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Future Mobile Broadband: HSPA, EV-DO, WiMAX & LTE - 2nd edition

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Informa Media and Telecom
Published: August 2007
Product Code: R443-263
Description

This 2nd edition report analyses and quantifies the mobile broadband market opportunity for 2007 through 2012. The report provides a uniquely comprehensive and detailed competitive analysis of key current and future mobile broadband systems including HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA+, LTE, EV-DO, EV-DO Rev. A, EV-DO Rev. B, UMB, WiMAX, TD-SCDMA and TD-CDMA.

Key Coverage

  • Make fully informed strategic decisions and support your business planning with expert strategic analysis and fully segmented forecasts for 2007-12 for the mobile broadband market worldwide
  • Pinpoint the key commercial opportunities in the mobile broadband market with exclusive new operator service revenue forecasts for 2007-12 and expert analysis of evolving business models for the converging mobile, broadband and Internet markets
  • Identify the winning and losing mobile broadband systems with comprehensive subscriber and device unit sales forecasts for 2007-12 for HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA+, LTE, EV-DO Rev. A, EV-DO Rev. B, UMB, WiMAX, TD-SCDMA and TD-CDMA
  • Gain a full understanding of the threats and opportunities of mobile broadband with in-depth operator and vendor case studies that detail today’s market successes and failures and allow you to refine the strategies and plans of your organisation

Market Data

  • Uniquely comprehensive subscriber & device forecasts to 2012
    Make fully informed strategic decisions and support your business planning with authoritative and uniquely comprehensive mobile broadband forecasts to 2012. Includes subscriber and device unit sales forecasts for HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA+, LTE, EV-DO Rev. A, EV-DO Rev. B, UMB, TD-CDMA, TD-SCDMA & WiMAX
  • Exclusive operator service revenues forecasts
    Identify the commercial potential of mobile broadband with exclusive forecasts for operator service revenues and ARPU segmented by region and device type. Benefit from strategic analysis and forecasts of mobile broadband in the context of the overall converging mobile, broadband and Internet markets
  • Detailed, independent operator & vendor case studies
    Assess the threats and opportunities of mobile broadband with in-depth, factual operator and vendor case studies that allow you to assess the potential opportunities and dangers for your organisation. Each profile contains detailed analysis and data on current performance and forward strategy
  • In-depth trend analysis & expert future outlook
    Benefit from authoritative analysis of the current trends and future outlook for mobile broadband strategies, services, networks, devices and results by region and technology to help you determine how and where to invest to gain maximum returns over the next five years

Forecasts

  • Mobile broadband operator service revenues
  • Mobile broadband ARPU
  • Mobile broadband subscribers & device unit sales by portable, mobile & fixed
  • HSDPA subscribers & device unit sales
  • HSUPA subscribers & device unit sales
  • HSPA+ subscribers & device unit sales
  • LTE subscribers & device unit sales
  • EV-DO subscribers & device unit sales
  • EV-DO Rev. A subscribers & device unit sales
  • EV-DO Rev. B subscribers & device unit sales
  • UMB subscribers & device unit sales
  • TD-CDMA subscribers & device unit sales
  • TD-SCDMA subscribers & device unit sales
  • WiMAX subscribers & device unit sales
  • Wired broadband subscribers by technology
  • Notebook computer unit sales
  • Total mobile & mobile broadband subscribers & device unit sales by generation/technology
  • Total mobile operator service revenues

Key Issues Addressed

  • How will mobile broadband generate more than $400 billion in operator service revenues worldwide by 2012, and when will the market take off in each region and for each usage model—mobile, portable and fixed?
  • Why is mobile broadband one of the most significant strategic and commercial opportunities in the mobile, broadband and Internet markets?
  • Which mobile broadband technologies will account for the most subscribers and device unit sales in 2007-12 in each region worldwide—HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA+, LTE, EV-DO Rev. A, EV-DO Rev. B, UMB, WiMAX, TD-CDMA or TD-SCDMA?
  • What are the strengths, weaknesses and realistic prospects for the three leading next-generation systems based on OFDMA/MIMO—WiMAX, LTE and UMB?
  • How mobile broadband operators and vendors use a mixture of new services, devices, infrastructure and prices to take market share from fixed broadband operators and suppliers?
  • What are the current results and future outlook for the mobile broadband strategies, networks, devices, services, tariffs, ARPU and revenues for leading operators 3 Group, AT&T, Mobilkom Austria, NTT DoCoMo, Sprint Nextel, Telstra, T-Mobile, Verizon Wireless, Vodacom and Vodafone?
  • What are the current results and future outlook for the mobile broadband strategies, equipment portfolios and roadmaps for leading infrastructure vendors Alcatel-Lucent, Ericsson, Huawei, Motorola, NEC, Nokia Siemens Networks and Nortel?
  • How will the mobile broadband market be impacted by new technologies such as WiMAX and TD-SCDMA, new device classes including notebooks and home gateways, and new types of infrastructure such as femtocells?

Table of Contents
1. Executive summary



2. Mobile network evolution

Mobile generations

1G: Analogue

2G: GSM, CDMA, US TDMA, iDEN, PHS, PDC

2G subscribers worldwide by technology, 2006

2.5G: GPRS, EDGE, EDGE Evolution, CDMA2000 1xRTT

2.5G live networks worldwide by technology

3G: WCDMA, CDMA2000 1xEV-DO

Top EV-DO operators worldwide by subscriptions

3G subscribers worldwide by technology, 2005-06

3.5G: HSDPA, HSUPA, EV-DOrA, EV-DOrB, HSPA+, TD-SCDMA, TDCDMA

HSDPA live networks worldwide

NextWave Wireless TD-CDMA moves

TD-SCDMA market update

3.9G: LTE, UMB

HSPA, HSPA+ and LTE compared

Next Generation Mobile Networks initiative

IPR system

Ultra Mobile Broadband

3GPP, 3GPP2 convergence

4G

Competing systems

Mobile broadcast systems

Mobile TV business models

DVB-H

MediaFLO

Flash-OFDM

802.2

iBurst



3. WiMAX broadband convergence

WiMAX overview

WiMAX and broadband convergence

WiMAX divergence - new devices and business models

New operator business models

Competing and converging broadband markets

Major broadband standards

Spectrum

Infrastructure vendor strategies

WiMAX vendor strategies compared

Operator service launches

Selected pre-WiMAX and WiMAX operators

Subscriber forecasts

WiMAX subscribers worldwide by region, 2007-12



4. Infrastructure vendor strategies

Introduction

Mobile infrastructure revenues by vendor, 2006

Mobile infrastructure market worldwide by technology, 2006

HSDPA and EV-DO deployment market share

HSDPA live systems worldwide by vendor

EV-DO live systems worldwide by vendor

EV-DO Revision A live systems worldwide by vendor

Next-Generation Networks

Infrastructure vendor strategies compared

Infrastructure vendor profiles: company overview & results; mobile broadband products & services; customers, deals & activities; and SWOT analysis for:

Alcatel-Lucent

Alcatel-Lucent results

Ericsson

Selected Ericsson acquisitions

Huawei

Motorola

NEC

Nokia Siemens Networks

Nortel

Samsung

Selected Samsung mobile broadband contracts



5. Operator case studies

Competitive context

Operator case studies: company overview, mobile broadband strategy, infrastructure, devices, service packaging & results for:

Europe & Australia: 3 Group

3 Group subscribers by region, 2005-Mar07

Austria: Mobilkom Austria

Mobilkom Austria broadband mobile tariffs, May 2007

Japan: NTT DoCoMo

NTT DoCoMo data spend per user, 2005-07

US: Sprint Nextel

Sprint Nextel Power Vision EV-DO subscribers, 3Q05-4Q06

Australia: Telstra

Telstra Group financial highlights, 2005-1H07

Europe, US: T-Mobile

T-Mobile data as a percentage of revenue, 2005-1Q07

US: Verizon Wireless

Verizon Wireless BroadbandAccess EV-DO subscribers, 4Q04-4Q06

South Africa: Vodacom

Vodacom data spend as percentage of service revenues, 2005-07

Europe & worldwide: Vodafone

Vodafone Group number of 3G devices, 2005-07

US: Wireless division of AT&T

AT&T wireless financial highlights, 2004-06



6. Subscriber forecasts

Introduction

Scope & methodology

Total mobile market

Total mobile subscribers worldwide by region, 2007-12

Mobile subscriber penetration worldwide by region

Wired broadband market

Wired broadband subscribers worldwide by region, 2007-12

Wired broadband subscribers worldwide by technology

Broadband subscribers worldwide by wired & wireless

Mobile broadband subscribers worldwide by device type

Mobile broadband mobile device subscribers worldwide by region, 2007-12

Mobile broadband subscribers worldwide by technology by region, 2007-12 for each of the following:

HSDPA, HSUPA, EV-DOrA, EV-DOrB, HSPA+, TD-CDMA, TDSCDMA, LTE and UMB

HSDPA subscribers worldwide by region, 2007-12

UMB subscribers worldwide by region, 2007-12

Mobile & mobile broadband subscribers worldwide by major region by generation/technology, 2007-12 for:

North America, Latin America, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Africa/Middle East

North America mobile & broadband subscribers by generation/technology, 2007-12

Mobile broadband to mobile subscriber penetration worldwide by major region

Total mobile and mobile broadband market

Mobile & mobile broadband subscribers worldwide by generation/technology, 2007-12



7. Mobile & portable devices markets

Attachment market trends

Attachment vendor profiles

Novatel Wireless

Novatel Wireless financial highlights, 2005-1Q07

Option NV

Sierra Wireless

Handset market trends

Handset vendor profiles

Motorola

Motorola Mobile Device Revenues and Device Shipments, 2005-1Q07

Nokia

Samsung

Sony Ericsson

Sony Ericsson Revenues and Device Shipments, 2005-1Q07

Embedded device market trends

Fujitsu Siemens Computers

Fujitsu Siemens revenue from consumer and business mobile device sales, Mar-05 to Mar-06



8. Devices forecasts

Scope & methodology

Total mobile device market

Total mobile broadband device market

Total mobile device market by region

Total mobile device unit sales worldwide by region, 2007-12

Total mobile broadband device market by region

Mobile broadband device unit sales worldwide by region, 2007-12

Mobile broadband device market as a percentage of mobile device market

Mobile broadband portable device market by region

Notebook computer market by region

Notebook computer unit sales worldwide by region, 2007-12

Mobile broadband portable device market as a percentage of notebook market

Mobile broadband mobile device market by region

Total mobile device market by region

Mobile broadband mobile device market as a percentage of total mobile device market by region

Mobile broadband fixed device market by region

Total mobile broadband device market by technology by region for each of the following:

HSDPA, HSUPA, EV-DOrA, EV-DOrB, HSPA+, TD-CDMA, TD-SCDMA, LTE and UMB

HSDPA device unit sales worldwide by region, 2007-12

UMB device unit sales worldwide by region, 2007-12

Total mobile and mobile broadband device market

Total mobile technology device unit sales worldwide by generation/technology, 2007-12



9. Service revenue forecasts

Introduction

Development of the converged internet

Future services environment

Mobile services market development

Business model evolution

Broadcast business model

Revenue drivers: search, advertising and payments

Mobile advertising

Mobile payments and m-commerce

Scenario analysis

Forecasts scope & methodology

ARPU

Service revenues exclude WiMAX

Mobile broadband service revenues by device type

Mobile broadband service revenues worldwide by device type—mobile, portable & fixed 2007-12

Mobile, portable and fixed device service revenues by region

Mobile broadband service revenues by region

Mobile broadband ARPU by device type

Mobile, portable and fixed device mobile broadband ARPU by region

Total mobile broadband ARPU by region

Mobile broadband service revenues as a proportion of total mobile service revenues

Total mobile service revenues worldwide by region, 2007-12

Mobile broadband to total mobile service revenues worldwide by region, 2007-12

Note: Only selected figures and sub-sections included. Contents correct at time of printing but subject to change.

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