordable to roll out new services. We expect good growth from broadband, although we believe the totalnumbers are going to stay relatively low during our forecast period. On the mobile front, we have not seen any dramatic changes, although all of our West and Central Africamarkets did manage to overshoot our 2008 estimates, except for the DRC. This is good news forcontinuing growth in the mobile markets. By the end of our forecast period, we expect the average mobilepenetration rate across the seven countries covered in this report to have risen to 74%. In terms of interesting developments, probably the biggest news is that Chinese equipment manufacturerZTE is selling its stake in DRC mobile operator CCT, which is the fourth-ranked operator in the market,and Orange Senegal has joined Cameroon in launching an MVNO, a move that BMI sees as somewhatpremature in these developing mobile markets. In the Business Environment Rankings, Mali has retained its second-last position, as the partialprivatisation of the incumbent Sotelma was successful, with a stake sold to regional telecoms investorMaroc Telecom. Table of Contents
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