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FTTP Equipment & Fiber Cable Requirements - 2007

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Information Gatekeepers Inc
Published: October 2007
Product Code: R403-97
Description
This report is a companion to the latest FTTP report. In this report we will use the forecasts in the new FTTP report to develop equipment requirements and fiber cable requirements for FTTP.

The RBOCs, all three (now that the AT&T/BellSouth merger has been consummated) to greater or lesser extents, are now in the process of rolling out FTTP. Verizon has a monumental effort underway, and the other two are in various stages (lab tests, minor deployments or preparing massive rollouts) of deployment. The RBOCs have actually moved into the video business in a massive way. As forecast in our 2005 and 2006 reports, two of the RBOCs are in the residential TV delivery business. Several relatively new technologies have been deployed in their entries into that business, and the RBOCs will use just about every imaginable combination of those technologies to achieve their objectives.

This latest report includes:
  • The substantial progress to date for FTTP;
  • The changes we see coming for FTTP from new organizational structures;
  • Changes we see coming for the architecture;
  • Our forecasts for the future, especially as relates to details of equipment and cable requirements.
Table of Contents
LIGHTWAVE SERIES OF REPORTS

General Reports on the Network

General Market Reports

Specific Systems Reports

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This Report

Background

INTRODUCTION

WHAT ARE PONS?

The PON Design

Status of PON

Advantage and Disadvantages of PON

Types of PONs

BPON

EPON

GPON

The PON in the First RFP

GPONs

Architectures to Meet the Needs

MARKET FORECAST

Forecast Methodology

Verizon Plan

Verizon - Physical Description

Verizon - Size of Rollout

AT&T Plan

AT&T - Physical Description

AT&T - Size of Rollout

BellSouth Plan

BellSouth - Physical Description

Pre-Merger

Post-Merger

Qwest Plan

FTTP

Other Architectures

Future Plans

Comparing the Plans of the RBOCs

Summary of Announced Plans

Verizon

AT&T

Bell South

Qwest

Summary information on the Announced Plans

Announced Plans - Quantitative Analysis

Announced Plans - Size

FORECAST FOR FTTP

Forecasts for Deployment

AT&T

Verizon

BellSouth

Qwest

Deployment Forecast Summary

AT&T

Verizon

BellSouth

Qwest

Forecast size of Deployments

Forecast Technologies by Type

Forecast PONs - GPON vs. BPONs

FTTP EQUIPMENT AND FIBER CABLE FORECAST

Equipment and Fiber Items Considered

Equipment Items

PONs

OLTs and Splitters Forecasts

RBOC Plans

IGI Forecast

Subscriber Units - ONUs

RBOC Plans

IGI Forecast

Outside Plant Equipment

RBOC Plans

IGI Forecast

Fiber Cable

Fibers - Current RBOC Plans

Fibers - IGI Forecast RBOC Plans

Fibers Required - Summary and Comparison of Plans vs. Forecast

Vendors Listing

Summary of Vendors

Detailed Listing of Vendors

ACTERNA

Adtran

Advanced Fibre Communications Inc. (AFCI) (Now Tellabs)

Alcatel

Alloptic Inc

Amino Technologies plc

AOC Technologies

Avanex Corporation

Broadlight

Calix

Cisco

Corrigent

Entrisphere, Inc.

Ericsson

Fiberxon

Finisar Corporation

FlexLight Networks

Fujitsu

Genone3 Technologies, Inc.

LightComm Technology

Lucent/Alcatel

Marconi

Microsoft

Motorola

NeoPhotonics

Nortel

OFS

O-Net Communications Ltd

Oplink Communications, Inc.

Optiviva Inc.

Optical Solutions

Osaki Electric Co., Ltd.

Paceon (Mitsubishi)

Passav

Quantum Bridge Communications

Salira Optical Network Systems

Scientific-Atlanta

Siemens

Tandberg, Ltd.

Tellabs

Terawave

Tut Systems

Vinci Systems, Inc.

Wave7 Optics

Zhone Technologies




Table of Figures

Figure 1, PON Basic Arrangement

Figure 2, RFP PON - Central Office Portion

Figure 3, RFP PON - Outside Plant Portion

Figure 4, RFP PON Service Assignments

Figure 5, BPON/GPON Comparison

Figure 6, Typical GPON

Figure 7, Bandwidth Needs vs. Capabilities

Figure 8, Equipment and cable in the report in the Report

Figure 9, Announced Plans Summary Chart

Figure 10, Announced Plans - Annual HPs

Figure 11, Announced Plans - HPs Cumulative Passed vs. Served

Figure 12, Announced Plan - Comparison to H-S Accesses

Figure 13, Forecast Homes Passed Cumulative - All Technologies

Figure 14, Forecast Homes Passed Annually - By Company - All Technologies

Figure 15, FTTX vs. H-S Accesses vs. US Households

Figure 16, Technology Type Cumulative - Forecast

Figure 17, Forecast Technologies - Homes Passed - Annual

Figure 18, Forecast Homes Passed - PONs vs. Other Technologies

Figure 19, Total PONS Forecast - RBOCs - Cumulative

Figure 20, Moving from BPONs to GPONs

Figure 21, Forecast BPONs vs. GPONs by Year

Figure 22, Verizon PON Forecast

Figure 23, AT&T PON Forecast

Figure 24, Equipment and cable in the report in the Report

Figure 25, Currently Planned PONs

Figure 26, Forecast for PON Implementation

Figure 27, Forecast Access Networks by Architecture

Figure 28, OLTs - BPONs - RBOC Plans

Figure 29, Table for GPONs OLTs - RBOC Plans

Figure 30, Table for all PONs - OLTs - RBOC Plans

Figure 31, OLTs - BPONs - IGI Forecast

Figure 32, Table for GPONs OLTs - IGI Forecast

Figure 33, Table for all PONs - OLTs - IGI Forecast

Figure 34, BPON Subscriber Units - RBOC Plans

Figure 35, GPON Subscriber Units - RBOC Plans

Figure 36, All PON Subscriber Units - RBOC Plans

Figure 37, BPON Subscriber Units - IGI Forecast

Figure 38, GPON Subscriber Units - IGI Forecast

Figure 39, All PON Subscriber Units - IGI Forecast

Figure 40, Outside Plant Equipment - BPONS - RBOCs Plans

Figure 41, Outside Plant Equipment - GPONS - RBOCs Plans

Figure 42, Outside Plant Equipment - All PONS - RBOCs Plans

Figure 43, Outside Plant Equipment - BPONS - IGI Forecast

Figure 44, Outside Plant Equipment - GPONS - IGI Forecast

Figure 45, Outside Plant Equipment - All PONS - IGI Forecast

Figure 46, Fibers Needed Current Plans

Figure 47, Forecast Fiber Used By Technology

Figure 48, Comparison of Plan vs. Forecast for Fiber Strand Requirements

Figure 49, Summary of Vendors

Ordering and More Information
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