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Kenya Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: September 2009
Product Code: R302-7977
Description
In July 2009, Kenya was all excitement following the big switch-on of SEACOM, the first of at leastthree submarine cables coming to the country, with the second, TEAMS, to follow fairly soon afterwards.

The expectations of SEACOM and TEAMS are pretty high, and not unjustified, but BMI is expectingsome kind of backlash once the honeymoon is over and people realise that improvements in the market ingeneral will be gradual. More and cheaper international broadband is certainly extremely important forKenya and will have far-reaching benefits, completely transforming the internet experience of Kenya.

However, speeds are unlikely to rocket up over night, and neither are broadband prices likely to suddenlydrop through the floor.

The advent of better international connectivity is, nonetheless, certainly going to be very beneficial forKenya’s telecoms market, and for internet in particular. Another positive development that should begood for promoting competition in the broadband internet market is the entrance of the Kenya Powerand Lighting Company (KPLC). This company is opening up its power network to allow telecomsproviders to lay their own cable, at the same time as it is opening its own fibre network to wholesaleaccess. This should do a lot to increase the level in cable infrastructure, which in turn will help to increasebroadband availability and will help to ship all the new exciting international bandwidth all round thecountry. However, the effects of this new development will also take time to be felt at all.

In the mobile sphere, Q109 saw something of an upset. Zain, which has since then become beset by salerumours that will have done nothing to help it, had a traumatic quarter, losing over 400,000 from its totalsubscriber base. Safaricom, too, had a very bad quarter in terms of net additions. While it did get apositive result, it was pitifully small at only 60,000 net additions. These two things combined has meantthat, even though the two smaller operators YU and Orange performed well relative to their size, themarket as a whole actually lost 17,000 in number this quarter. BMI is not overly worried about this,however, as we do expect growth to pick up throughout the year.

Kenya has done well in our Business Environment Rankings this quarter, thanks to an improvement in itsIndependence of Regulator score. This reflects the fact that the implementation of the CCK’s new unifiedlicencing structure has almost been completed, with many smaller operator beginning to laud thepossibilities that this has opened up for them.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Kenya Mobile SWOT
Kenya Fixed-Line and Broadband SWOT
Kenya Political SWOT
Kenya Economic SWOT
Kenya Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Regional
Kenya
Table: Regional Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Kenya Mobile Market Q109
Table: Kenya Mobile Market Net Additions Q109
3G
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Country Outlook
Table: VAS Developments
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Total Market
Table: Safaricom
Table: Zain (formerly Celtel)
Fixed Line
Kenya's Fixed-line Performance
Broadband
Table: Wireline Developments
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Kenya: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Competition
Licensing
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players - Kenya Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2002-2008 (US$mn)
Company Monitor
Africa - A Key Region
Vendor Financing In Africa
Profiles
Safaricom
Telkom Kenya
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration
Internet Use
Table: Regional Internet Use Penetration
Country Snapshot: Kenya Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecast Table: Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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