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Generic Competition to 2009

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Urch Publishing
Published: September 2005
Product Code: R410-123
Description
“The period 2005 to 2009 will see the expiration of patent protection for 39 major drugs in the United States, an average of 8 a year. With 2004 seeing a decline in the number of NCEs approved down to 23 from 27 in 2003, there is clear evidence that the loss of revenue from patent protected drugs will impact upon the growth of the industry when so few new drugs are reaching the market.”

Once patent protection and periods of marketing exclusivity expire for a branded drug, sales tend to decline dramatically as generic substitutes capture market share.

Patent expiration for a major product can see revenues for the supplier fall ten-fold within two years. The loss of patent protection for key products is increasingly significant in assessing the future performance of major pharmaceutical companies. The decline of revenues to generic substitutes has a major influence on the financial performance of such companies. Conversely, the successful identification and exploitation of the opportunities afforded by patent expirations provides a major growth driver for the pharmaceutical companies who focus their business on the provision of generic therapeutics.

With this background, Urch Publishing has commissioned a study into the effect of patent expiries on some of the major branded pharmaceutical products.

Generic Competition to 2009 provides the concise and accurate overview of forthcoming generic competition.

Key features of this report
  • Reviews of over 40 major drugs that will come off patent btweeen 2005 and 2006
  • Listing of generic regulatory filing activity
  • Solid overview of market for generic drugs over the next four years
  • Global product sales figures for years 2000-2004 with share by company revenue & market segment
Remember!
The increasing use of generic therapeutics, which combine high volumes with low prices, has led generics to capture 14% of the global healthcare market in 2004, with overall revenues of $58 billion. The imminent patent expirations of many major drugs, 42 in the period 2005 to 2009 in major markets, will provide a major growth stimulus for the generics companies as they compete to capture market share from multi-billion dollar drugs whose patents expire in this period. You have been warned!
Table of Contents
Executive Summary



1. The Impact of Patent Expiries 2005-2009
Introduction
Patent Expiry by date
Major Companies
Major Generic Companies
Europe
Sandoz
Merck KGaA
Schwarz Pharma
North America
Israel & India



2. Historical and Legal Context
Impact of generics on revenue
National factors
Prozac
Patent Regulations
Europe
United States
Hatch-Waxmax
ANDA process



3. Generic Biotechnology Products
Introduction
Procrit/Epogen
NeoRecormon/Epogin
Interferon beta products
Neupogen/Neutrogin
Approval process



4. Expiries in 2005
Overview
Major Patent Expiries In Europe
Major patent expiries in the United States
Potential revenue loss
Advair/Seretide
glimepiride (Amaryl)
clarithromycin (Biaxin/Klacid)
cefprozil (Cefzil/Procef)
fentanyl (Duragesic)
enoxaparin (Lovenox)
clopidogrel (Plavix)
pravastatin (Pravachol/ Mevalotin)
ceftriaxone (Rocephin)
azithromycin (Zithromax)



5. Expiries in 2006
Overview
Major Patent Expiries In Europe
Major patent expiries in the United States
Potential revenue loss
zolpidem tartrate (Ambien/Stilnox/Myslee)
carvedilol (Coreg/Dilatrend)
tersbinafine (Lamisil)
finasteride (Proscar)
simvastatin (Zocor)
ondansetron (Zofran)
sertraline (Zoloft)



6. Expiries in 2007
Overview
Major Patent Expiries In Europe
Major patent expiries in the United States
Potential revenue loss
irinotecan (Camptosar, Campto, Topotecin)
sumatriptan (Imigran/Imitrex)
granisetron hydrochloride (Kytril)
esomeprazole (Nexium)
amlodipine besylate (Norvasc)
paroxetine hydrochloride (Paxil/Seroxat)
budesonide (Pulmicort)*
risperidone (Risperdal)
cetirizine (Zyrtec)



7. Expiries in 2008
Overview
Major Patent Expiries In Europe
Major patent expiries in the United States
Potential revenue loss
bicalutamide (Casodex)
ramipril (Delix/Tritace)
divalproex sodium (Depakote/Valcote)
venlafaxine (Effexor)
alendronate (Fosamax/Bonalon)
lamotrigine (Lamictal)
meloxicam (Mobic)
tacrolimus (Prograf and Protopic)
salmeterol (Serevent)



8. Expiries in 2009
Introduction
Major Patent Expiries In Europe
Major patent expiries in the United States
Potential revenue loss
adenosine injection (Adenoscan/Adenocard)
mycophenolate mofetil (Cellcept)
tamsulosin (Flomax, Omnic, Harnal)
levetiracetam (Keppra)
escitalopram (Lexapro/Cipralex)
pantoprazole (Protonix)
micronized fenofibrate (TriCor/Lipanthyl)
orlistat (Xenical)



List of Figures
Figure 2.1 2004 revenues in the United States for drugs going off patent in the year indicated.
Figure 2.2 Number of potential generic market entries in the United States 2005 to 2009
Figure 2.3 Number of potential generic market entries in the France, Germany and the United Kingdom 2005 to 2009
Figure 2.4 Number of chemical entities likely to be exposed to generic competition between 2005 and 2009.
Figure 2.5 Potential revenue loss (of 2004 U.S. sales) to generic competition for the top 20 pharmaceutical companies plus Forest and King.
Figure 3.1 US sales of Prozac and generic fluoxetine 2000-2004.
Table 3.1 Leading Biotechnology therapeutics showing global reported sales for 2003 and 2004.
Table 8.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Gemany and/or the United Kingdom in 2009.



List of Tables
Table 4.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Germany and/or the United Kingdom in 2005.
Table 4.2 Major Drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the United States in 2005.
Table 5.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Gemany and/or the United Kingdom in 2006.
Table 5.2 Major Drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the United States in 2006
Table 6.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Gemany and/or the United Kingdom in 2007.
Table 6.2 Major Drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the United States in 2007.
Table 7.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Gemany and/or the United Kingdom in 2008.
Table 7.2 Major Drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the United States in 2008.
Table 8.2 Major Drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the United States in 2009.
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