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UK Savings and Investments 2005Product Type: Market Research ReportPublished by: Datamonitor Published: August 2005 Product Code: R313-11748 Description IntroductionProviding analysis on retail balances, flows, customer insights, the performance of leading competitors and market forecasts to 2009, UK Savings and Investments 2005 is the definitive guide to the retail savings and investment market in the UK. Scope Full analysis of UK savings and investment sectors including deposits, ISAs, unit trusts/OEICs, investment trusts, National Savings, bonds and equity Sizes and segments all key product sectors over the 2000-2004 period with forecasts through to 2009. A selection of consumer data covering behaviours, attitudes and approaches to savings and investments sourced from a recent Datamonitor survey Highlights As a result of positive economic developments, the UK retail savings and investments market experienced another year of growth in 2004, with total balances increasing by 9.7%. Although the increase was slightly below the growth experienced in 2003, the total value of retail savings and investments in the UK reached GBP1.5trn in 2004. Best buy tables are the source of information that most UK consumers rely on when choosing a savings or investment product, with 36.3% of consumers questioned selecting this option. On the basis of a positive economic outlook for the next five years, Datamonitor expects that UK retail savings and investments balances will grow at a compound annual rate of 7.0% per year. Reasons to Purchase Assess the relative size and industry dynamics in each of the core savings and investment markets to clearly identify the key strategic issues Gain a detailed view of competitive developments in each market sector including comprehensive competitor data and market share information Access independent forecasts of UK savings and investment markets to identify product sectors for future investment. Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARYMarket Context Customer attitudes Deposits National Savings and Investments Unit Trusts and OEICs Investment Trusts Direct Equity The Future Decoded INTRODUCTION What is this report about? Who is the target reader? How to use this report CHAPTER 1 MARKET CONTEXT Introduction Key findings UK retail savings and investments have shown healthy growth in 2004 spurred by positive economic developments House prices set the scene for strong balance growth UK retail savings and investments balances reached GBP1.5trn in 2004 Deposits remain the biggest asset class but money is returning to unit trust and OEICs Flows data confirms that new money is being invested in equity-related vehicles, but deposits remain key Data CHAPTER 2 CUSTOMER ATTITUDES Introduction Key findings Recommendations are valued most when choosing bank accounts, while best buy tables prove important for investment decisions Recommendations and personal experience are key for customers when choosing a bank account Best buy tables are crucial in decision making regarding savings and investments products Bank account customers are less likely to switch provider on the basis of poor customer service than those with savings or investment policies In the case of bad service relating to a bank account, UK consumers are most likely to complain but maintain the relationship In the case of bad service relating to a savings or investment product, UK consumers are most likely to close down the entire relationship UK consumers are relatively indifferent regarding the use of advisors/brokers Data CHAPTER 3 DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS Introduction Key findings The deposit market has enjoyed strong growth in balances since 2000 Deposits are by far the largest savings and investments vehicle in the UK market and account for 49% of total retail assets Growth in interest bearing sight accounts has been the primary driver in deposit growth Personal deposit balance growth is now being driven by net inflows rather than accumulated interest The deposit market is showing signs of increased competition Continued pressure from direct providers is eroding the share of the big deposit takers HBOS continues to dominate the market for deposits in the UK Increased competition is squeezing deposit interest rates There is only a limited correlation between growth in market share and advertising expenditure Data CHAPTER 4 NATIONAL SAVINGS AND INVESTMENTS Introduction Key findings The proportion of total UK savings and investments balances accounted for by NS&I has not seen significant fluctuation NS&I accounted for less than 5% of the UK retail savings and investments market in the year ending December 2004 Balances have now topped the March 2000 level, but growth is driven predominantly by Premium Bonds NS&I funds reached GBP66.5bn in March 2004 Premium bonds continue to drive the growth in NS&I balances GEBs and ISAs have supported the balance growth but only to a limited extent Fund growth has been restricted by other products Key NS&I products are no longer proving as attractive Net inflows to NS&I products have been positive for the past two years NS&I suffered net outflows between December 2000 and December 2002 2003 and 2004 have seen net inflows Rejuvenation is underway under the banner “Direction 2007” “Direction 2007” aims to grow balances to GBP78bn by the end of the financial year 2007/08 NS&I has been tweaking its product range Distribution channels are undergoing a makeover The resulting business is now fit for the 21st Century Marketing and advertising continues to focus on being the “safe, smart and straightforward choice” Direct Mail represents the key advertising method Data CHAPTER 5 INDIVIDUAL SAVINGS ACCOUNTS (ISAS) Introduction Key findings The UK ISA market continues to grow but investors are heavily biased towards Mini and cash ISAs Balances continue to show strong growth but gross sales are declining Sales of Mini ISAs are consistently outstripping Maxi sales but predominantly due to Mini cash ISAs Subscriptions growth is limited with most relating to Mini Cash ISAs Average values of ISA subscriptions, with the exception of Mini Cash ISAs, are still well below the maximum allowed and have been declining Building societies continue to leave the banks behind in the cash ISA rates war The unit trust/OEIC ISA market is becoming less concentrated, while IFAs and fund supermarkets are playing an increasingly important role The top ten players remain relatively unchanged compared to 2003, but their market shares have generally fallen The growth of the direct and IFA distribution channels is bringing smaller players into play Half of the top ten ISA advertisers are among the ten largest unit trust/OEIC ISA fund managers Legal & General continues to be the largest spender on ISA advertising ISA holders are typically over 45 years old, with over GBP300 weekly household income Women are more likely to have an ISA than men ISAs continue to be a tax-efficient vehicle for the wealthy The regional distribution of ISA holders is relatively evenly spread The Government has backed down to make ISAs more attractive The ISA annual investment limit has been extended Life Insurance products have been merged into stock and shares ISAs, while all FSA regulated collective investments can now be included New stakeholder products introduced to be included within an ISA wrapper Data CHAPTER 6 UNIT TRUSTS AND OEICS Introduction Key findings The unit trust & OEIC market is now as strong as ever Retail unit trust & OEICs have increased their share of the overall UK savings and investment market Retail funds dominance of the unit trust and OEIC market continues to characterize the UK market Intermediaries have driven the recovery in unit-trust and OEIC retail sales The unit trust market has shown signs of concentrating around key providers Fidelity still dominates the UK unit trust and OEIC market New Star spent the most money on advertising in 2004 Increased equity exposure has boosted unit trust and OEIC returns and increased the products popularity Proportion of people holding unit trusts has fallen in 2004 High earners have seen the biggest fall in unit trust & OEIC ownership 7% of households in the South East and South West hold a unit trust investment There are only two age bands where males do not have a higher level of unit trust holdings than females Data CHAPTER 7 INVESTMENT TRUSTS Introduction Key findings The market for investment trusts recovered in 2004 Investment trusts account for only 2% of total retail savings and investment assets A recovery in retail funds under management has driven the overall investment trust market Growth in assets have been driven by smaller trusts outside of the top 10 providers Specialized trusts have increased their popularity in comparison to traditional areas Improved returns have boosted the popularity of investment trusts Data DIRECT EQUITY Introduction Key findings The retail direct equity market has shown only limited signs of recovery The share of total retail assets held in equities has dropped substantially Individuals have increased their share of total beneficial ownership of UK equities Total retail quoted balances have continued to recover since 2002 Execution only trades have been hardest hit by the downturn in markets The internet is set to become the key means for carrying out execution only transactions Individual share ownership levels have fallen since 2002 regardless of investors’ age, income and sex Data CHAPTER 8 THE FUTURE DECODED Introduction Key findings Positive economic conditions are expected to boost savings and investments balances to more than GBP2trn by 2009 Datamonitor expects the stockmarket to pick up over the next couple of years, while real GDP will remain at approximately 2.5% growth per year UK retail savings and investments balances are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 7.0% until 2009 Unit trusts/OEICs are expected to grow fastest over both the short and medium term Data APPENDIX Definitions Research methodology Flows methodology Market share methodology Forecasting methodology Further Reading Datamonitor Global Wealth Service SPP: Reports Datamonitor Global Wealth Service SPP: Insight Reports Datamonitor Wealth Management Competitor Tracker Datamonitor Asia Pacific Wealth Management SPP: Reports Datamonitor Savings & Investments SPP: Reports & Briefs SPP writing team LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Growth in key savings and investments market drivers, indexed, 2000-2004 Table 2: Total value of UK retail savings and investments market by broad product line, 2000-2004 Table 3: Balances growth by broad product line in the UK retail savings and investments market, 2000-2004 Table 4: Total net inflows in UK retail savings and investments by broad product line, 2000-2004 Table 5: Which source of information would you most rely on if you were considering which bank account to open? Split by age Table 6: Which source of information would you most rely on if you were considering which bank account to open? Split by income Table 7: Which source of information would you most rely on if you were considering which bank account to open? Split by gender Table 8: Which source of information would you most rely on if you were considering which savings or investment policy to open? Split by age Table 9: Which source of information would you most rely on if you were considering which savings or investment policy to open? Split by income Table 10: Which source of information would you most rely on if you were considering which savings or investment policy to open? Split by gender Table 11: If I received poor customer service regarding a bank account, I would , split by age Table 12: If I received poor customer service regarding a bank account, I would , split by income Table 13: If I received poor customer service regarding a bank account, I would , split by gender Table 14: If I received poor customer service regarding a savings or investment policy, I would , split by age Table 15: If I received poor customer service regarding a savings or investment policy, I would , split by income Table 16: If I received poor customer service regarding a savings or investment policy, I would , split by gender Table 17: Average of “To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?”, split by age Table 18: Average of “To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?”, split by gender and income Table 19: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I am willing to pay for financial advice, split by age Table 20: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I am willing to pay for financial advice, split by income and gender Table 21: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Advice from banks is more trustworthy than from independent financial advisors, split by age Table 22: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Advice from banks is more trustworthy than from independent financial advisors, split by income and gender Table 23: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I am likely to move financial provider if my advisor moves to a new company, split by age Table 24: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I am likely to move financial provider if my advisor moves to a new company, split by income and gender Table 25: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I prefer to use a broker/advisor to help manage my finances, split by age Table 26: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I prefer to use a broker/advisor to help manage my finances, split by income and gender Table 27: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider using a broker/advisor as I do not have enough time to manage my finances myself, split by age Table 28: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider using a broker/advisor as I do not have enough time to manage my finances myself, split by income and gender Table 29: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider using a broker/advisor as I do not have enough knowledge to manage my finances myself, split by age Table 30: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider using a broker/advisor as I do not have enough knowledge to manage my finances myself, split by income and gender Table 31: UK Personal deposit market concentration 2003-2004 Table 32: UK personal deposit account balances by competitor, 2001-2004 Table 33: ING Direct total clients and funds entrusted 2003-2004 Table 34: Total UK retail assets segmented by savings and investment vehicle 2000-2004 Table 35: Total UK personal deposit balances by holding institution, 2000-2004 Table 36: Total UK personal deposit balances split by product 2000-2004 Table 37: Year-on-year growth in total UK personal deposit balances by holding institution, 2003-2004 Table 38: Breakdown of UK personal deposit balances and net inflows, 2000-2004 Table 39: Weighted average interest rates on sight and time deposits offered to UK households versus base rates, December 2002 - February 2005 Table 40: Market share of UK personal deposit account balances, 2001-2004 Table 41: Concentration of UK personal deposit market among top ten players, 2001-2004 Table 42: Top 20 current/high interest current account advertisers, 2004 Table 43: Top 20 savings account advertisers, 2004 Table 44: Advertising spend of the top 20 savings account advertisers in 2004 compared to their spend in 2003 Table 45: Total advertising expenditure vs change in total deposits 2003-2004 Table 46: Interest rates payable on the EASA and Investment Account as at 15 June 2005 Table 47: National Savings balances as a proportion of total UK savings and investments balances, 2000-2004 Table 48: Funds invested with National Savings and Investments by product, March 2000-March 2004 Table 49: Contribution by product to change in total NS&I invested funds, March 2003-March 2004 Table 50: Breakdown of National Savings invested funds and net inflows, 2000-2004 Table 51: Proportion of households in each region with Premium bonds, 2002-2004 Table 52: Proportion of UK adults in each age band with Premium Bonds, 2002-2004 Table 53: Proportion of households in each total weekly income bracket with Premium Bonds, 2002-2004 Table 54: NS&I advertising spend by product type, 2003-2004 Table 55: NS&I advertising spend by channel, 2004 Table 56: Best rate instant access/no notice Mini Cash ISA, June 2005 Table 57: Worst rate instant access/no notice Mini Cash ISA, June 2005 Table 58: Selected instant access/no notice Mini Cash ISAs available from high street providers Table 59: Market value of funds held in ISAs by component at calendar year end, 2000-2004e Table 60: Gross ISA sales in the UK, 2000-2004 Table 61: Gross ISA sales in the UK by quarter, Q1 2000-Q4 2004 Table 62: Gross Mini ISA sales in the UK, 2000-2004 Table 63: Gross Mini-ISA sales in the UK by quarter, Q1 2000-Q4 2004 Table 64: Gross Maxi-ISA sales in the UK, 2000-2004 Table 65: Gross Maxi-ISA sales in the UK by quarter, Q1 2000-Q4 2004 Table 66: Indexed growth of gross UK ISA sales, 2000-2004 Table 67: Number of new ISA accounts opened in the UK by account type, 2000-2004 Table 68: Average subscription per ISA account in the UK, tax year end, 2000-2004 Table 69: Gross unit trust and OEIC ISA sales split by distribution channel, 2000-2004 Table 70: Unit trust and OEIC ISA funds under management in the UK by fund managers, top 30, 2001-2004 Table 71: Market shares of unit trust and OEIC ISA funds under management in the UK by fund managers, top 30, 2001-2004 Table 72: Top 20 ISA advertisers, 2004 Table 73: Advertising spend of the top 20 ISA advertisers in 2004 compared to their spend in 2003 Table 74: Proportion of households in each region with an ISA, 2002-2004 Table 75: Proportion of males in each age band with ISAs, 2002-2004 Table 76: Proportion of females in each age band with ISAs, 2002-2004 Table 77: Proportion of UK adults in each age band with ISAs, 2002-2004 Table 78: Proportion of households in each total weekly income bracket with ISAs Table 79: Retail funds under management segmented by components 2000-2004 Table 80: Total value of UK retail savings and investments market by broad product line, 2000-2004 Table 81: Unit Trust & OEIC funds under management segmented by type of investor Table 82: Top 30 unit trust and OEIC managers by funds under management 2001-2004 Table 83: Top 30 unit trust and OEIC managers by funds under management 2001-2004 (continued) Table 84: Market share of top six unit trust & OEIC managers 2003-2004 Table 85: Net retail unit trust and OEIC inflows 2000-2004 Table 86: Gross retail sales by distribution channel 2000-2004 Table 87: Total number of funds, companies and OEIC providers 2000-2004 Table 88: Total funds under management split by ISA, PEP and OEIC Table 89: Asset allocation of UK unit trust and OEIC 2001-2004 Table 90: Market share of top 5 and top 10 competitors by funds under management 2001-2004 Table 91: Top six providers by unit-trust and other trust advertising expenditure 2004 Table 92: Percentage of households with unit-trust investments by UK region 2003-2004 Table 93: Proportion of adults holding a unit-trust investment, 2004 Table 94: Percentage of households with unit-trust investments by income 2000-2004 Table 95: Top six Investment segments by growth in assets under management 2001-2004 Table 96: Total value of UK retail savings and investments market by broad product line, 2000-2004 Table 97: Retail and institutional investment trusts funds under management 2000-2004 Table 98: Beneficial ownership of UK Investment trusts 2002-2003 Table 99: Approximate performance of GBP100 invested by investment trust sector 1 year, 3 year, 5 year and 10 year (2004 base year) Table 100: Total assets of top 30 investment trust management groups and market share December 2004 Table 101: Top 10 investment trusts within the Global Growth sector of investment trusts, 2004 Table 102: Total assets under management segmented by relative size 2001-2004 Table 103: Top seven funds under management by investment segment 2001-2004 Table 104: Total value of UK retail savings and investments market by broad product line, 2000-2004 Table 105: UK share ownership by beneficial owner 1999-2003 Table 106: Total retail equity balances by share type, retail equity balance change due to capital appreciation and retail net inflows 2000-2004 Table 107: Number of UK equity trades transacted by market firms Table 108: Share of total execution only transactions by method of transaction Table 109: Share of total transactions held in nominee or certificated form Table 110: Proportion of UK adults with share holdings by age 2002-2004 Table 111: Proportion of male and females adults holding shares 2002-2004 Table 112: Proportion of households holding shares by weekly income bands 2002-2004 Table 113: Share ownership by UK region 1999-2004 Table 114: Key macro-economic variables forecasted, 2004-2009f Table 115: Forecasted value of UK retail savings and investments by broad product line, 2004-2009f Table 116: Balances growth by broad product line in the UK retail savings and investments market, 2004-2009 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: House prices continue to be the main underlying driver to savings and investments growth Figure 2: The total value of UK retail savings and investments has grown 9.7% between 2003 and 2004 Figure 3: Deposits accounted for almost half of UK savings and investments in 2004 Figure 4: Deposits have shown the best growth over the medium term, while over the last year unit trusts have shown strong balance growth Figure 5: Direct equities have recorded positive net inflows in 2004 compared to a net outflow of GBP34.1bn in 2003 Figure 6: Recommendations are more important than best buy tables for bank accounts Figure 7: Females are more likely to rely on the personal experiences of either themselves or friends/family when choosing a bank account Figure 8: Best buy tables rival advisors when choosing savings or investment products Figure 9: Female investors appear to favor advisors when gaining information on savings or investment policies Figure 10: Customers over 65 are highly unlikely to switch provider if they receive bad service regarding their bank account Figure 11: There are few differences between males and females in terms of their reactions to bad service relating to a bank account Figure 12: UK consumers are more reactive to bad service regarding their investments than day to day banking Figure 13: Men are more likely to close down the relationship entirely if they receive bad service regarding a savings or investment policy Figure 14: More than a third of people agree that they would consider using a financial advisor as they do not have sufficient knowledge to manage their finances themselves Figure 15: Deposit balances now account for just under half of total savings and investments in the UK, 2000-2004 Figure 16: Total UK personal deposit balances have now reached GBP718bn Figure 17: Growth in personal deposits is increasingly being driven by strong net inflows Figure 18: ING Direct has pushed Bradford & Bingley out of the top ten UK deposit takers Figure 19: Interest rates are up, but are squeezing margins for sight deposit providers Figure 20: There is only a limited link between amount spent of advertising and increase in personal deposits Figure 21: First direct have spent the greatest amount on advertising current accounts Figure 22: ING Direct have sent the most on savings account advertising Figure 23: Growth in NS&I balances has been more stable than the overall market Figure 24: Premium Bonds continue to drive NS&I’s balance growth Figure 25: Premium Bonds accounted for 36.5% of total NS&I invested funds as at March 2004 Figure 26: The South of the UK has the greatest concentration of Premium Bonds holders, 2003-2004 Figure 27: Premium Bond holdings are highly correlated with household income Figure 28: Premium Bonds predominantly attract those over 45 Figure 29: After Premium Bonds, the balances of the next four most popular products have been declining since March 2000 Figure 30: Of the top five products, only Premium Bonds made a positive contribution to total balances between March 2003 and March 2004 Figure 31: NS&I net inflows eased off in 2004 Figure 32: The direct mail channel continues to account for a significant proportion of the advertising budget Figure 33: Almost 30% of NS&I’s advertising budget in 2004 was spent on the Guaranteed Equity Bond Figure 34: The value of funds held in ISAs has witnessed strong growth since 2000 but gross sales have been falling significantly Figure 35: Maxi ISAs are increasingly dominating gross ISA sales Figure 36: Maxi ISAs now account for only 22% of gross ISA sales in the UK Figure 37: Mini Cash ISAs are proving to be the most popular option in terms of sales Figure 38: Subscriptions to Maxi ISAs have been declining at a compound annual rate of 20.7% Figure 39: Average values of ISA subscriptions are still well below the maximum allowed Figure 40: Most of the top ten unit trust/OEIC ISA providers have all lost market share during 2004 Figure 41: Distribution of unit trust/OEIC ISAs through sales forces/tied agents is declining Figure 42: The market leader Legal & General continues to invest heavily in advertising its ISAs Figure 43: Over the age of 64, males are more likely to hold an ISA than females in the UK Figure 44: ISAs penetration in low income households is still poor Figure 45: The South East of the UK has the greatest concentration of ISA holders, 2003-2004 Figure 46: Retail unit trusts and OEICs assets have increased their share of the overall UK retail savings market to 16.9% in 2004 Figure 47: Growth in retail unit trusts and OEICs has driven the overall market Figure 48: A 10% increase in gross inflows in 2004 has been offset by a 30% increase in retail repurchases Figure 49: Intermediaries market share of retail unit trust and OEIC sales has increased from 61% to 71% in 2004 Figure 50: The top five units trusts and OEICs have increased their share of total FuM by 2 percentage points since 2001 Figure 51: OEICs accounted for nearly 59% of the total number of UK funds in 2004 Figure 52: OEIC funds now account for 63% of assets under management Figure 53: Fidelity have a 9.2% share of the market by funds under management, 2004 Figure 54: New Star spent more on advertising unit trusts than any other provider in 2004 Figure 55: UK unit-trusts and OEICS have increased exposure to UK equities since 2003 Figure 56: 2004 saw a continued decline in the number of households with unit-trust holdings Figure 57: People in the South West and South East are most likely to hold unit-trusts Figure 58: Males aged 65-74 are the most likely to hold unit-trust investments, 2004 Figure 59: Retail investment trusts assets account for only 2.1% of total retail savings and investment assets Figure 60: Strong recent retail investment trust growth has driven the overall investment trust market Figure 61: Individuals have increased their share of overall investment trust assets by over 22 percentage points between 2002-2003 Figure 62: The percentage of total funds held outside of the top ten has increased by six percentage points since 2001 Figure 63: JP Morgan Fleming are now the largest investment trust manager by assets, December 2004 Figure 64: Global growth funds remain the largest investment trust sector by assets under management despite funds declining since 2001 Figure 65: Most investment trusts have managed to stabilize returns in the last three years despite falling markets, 2004 Figure 66: The share of retail assets held in direct equity has fallen from 38.6% in 2000 to 25.0% Figure 67: Total individual beneficial ownership of shares has increased by 38bn between 2002-2003 Figure 68: Total retail holdings of quoted UK stocks have shown continued signs of recovery since 2002. Figure 69: Quoted stocks continue to experience negative net inflows despite strong recent capital appreciation Figure 70: The number of private client execution only trades has increased in 2003 Figure 71: The share of total execution only transactions carried out over the internet has risen considerably since 2000 Figure 72: Nominee accounts now dominate the stock broking landscape Figure 73: The South East continues to have the highest proportion of households owning equities Figure 74: 24% of UK adults aged between 55 and 64 have equity holdings Figure 75: 3% more of UK males, on average, hold shares than women, 2003 Figure 76: Share ownership has fallen across all income bands since 2002 Figure 77: The total value of UK retail savings and investments is expected to reach GBP2.0trn by 2009 Figure 78: Unit trusts and OEICs are expected to grow fastest over the next five years |
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