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Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q4 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: August 2009
Product Code: R302-7634
Description
President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono - who was re-elected in July 2009 - has claimed thatinfrastructure projects will be among his major priorities over the next five years as the country seeks toboost growth and reduce poverty. BMI believes that as the global economy begins to recover in thesecond half of the year foreign investment funds will begin flowing into Indonesia once again, and thatthe government should take advantage of this opportunity to secure financing for key infrastructureprojects.

The Yudhoyono government has already been active in this area, pledging to improve the country’s roads,airports, power plants, bridges and irrigation system. According to the National Development PlanningAgency (Bappenas) the government will finance at least 29% of the total IDR1,430trn (US$140bn) that isexpected to be spent on infrastructure between 2009 and 2014. The shortfall will be met by both local andforeign investors. As well as boosting economic growth, large-scale public works projects will alsoprovide employment. However, Indonesia has not been as severely impacted by the global financial crisisas other countries. Unemployment stands at 8.1%, which is down from 9.3% in 2008.

Following the re-election of Yudhoyono, the biggest question is arguably whether Indonesia can join theBRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) league and make the group 'BRIIC'. Goldman Sachs in 2005identified Indonesia as one of the 'Next 11' big emerging markets, and in Indonesia itself a group ofbusiness leaders and politicians have initiated a 'Vision 2030' plan to raise GDP per capita to US$18,000,have 30 companies in the Fortune 500 list, and make Indonesia one of the five biggest economies in theworld by 2030. Reducing the country’s infrastructure deficit will be vital to achieving these ambitiousgoals.

In general the climate for investments in Indonesia’s infrastructure sector appears to be improving,although the country still suffers from a number of structural problems that are restricting economicdevelopment, including power outages and transportation bottlenecks. BMI believes that an undevelopedfinancial sector is also a serious issue, as it has made it difficult to secure long-term financing. Despitethis, BMI forecasts that the construction sector will reach a value of US$71.66bn in 2013, up from afigure of US$37.35bn in 2008, driven by the fiscal stimulus package that will concentrate oninfrastructure works.

In positive news, PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), Indonesia's state-owned electricity company,has reportedly secured US$437.1mn in loans from a consortium of 23 regional banks. In addition, it hassigned a US$1.06bn loan agreement with the China Export Import Bank and the Bank of China. Bothagreements will go some way to help PLN implement its ambitious plans to develop Indonesia'selectricity generating capabilities. Under the 'fast-track' programme, PLN will develop 10,000MW ofcoal-fired generating capacity through the construction of 35 power plants, to come online by 2011. Thusfar, according to the Jakarta Globe, 33 power plants have been contracted; however, four have yet tosecure financing.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market Overview
Global Overview
Governments To The Rescue: The Global Surge In Infrastructure Spending
Table: Infrastructure Stimulus Plans List
SWOT Analysis
Indonesia Infrastructure Industry SWOT
Indonesia Political SWOT
Indonesia Economic SWOT
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
Developing Roads
More Track Needs To Be Laid
Tourists Boost Airport Sector
Trade Mainly By Water
New And Ongoing Projects
Airports
Ports
Roads And Bridges
Railways
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Power Plants And Transmission Grids
Pipelines
Water
Construction Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Residential Construction
Commercial Construction
Industrial Construction
Tourism Construction
Table: Indonesia - Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport
Table: Indonesia - Major Infrastructure Projects - Utilities
Table: Indonesia - Major Infrastructure Projects - Construction
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Indonesia - Construction And Industry Data
Table: Value Of Work Completed By Construction Companies Based On Letters Of Contract
Risks
Business Environment
Asia Pacific Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Asia Pacific
Table: Design And Construction Rating
Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Foreign Investment Policy
Labour Force
Legal Framework
Tax Regime
Corruption
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity
Political Outlook
Company Monitor
PT Adhi Karya
John Holland Group
PT Wijaya Karya (WIKA)
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Construction Industry
Sources
Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Overview
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
Project Finance Ratings Methodology
Table: Design And Construction Phase
Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Commercial Construction
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Energy And Utilities
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Transport
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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