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Greece Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: September 2009
Product Code: R302-7961
Description
BMI’s latest update on the Greek telecoms market contains newly revised forecasts for the country’sfixed-line, broadband and mobile telephony markets. Our forecasts are based on the data published byGreece’s three mobile network operators for the first three months of 2009.

In the first three months of 2009, the number of Greek mobile subscribers grew by 3.9% to reach19.585mn; this was equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of 174.7%. The high mobile penetration rate,together with equally high levels of new customer growth, reflect a market with a large number ofinactive prepaid users. Prepaid users represented over 70% of the total mobile user base at the end ofMarch. In June 2009, the government was reported to be considering new legislation, which wouldrequire all prepaid mobile phone users in the country to register their identities with a network operatorbefore activating their SIM card. Although the legislation is aimed at tackling criminal activity, itsimplementation, and the subsequent introduction of a prepaid registration scheme, would likely lead to aninitial significant drop in overall mobile users.

Although Greece’s three mobile operators - Vodafone Greece, WIND Hellas and Cosmote, the mobilearm of Greek incumbent OTE - continue to report an increase in mobile customer numbers, the operatorshave suffered in recent months from reduced mobile termination rates and a notable drop in usage levels,caused, in part, by deteriorating economic conditions. These developments have led to a fall in mobileservice revenues and a significant drop in ARPU for all three operators.

Recent developments in the Greek telecoms market include the confirmation, in May 2009, that VodafoneGreece and broadband provider Hellas On Line (HOL) planned to combine their respective operationsand to jointly market mobile, fixed-line and DSL services on an exclusive basis. The plan would involveVodafone Greece acquiring a minority stake in HOL in exchange for its existing DSL operations.

Vodafone Greece partnered HOL in July 2007 to enter the broadband market by launching convergedfixed/mobile/broadband service bundles.

Other recent developments include the news in July that alternative broadband and fixed-line providersOn Telecoms and Vivodi Telecom were close to reaching a merger deal. On Telecoms has offered IPTV,telephony and broadband internet services in Greece since January 2007. The operator delivers itsservices over a combination of LLUs and its own direct fibre network. In April, it was announced that OnTelecoms was entering final negotiations for a proposed merger with DSL and WiMAX ISP Net One.Greece remains in 10th position in BMI’s latest set of Business Environment Rankings for WesternEurope. Greece’s Country Risk score remains relatively low by regional standards. In part, this scorereflects our concerns about Greece’s weak macroeconomic environment
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Greece Wireline SWOT
Greece Mobile SWOT
Greece Political SWOT
Greece Economic SWOT
Greece Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Western Europe
Greece
Table: Western Europe Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Greece Mobile Market, Q109
Table: Greece Mobile Market, Net Additions, Q109
ARPU
Table: Greece Mobile Market, Blended ARPU, 2007-2009 (EUR/user/month)
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Data Revenues Failing To Reflect Increased Data Usage
3G And 3G Dongle Customers Soaring
Country Outlook
HSDPA And HSUPA
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Greece Mobile Market Overview
Table: Cosmote
Table: Vodafone
Table: WIND Hellas
Fixed Line
Table: Greece Fixed-Line Market, Q108-Q109 (mn)
Table: Greece Fixed-Line - Total voice minutes (mn)
Broadband
FTTH
WiMAX
IPTV
Wireline Contract Wins
Table: Wireline Contract Wins
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Greece: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Legislation And Market Liberalisation
Competition Policy
Interconnection
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: Greece Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters
Company Monitor
Table: Nokia Financial Highlights
Nokia's Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Nokia's Position In the Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Nokia Siemens Networks Net Sales By Geographic Area (EURmn)
Table: Nokia Siemens Networks Recent Contract Wins In Western Europe
Profiles
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
BMI Forecast Modelling & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecast Table
Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources
Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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