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Mobile Payments Forecast: Contactless Evolution Flounders Without Heightened Attention to Merchants And Wireless Carriers

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Javelin Strategy & Research
Published: June 2006
Product Code: R3424-37
Description
Mobile banking initiatives combined with the proliferation of contactless payments will lead to convergence of payment services through mobile handsets. To realize this convergence, financial institutions and payment networks must understand the roles and needs of additional players in the value chain—most notably wireless carriers and merchants. Javelin has gathered extensive, quantitative, longitudinal consumer data on attitudes toward mobile payments, and has created a forecast model for the adoption of contactless payments. Javelin has undertaken an extensive analysis of the value propositions of all players to provide an understanding of the critical factors that will make contactless and other mobile payments adoption more probable.

Primary Questions
  • What is the likelihood of adoption for various mobile payment types—contactless, mobile internet transactions, and mobile person-to-person transactions?
  • What is the value to each constituent in the value chain and how is that value realized?
  • What is the role of wireless carriers in the value chain?
  • What is necessary to attract merchant acceptance beyond “traditional” merchant categories?
  • How will alternative payment mechanisms affect mobile person-to-person and mobile ecommerce transactions?
Table of Contents
OVERVIEW

PRIMARY QUESTIONS

FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: OVERVIEW OF MOBILE PAYMENTS

CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS BACKGROUND: MERCHANTS AND WIRELESS CARRIERS ARE KEY

FURTHER ACTION IN SPURRING CONTACTLESS ACCEPTANCE LOCATIONS IS NEEDED

DETERMINING THE VALUE PROPOSITION FOR CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS

CONSTITUENTS

MERCHANT VALUE PROPOSITION IS ENHANCED WITH MORE DYNAMIC DEVICES

ENROLLMENT AS AN INTEGRAL PIECE OF THE MERCHANT AND CARRIER VALUE PROPOSITION

REVENUE MODELS THAT MAY SPUR CARRIER INVOLVEMENT IN CONTACTLESS

ADDRESS CONSUMER SAFETY CONCERNS TO SPUR CONSUMER ADOPTION

MOBILE BANKING INITIATIVES AND CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS ARE INTRINSICALLY LINKED

INTEGRATE LIKELY MOBILE BANKING CUSTOMERS AS KEY TARGETS FOR CONTACTLESS

APPEAL TO CONTACTLESS CARDHOLDERS’ FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT AND DESIRE TO INTERACT THROUGH ADDITIONAL CHANNELS

MOBILE PERSON-TO-PERSON PAYMENTS GROWTH DEPENDS ON ADOPTION OF ALTERNATIVES

MOBILE E-COMMERCE TRANSACTIONS ARE DEPENDENT ON HANDSET EVOLUTION AND CONTENT INTEGRATION EFFORTS

ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS PLAY A SECONDARY ROLE IN DRIVING MOBILE PAYMENTS

MERCHANT USE OF CONTACTLESS TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE ALTERNATIVES

ENHANCED COMMUNICATION AND VALUE ADDS POST-ADOPTION OF MOBILE PAYMENTS

WILDCARD SCENARIO: BANKS AS CARRIERS, AND CARRIERS AS ISSUERS?

Table of Figures

Figure 1: Sources and Needs for Effective Contactless Growth

Figure 2: Projected Adoption of Contactless Through 2012

Figure 3: Value Propositions for Contactless Payments Constituents

Figure 4: Value From Different Payment Types Among Merchants

Figure 5: Contactless Revenue Models for Carriers

Figure 6: Consumer Sentiment Regarding Safety of Contactless Payments

Figure 7: Likely Mobile Banking Consumers' Reasons for using Contactless

Figure 8: Likely Contactless Payments Users' Reasons for Mobile Banking

Figure 9: Consumers' Likelihood of Using Mobile Person-to-Person Transfers

Figure 10: Consumer Likelihood of Initiating Mobile E-Commerce Transactions

Figure 11: Opinions on Financial Services via Mobile Devices

Figure 12: Likelihood of Accessing Account Information via Mobile Devices

Figure 13: Likelihood of Conducting Financial Transactions via Mobile Device

Figure 14: Most Likely Banking Activities Performed via Mobile Devices

Figure 15: Likelihood of Switching Banks for Mobile Banking Access

Figure 16: Likelihood of Switching Wireless Carriers for Mobile Banking Access

Figure 17: Opinions on Financial Services via Mobile Devices
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