Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2009: Industry Report

Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: August 2009
Product Code: R302-7732

Description

This is BMI’s first full update since the sections on mobile, fixed-line and broadband were extended. Wehave also, for the first time, introduced a new forecast table for mobile ARPU rates into the IndustryForecast Section.

The continued dominance of prepaid subscribers, accounting for around 95% of the total has largely beento blame for the falling blended ARPU rates. In addition, the rise in the number of new entrants into themobile industry has seen overall price plans decline so that this has also negatively impacted ARPUs. Atthe end of 2008, the average ARPU rate stood at IDR44,160, and down from IDR58,092 in the previousyear. BMI is forecasting that 2009 will also experience a decline reaching IDR34,354, falling further toIDR22,501as of 2013.

There is the potential, however, for blended ARPU rates to improve in the longer term. Improvements inthe 3G market, in particular, should help to raise spending. At present, 3G accounts for around 5% of themarket total, despite its early introduction. While tariffs remain a major barrier to take-up, the lack ofappealing mobile content, combined with limited handset models and variety, has similarly contributed tothe slow adoption rates.

Following Telkomsel’s announcement that it had 65.3mn mobile subscribers at the end of 2008, we arenow able to present a fuller picture of the current mobile competitive landscape. At the end of the year,there were 146.332mn mobile subscribers, representing growth of 50.4%, largely flat from the previousyear, which expanded by 49.3%. This revealed itself to be due to operators discounting inactivesubscriber figures from their total customer bases, so that the Indonesian market continues to exhibitstrong potential for growth. By 2013, BMI forecasts that the total market will have doubled, withpenetration rates at 172.3%.

The culling of inactive customers by operators also meant that Indonesia’s maturity levels dropped,adding to its attractiveness in BMI’s latest Business Environment Ratings index. This, together with therise in independence of regulator score from 50 to 60, due to improvements in competition, led Indonesiato rise up the table to joint 10th place with Pakistan, out of a total of 18, compared to its previous quarterlyposition of 12th.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary: SWOT Analysis; Indonesia Wireline (Fixed Line And Broadband) Business Environment SWOT; Indonesia Mobile Business Environment SWOT; Indonesia Political SWOT; Indonesia Economic SWOT; Indonesia Business Environment SWOT; Business Environment Rankings; Asia; Indonesia
Table: Asia Telecoms Business Environment Rankings: Industry Forecast Scenario; Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts: ARPU
Table: Telecoms Sector - ARPU - Historical Data & Forecasts: Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts: Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts: Market Data Analysis; Mobile; Market Overview
Table: No. Of Mobile Subscribers (March 2009)
Table: No. Of Mobile Net Additions (March 2009): Subscriber Divisions; MOU & ARPU; 3G; Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins, 2008-2009: Mobile Content; Regional Outlook
Table: Asia VAS Market By Service (US$bn): Country Outlook; SMS; Telkomsel SMS Messages Sent (bn) Vs Revenues per SMS (IDR); Mobile Broadband; Other Content
Table: Selected VAS Services Launched, 2008-2009: Mobile Operator Data; Indonesia Mobile Market Overview (1); Telkomsel; Indosat; Excelcomindo; Bakrie Telecom; Fixed Line
Table: Telkom Fixed-Line ARPU (IDR'000): Fixed-Wireless
Table: Major Fixed-Wireless Operators - Number Of Subscribers (mn): Broadband; Wireline (Fixed Line & Broadband) Developments
Table: Wireline Developments, 2008-2009: Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments; Indonesia: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities; Interconnection; Universal Service Obligation; Industry Development; Competitive Landscape; Competitor Analysis; Key Players
Table: Key Players - Indonesia Telecoms Sector
Table: Key Operators Financial Indicators, 2002-2008: Company Monitor
Table: Alcatel-Lucent Revenues By Service Type (EURmn)
Table: Alcatel-Lucent Revenues By Region (EURmn)
Table: Alcatel-Lucent: A Selection Of Major Contracts: Selected Profiles - Operators; Appendix; Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview; Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview: Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview: Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview: Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR): BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms: BMI Methodology; BMI Forecast Modelling; How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts; Telecommunications Industry Forecasting:; Key Indicators; Business Environment Ratings; Sources; BMI Business Environment Ratings Methodology; Ratings Overview; Weighting; Weighting; Indicators; Indicators

Ordering and More Information

Price and Delivery Options

MindBranch has been the leading provider of industry and investment research from more than 550 independent research firms since 1992. With over 90,000 market research reports, MindBranch is your trusted source of competitive business intelligence.