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Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q3 2009Product Type: Market Research ReportPublished by: Business Monitor International Published: July 2009 Product Code: R302-7495 Description In our latest update of the BMI Nigeria Telecommunications report, we have concentrated out efforts onexpanding the coverage we provide on the fixed-line and internet developments in the country, havingexpanded the mobile content section in the last update. For this quarter, mobile market data analysis hasbeen left dormant, although the data tables have of course been updated.Nitel, Nigeria’s fixed-line incumbent and owner of all of the country’s admittedly limited fixed-lineinfrastructure, continues to go nowhere fast. Although Globacom has emerged as a potential buyer, the reprivatisationprocess shows no signs of concluding, as the government appears to want to hold off a whilelonger, giving a specially appointed committee the chance to turn the business around. Meanwhile, whatinfrastructure there is continues to go down hill, with a high percentage of the company’s exchanges notfunctioning for a lot of the time. However, there is good news in the world of fixed-line services in Nigeria, and it comes courtesy offixed-wireless technologies. The market supports a very large number of fixed-wireless players, but it isdominated by Starcomms with over 65% of the market in its hands. Of the rest there are only a few with amarket share above 1%, with the strongest including Reltel and Multi-Links. Fixed-wireless is a muchmore economically viable way to offer fixed voice services, and it is likely to continue to dominategrowth in this sector. With a lot of new investment pouring into broadband services, fixed-wireless technologies also seem tobe coming out as the big winners. As well as CDMA, which is what most of the fixed-wireless voiceoperators use, some of this investment is going to go to WiMAX. Apart from this, there has also beeninterest in broadband over powerline (BPL) and fibre networks, although these will be non-viable in moresparsely populated areas. Figures from Nigeria’s telecom regulator, the Nigeria Communications Commission (NCC), released inJanuary 2009 effectively confirmed the very strong growth that BMI had predicted for 2008, andespecially the final quarter of the year. The eventual results put the country’s mobile subscriber base atthe end of 2008 at 62.982mn, which is approximately 0.2% higher than BMI had forecast for the end ofthe year. It was an especially strong final quarter, with net additions of 7.146mn, a big improvement on5.825mn in Q308, and more than twice the 3.425mn seen in Q407. In fact, BMI believes that this was arecord quarter for the Nigerian market. This strong growth has continued into 2009, with the number ofnet additions and quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) growth ramped up again in Q109. The market expanded over14% during Q109 to reach nearly 63.9mn subscribers Table of Contents
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