Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd
Published: February 2008
Product Code: R310-1541Description 2008 could be the start of exciting new developments in electronic banking, both in mobile banking and in peer-to-peer (P2P) lending.
The electronic bank is gradually taking shape in the UK. Much of the automation is in the back office and this has proved an obstacle to progress, as banks have attempted to bolt sophisticated products to a varied collection of machines programmed in basic computer code in the 1970s. However, new platforms are now being installed and more banks are investing in modern, flexible systems that will make personalised customer services possible.
Gradually, paper cheques are being phased out in the UK and other major economies. In many cases, paper cheques have been replaced by direct debit and a greater number of payments are being made by plastic card.
However, it appears that the use of the immensely profitable credit card has peaked in the face of a debt crisis and controversy over interest rates. Innovation in contactless cards has focused on the debit card, which is growing in popularity.
The electronic wallet, which was much promoted at the end of the 1990s, has failed to gain the enthusiasm of either retailers or customers wherever it has been piloted. Similarly, the use of mobile telephones for transaction purposes has failed to increase, and the development of interactive television led to nothing within the banking industry. Telephone banking has expanded to cover most bank customers and its future growth is likely to be slow.
Direct banks, set up by major institutions to bypass their traditional and slow-growing services, matured in the years 2002 to 2007, capturing a new market segment and largely contributing to parent companies' profits. Neither these, nor the direct online channels set up by their parent companies, have cut the necessary costs of branch banking, since most customers look for face-to-face contact if they have financial problems.
Instead, new developments in wireless technology and mobile telephones in 2007 promise a new way to replace cash transactions for sums of up to £10. These new payment methods are due to be rolled out in several banks during 2008 and involve a combination of contactless technology and mobile telephones.
The development of Web 2.0, the next generation of Internet applications, has been boosted by the increased domestic coverage of broadband. P2P mutual lending organisations, which have been in existence since the early 2000s, have grown quickly as a result of enthusiasm among `Generation Y' (people born between 1978 and 2000). Any downturn in credit availability, or higher interest rates on bank borrowing, may give these alternative banks a boost.
Key Note forecasts that, between 2008 and 2012, automated payments will rise significantly in volume terms, while those by plastic card will remain at a similar level. Cheque payments are forecast to fall significantly in volume during this period.
Table of Contents - Executive Summary
- 1. Introduction
- OVERVIEW
- DEFINITION
- 2. Strategic Overview
- ECONOMIC INDICATORS
- Population
- Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2002-2006
- Gross Domestic Product
- Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2002-2006
- Inflation
- Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2002-2006
- Unemployment
- Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2002-2006
- Household Disposable Income
- Table 5: UK Household Disposable Income per Capita (£), 2002-2006
- MARKET DYNAMICS
- Volume of Transactions
- Table 6: UK Transactions by Payment Method by Volume (million and index 2002=100), 2002-2007
- Figure 1: UK Transactions by Payment Method by Volume (%), 2007
- Industry Value
- Table 7: UK Annual Clearing Values (£m), 2005 and 2006
- DISTRIBUTION
- Table 8: The Number of UK Bank Branches (number and index 2002=100), 2002-2007
- COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE
- Table 9: Risk-Weighted Assets of UK Retail Banks by Value (£m), 2002 and 2006
- ADVERTISING
- CONSUMER DYNAMICS
- MARKET FORECASTS
- 3. Telephone Banking
- BACKGROUND
- MARKET SIZE
- Table 10: Number of MBBG Bank Customers Registered to Access their Accounts by Telephone (000 and index 2002=100), 2002-2007
- MARKET SHARE
- TELEPHONE BANKING USAGE
- Table 11: Usage of Telephone Banking by Type of Service by Number of Transactions, 2002-2007
- MOBILE TELEPHONE SERVICES
- The Future of Wireless Banking
- Smartphones
- Interactive Television
- MOBILE TELEPHONE WEB PAGE DESIGN
- MARKETING ACTIVITY
- CONSUMER TRENDS
- 4. Internet Banking
- BACKGROUND
- ING Direct
- MARKET SIZE
- Table 12: The Number of Personal Customers of the MBBG Registered to Access their Accounts by Computer (000 and index 2002=100), 2002-2007
- Table 13: The Number of Transactions by Computer by Personal Customers of the MBBG Registered to Access their Accounts by Computer (000), 2002-2007
- MARKETING ACTIVITY
- Main Media Advertising Expenditure
- Table 14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Online Financial Products and Services (£000), Year Ending September 2007
- CONSUMER TRENDS
- MARKET FUTURE
- 5. Automated Teller Machines
- BACKGROUND
- MARKET SIZE
- Table 15: The Number of UK Automated Teller Machines by Ownership, 2002-2007
- DISTRIBUTION
- Table 16: Location of Automated Teller Machines in the UK (number and index 2003=100), 2003-2007
- Figure 2: Location of Automated Teller Machines in the UK (%), 2007
- Table 17: Number and Value of Cash Withdrawals from Banks in Great Britain (million, index 2002=100 and £m), 2002-2007
- CONSUMER TRENDS
- 6. Credit and Debit Cards
- BACKGROUND
- MARKET SIZE
- Table 18: UK Credit-Card Transactions by Volume and Value (million, index 2002=100 and £m), 2002-2007
- Table 19: UK Debit-Card Transactions by Volume and Value (million, index 2002=100 and £m), 2002-2007
- MARKETING ACTIVITY
- Main Media Advertising Expenditure
- Table 20: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Plastic Cards (£000), Year Ending September 2007
- DISTRIBUTION
- CONSUMER TRENDS
- 7. Regulation and Security
- BACKGROUND
- MARKETS IN FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS DIRECTIVE
- PAYMENT SERVICES DIRECTIVE
- MONEY-LAUNDERING COMPLIANCE
- FRAUD
- Identity Fraud
- Identity Fraud Countermeasures
- WEB 2.0
- VIRTUAL UNIVERSES
- Second Life
- Entropia Universe
- VIRUSES
- OPERATIONAL RISK
- 8. Electronic Bill Presentment and Payment
- BACKGROUND
- BACS EBPP
- COMMERCIAL PAYMENTS
- SUBPRIME MORTGAGES
- 9. Electronic Trading and Peer-to-Peer Lending
- BACKGROUND
- DISTRIBUTION
- Securities Trading
- Funds Supermarkets
- PEER-TO PEER LENDING
- Zopa
- Lending Club
- Virgin
- Prosper
- 10. An International Perspective
- MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
- CASHLESS PAYMENT INSTRUMENTS
- Belgium
- Table 21: Cashless Payment Transactions in Belgium by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- France
- Table 22: Cashless Payment Transactions in France by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- Germany
- Table 23: Cashless Payment Transactions in Germany by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- The Netherlands
- Table 24: Cashless Payment Transactions in the Netherlands by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- Singapore
- Table 25: Cashless Payment Transactions in Singapore by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- Sweden
- Table 26: Cashless Payment Transactions in Sweden by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- The US
- Table 27: Cashless Payment Transactions in the US by Volume (million), 2002-2006
- 11. PEST Analysis
- POLITICAL FACTORS
- ECONOMIC FACTORS
- SOCIAL FACTORS
- TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
- 12. Consumer Dynamics
- OVERVIEW
- Table 28: Summary of Attitudes Towards Electronic Banking (% of respondents), 2007
- FREQUENCY OF USE
- "I Contact my Bank Electronically at Least Once a Week"
- "I Contact my Bank Electronically at Least Once a Month"
- Table 29: Contacting Banks Electronically at Least Once a Month, and Once a Week (% of respondents), 2007
- "I Rarely Contact my Bank Electronically"
- Table 30: Rare Electronic Contact with Banks (% of respondents), 2007
- LENGTH OF USE
- "I Started Using Electronic Banking in the Last 12 Months"
- "I Started Using Electronic Banking in the Last 5 Years"
- Table 31: Setting up Electronic Banking in the Past 12 Months, and the Past 5 Years (% of respondents), 2007
- CONCERNS WITH ELECTRONIC BANKING
- "I am Concerned About the Security Aspects of Electronic Banking"
- "I Would not Trust an Electronic Banking Service with my Money"
- Table 32: Concerns Over the Security of Electronic Banking, and Trusting an Electronic Banking Service (% of respondents), 2007
- FAVOURED SERVICES
- "I Would Like to Manage my Money Using my Digital Television Red Button"
- "I Like to Manage my Money Using an Automated Telephone Service"
- Table 33: Interest in Managing Money Using Interactive Digital Television, and Automated Telephone Services (% of respondents), 2007
- "I Like to Manage my Money Using a Bank Staff Member over the Telephone"
- "I Would Like to Manage my Money Using a Cashpoint"
- Table 34: Interest in Managing Money Using Bank Staff Members Over the Telephone, and Using a Cashpoint (% of respondents), 2007
- "I Like to Manage my Money Using the Internet"
- "I Like to Manage my Money Using Several Channels"
- Table 35: Interest in Managing Money Using the Internet, and Using Several Channels (% of respondents), 2007
- "I Would Like to Download Cash to my Mobile Phone for Daily Purchases"
- "I Would Like to Download Cash to my Cash Card for Daily Purchases"
- Table 36: Interest in Downloading Cash to a Mobile Telephone, and to a Cash Card for Daily Purchases (% of respondents), 2007
- SUGGESTED SERVICES
- "I Would Like my Bank to Send me Messages About the State of my Account"
- "I Would Like my Bank to Alert me if it Thought I Could Manage my Money Better"
- Table 37: Interest in Receiving Messages from Banks, and Receiving Alerts About Better Money Management (% of respondents), 2007
- REASONS FOR CHANGING BANK
- "I Would Change My Bank if its Electronic Services were Poor"
- "I Would Change my Bank if Another One Offered Higher Interest Rates on its Internet Account"
- Table 38: Willingness to Change Bank Because of Poor Electronic Services, and Because of a Lower Interest Rate (% of respondents), 2007
- CONVENIENCE
- "I Would Use an Electronic Bank to Manage my Credit-Card Account"
- Table 39: Willingness to Use an Electronic Bank to Manage a Credit-Card Account (% of respondents), 2007
- 13. Company Profiles
- ABBEY NATIONAL PLC
- Corporate Strategy
- Strengths and Weaknesses
- New Products and Brand Development
- Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 40: Financial Results for Abbey National PLC (£000, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
- Future Company Developments
- BARCLAYS PLC
- Corporate Strategy
- Strengths and Weaknesses
- Barclaycard
- New Products and Brand Development
- Advertising
- Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 41: Financial Results for Barclays PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
- Future Company Developments
- HBOS PLC
- Corporate Strategy
- Strengths and Weaknesses
- New Products and Brand Development
- Advertising
- Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 42: Financial Results for HBOS PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
- Future Company Developments
- HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
- Corporate Strategy
- Strengths and Weaknesses
- New Product and Brand Development
- Advertising
- Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 43: Financial Results for HSBC Holdings PLC ($000, number, % and $), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
- Future Company Developments
- THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC
- Corporate Strategy
- Strengths and Weaknesses
- New Products and Brand Development
- Advertising
- Distribution
- Profitability
- Table 44: Financial Results for The Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
- Future Company Developments
- 14. The Future
- THE ECONOMY
- Unemployment
- Table 45: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2007-2011
- Inflation
- Table 46: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2007-2011
- Population
- Table 47: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2007-2011
- Gross Domestic Product
- Table 48: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2007-2011
- MARKET LEADERS
- Table 49: Forecast Compound Annual Growth in E-Commerce-Driven Payment Industry Revenues (%), 2008-2012
- SUPPLIER ISSUES
- Barriers to Entry
- Regulations
- MARKET FORECASTS
- Table 50: Forecast UK Transactions by Payment Method by Volume (million and index 2008=100), 2008-2012
- Figure 3: Forecast UK Transactions by Payment Method by Volume (million), 2002-2012
- FUTURE TRENDS
- Web 2.0 and Virtual Worlds
- Mobile Telephone Banking
- Electronic Bill Payment
- New Users
- Personalised Services
- Bank Supervision
- Foreign Exchange
- The Single Customer View
- CONCLUSION
- 15. Further Sources
- Associations
- Publications
- General Sources
- Government Sources
- Other Sources
- Bisnode Sources
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