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Online Payments Forecast: Alternative Payments to Go Mainstream as Consumers Seek Security and Convenience

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Javelin Strategy & Research
Published: September 2007
Product Code: R3424-44
Description
Alternative payments will allow online merchants to drive mainstream sales among emerging online population segments, reaching new consumers and enhancing conversion through alternatives to credit and debit cards. Javelin provides a new forecast model to predict overall US online shopping volume and the breakdown among various payment types, both mainstream and alternative. Additionally, Javelin analyzes the unfolding benefits and competitive implications of alternative payments, revealing the consumer attitudes and behaviors that will lead to growth among both alternative and mainstream payment types.
Table of Contents
Overview

Primary Questions

Findings and Analysis

Executive Summary: Alternative—(and Mainstream) Payments Defined

What this Forecast Includes

Consumer Online Purchase Volume Jumps to Over $355 Billion by 2012

Despite Double-Digit CAGR of Online Purchase Volume, Merchants Continue to Seek

Alternatives that Drive Lifetime Customer Value

Alternative Payments Percentage of Online Retail Volume to Double by 2012

Shift to Increased Usage of Alternatives Is Driven by Existing Online Shoppers

Alternative Payments Volume Will Emerge at the Expense of Credit Card Growth

Debit Volume Remains Relatively Steady

Traditional Payments Continue to Grow; Maintain Largest Dollar Volume

Specific Payment Types and their 2012 Volume Numbers

Email Payment Accounts: PayPal as the “Least Alternative of the Alternatives”

Transaction Volume Growth Spurred by Increase in Average Transaction Value

“On-the-Spot” Credit Services: Bill Me Later Could Be a Victim of its Success

Transaction Volume Growth Linked to Security- and Convenience-focused Consumers

Open-Loop Stored Value Products Provide an Opportunity for Card Networks

Online Private Label Issuance and Merchant Loyalty Programs Drive Volume

A Note on Google Checkout—Alternative Payment Method? Traditional? Hybrid? Benefits for Merchants in Acceptance?

Credit is Still the Online Payment Method of Choice among All Age Groups

Male Consumers Show Higher Propensity than Women for Alternatives

Across Generations Men Show More Recent Usage of PayPal and Prepaid Cards

Credit Card Users Hold Income Advantage Over PayPal and Bill Me Later Users

Convenience and Security are Primary Motivators for Alternative Payments

On-the-Spot Credit Usage Could Expand Greatly as Merchant Acceptance Grows

Reasons that Drive Additional Online Purchasing

Table of Charts

Figure 1: US Online Dollar Transaction Volume (In Billions) 2007 to 2012

Figure 2: Traditional and Alternative Online Volume and Percentages of US Total Online 2007-2012


Figure 3: Online Payments by Type Percentages of US Total Online Volume 2007-2012

Figure 4: Table of Online Payment by Type: Growth, Volume, Percentage, and CAGR

Figure 5: Online Credit Card Volume and Percentage of US Total Online 2007-2012

Figure 6: Online Debit Card Volume and Percentage of US Total Online 2002-2012

Figure 7: Email Payment Accounts Online Volume and Percentage of US Online 2007-2012

Figure 8: On-the-Spot Credit Online Volume and Percentage of US Total Online 2007-2012

Figure 9: Stored Value Online Volume and Percentage of US Total Online Volume 2007-2012

Figure 10: Private Label Online Volume and Percentage of US Total Online Volume 2007-2012 .... 15

Figure 11: Payment Method Usage in the Last 30 Days among Different Generations

Figure 12: Usage of Online Payment Methods for Gen X, Gen Y and Baby Boomers by Gender .... 18

Figure 13: Usage of Different Payment Types by Annual Household Income

Figure 14: Reason for Choosing Payment Method for Most Recent Online Transaction

Figure 15: Reasons Consumers More Likely to Increase their Online Purchasing
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