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Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: August 2009
Product Code: R302-7702
Description
Venezuela’s mobile market creeps ever closer to 100% penetration with 27.6mn subscribers at the end of Q109. Growth in the market has inevitably slowed as the market approaches maturity, but BMI anticipates a respectable level of growth to continue in the market as state-owned incumbent, Compañía Anónima de Teléfonos de Venezuela (CANTV), continues its focus on low-income subscribers. The operator is largely responsible for all the growth in the fixed-line and broadband markets and produced most of the growth in the mobile market in Q109. The company no longer produces a breakdown of its subscriber figures, but it appears to be the driving force behind the Venezuelan telecoms market. Its new services and packages have been encouraging greater numbers of Venezuelans into the telecoms market, many for the first time.

May saw the launch of the first Venezuelan-produced handset from the government’s joint venture with China’s ZTE. The ‘Bolivarian’ handset went on sale on Mother’s Day in Venezuela and reportedly sold out of handsets on its first day. The cost of the handset is considerably lower than any other sold by Movilnet, CANTV’s mobile arm, and is available exclusively to the state-owned operator. President Chávez has hailed the new handset and stated plans to expand into other Latin American markets. While the handset may not significantly spur growth in the market, it will certainly enable many subscribers to acquire a new handset. More advanced services and models are available from Digitel and Movistar, both of which have launched 3G services although they are focusing on mobile broadband in the short run.

The broadband market continues to report strong growth, and the increases reported in the first quarter of 2008 show that there is unlikely to be a significant slowdown in the expansion of services. Alternative operators provide some competition to CANTV, but the incumbent’s prepaid services certainly seem to appeal to the market. Venezuela saw an improvement to its Telecoms Market score in BMI’s Business Environment Rankings in Q409, although it retained its position in the market. Greater ARPUs reported by Movistar indicate that the market has been quite resilient in the face of economic turmoil, but BMI believes that ARPU at Movilnet is likely to have declined somewhat as it focuses on lower income subscribers. Movistar has launched its 3G network, and Digitel also followed suit, although the latter stated it would delay further roll-out of services in light of ongoing turmoil in the financial markets and the economy. GDP is expected to decline in 2009 and then further in 2010, giving Venezuela one of the lowest Country Risk scores in the region.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis

Venezuela Mobile SWOT Analysis

Venezuela Wireline SWOT Analysis

Venezuela Political SWOT Analysis

Venezuela Economic SWOT Analysis

Venezuela Business Environment SWOT Analysis

Business Environment

Latin America Business Environment Rankings

Venezuela

Table: BMI Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings

Industry Forecast Scenario

Mobile

Table: Venezuelan Telecoms Sector - Mobiles - Historical Data & Forecasts

Fixed Line

Table: Venezuelan Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts

Internet

Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts

Market Data Analysis

Mobile

Table: Venezuela Wireless Market, Net Additions, Q408-Q109

Table: Venezuela Wireless Market, Q109

Subscriber Mix

ARPU & MOU

3G

Mobile Contract Wins

Table: Venezuela - Selected Recent Contracts Awarded

Mobile Content

Regional Overview

Country Outlook

Value-Added Services Timeline

Table: Venezuela - Selected Recent Contracts Awarded

Mobile Operator Data

Table: Venezuela Mobile Market Overview

Movilnet (CANTV)

Table: Movistar

Table: Digitel

Fixed Line

Table: Venezuela Local Market, Q109

Table: CANTV Fixed-Line Revenue Breakdown (VEFmn)

Pay-TV

Table: Venezuela Pay TV Market 2008-2009

Internet/Broadband

Table: Venezuela Internet Market 2008-2009 By Connection Type (‘000)

Venezuela Wireline Developments

Regulatory Environment

Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In Venezuela

Venezuela: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities

Background & Regulatory Bodies

Regulatory Issues

Competition

Industry Developments

Competitive Landscape

Key Players

Table: Key Players: Venezuelan Telecoms Sector

Table: Selected Operator Financial Indicators

Company Monitor

Vendor Profile

Selected Profiles - Operators

Appendix:

Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview

Fixed Line

Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview

Internet

Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview

Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview

Mobile

Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview

Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology

Ratings Overview

Weighting

Table: Weighting

Indicators

Indicators

Country Snapshot: Venezuela Demographic Data

Section 1: Population

Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030

Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030

Section 2: Education And Healthcare

Table: Education, 2002-2005

Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power

Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006

Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)

BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary

Table: Glossary Of Terms

BMI Forecasting And Sourcing

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Table: Telecommunications Industry Forecast

Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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