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France Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Business Monitor International
Published: October 2009
Product Code: R302-8246
Description
It seems that the mobile market in France remains relatively resistant to the economic decline. Yearlygrowth rates have stayed quite stable forcing BMI to upgrade forecasts to take this into account. The highproportion of postpaid subscriptions means that we still do not expect the market to reach 100%penetration by the end of our forecast period in 2013. Growth continues at its slow steady pace. However,a fourth licence may be auctioned in 2010, according to the current timetable for the spectrum auctionprocess, and this may serve to shake up the market somewhat. However, BMI does not expect the newlicence holder to make a strong impact on the market given the already developed nature of services.

The new mobile service provider will most likely concentrate efforts on developing 3G services as this isthe area of most growth in the mobile market. Value-added services continue to grow in popularity andoperators are pushing their mobile broadband services as they upgrade networks to offer higher downloadspeeds. Although mobile broadband does not seem likely to seriously challenge its fixed counterpart it isan increasingly viable solution for businesses and individuals wanting broadband access on the move.

Broadband increases have slowed but remains the fastest area of growth in the telecoms market. This hasbeen due to operators also providing greater value-added services such as VoIP and IPTV over networksthat have been upgraded to allow bandwidth-hungry programs to operate. ARCEP data show that thenumber of VoIP-only households continues to rise and the only real evidence of the effects of therecession seems to be the slightly faster decline in traditional fixed-line connections. Overall the marketseems to be unaffected but the ever greater availability of alternatives to a fixed line has put pressure onthis area of the market.

France’s strong telecoms market has helped bring it back up to the top of the region in our BusinessEnvironment Rankings, sharing the top spot with the UK. The two markets have several similarities,particularly in relation to their Country Structure scores which see large populations and highly urbanisedconsumers. However, there are some notable differences with France’s continued growth rate and highARPUs countered by the UK’s highly competitive market place. ARCEP remains one of the strongestregulators in the region with its push to introduce further competition into the market seeing it hold itsstrong score.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
France Mobile Business Environment SWOT
France Wireline Business Environment SWOT
France Political SWOT
France Economic SWOT
Business Environment Analysis
Western Europe
France
Table: Western Europe Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: France Telecom Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Fixed Line
Table: France Telecom Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Internet
Table: France Telecom Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2013
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: France Mobile Market, Q209
Table: France Mobile Market Net Additions, Q408-Q209
Subscriber Mix
Table: French Mobile Network Operator Subscriber Mix, Q209
ARPU
Table: French Mobile Market Blended ARPU, Q208-Q408
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: France Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Overview
SMS Revenues Under Pressure
Table: Data Revenues Failing To Reflect Increased Data Usage
Table: 3G And 3G Dongle Customers Soaring
Country Focus
Orange Broadband Subscribers
VAS Timeline
Table: VAS Timeline
Mobile Data
Table: France Mobile Market Overview
Table: Orange
Table: SFR
Table: Bouygues Telecom
Table: MVNO
Fixed Line
Table: French Fixed-Line Market, Q108-Q109
Table: French Fixed-Line Market, 2003-2007
Table: France Télécom Subscriber Base (mn)
ARPU
Local Loop Unbundling
Functional Separation
Internet
Table: French Internet Market, Q108-Q109
Table: France Télécom Internet Subscribers (‘000)
The Broadband ‘Box’
ARPU
Broadband Technologies
DSL
WiMAX
Fibre-Optic
Table: France Télécom FTTH
Table: Wireline Developments
Regulatory Environment
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In France
Background And Regulatory Bodies
Competition
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Market Overview
Table: Key Players - France Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2005-2008
Company Monitor
Table: Nokia Financial Highlights (EURmn)
Nokia's Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Nokia's Position In the Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Nokia Siemens Networks Net Sales By Geographic Area (EURmn)
Table: Nokia Siemens Networks Recent Contract Wins In Western Europe
Operator Profiles
Appendix
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: France Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2005
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Weighting
Weighting
Indicators
Indicators
BMI Forecast Modelling & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Telecommunications Industry Forecasting:
Key Indicators
Business Environment Ratings
Sources
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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