Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: IDTechEx Ltd
Published: December 2006
Product Code: R449-44Description Contactless smart cards are the largest RFID sector by far and the business is booming. From the $6 billion China national ID card scheme to the large sales of transport cards and tickets, transport-based purse cards replacing cash and secure access cards, this is a sector with many profitable suppliers, issuers and outlets.
This major new report, globally researched in 2006, compares and contrasts contactless smart cards and tickets with NFC and other methods of using the mobile phone to replace the card or ticket. It has 80 figures and tables and four appendices of further information. It forecasts progress for the next ten years with contactless smart cards, tickets and RFID enabled phones, from technology to applications, numbers and values. It is put in the context of smart cards prepaid cards and mobile phones as a whole. The surprising conclusion is that there will be rapid growth in sales of all three alternatives for at least ten years. We present a detailed analysis from the mix of microprocessor vs memory cards by application, to regional differences and the performance of the major schemes and suppliers, user reactions and business opportunities.
Then we have the new market for contactless, bank-issued credit, debit and account cards in contactless form. Consumers prefer the fast transactions and reliability that come with contactless approaches but that means payment and access by mobile phone these days, not just contactless cards. These are alternatives, with pros and cons on either side. Sales of the cards and their closely related systems will reach $4 billion in ten years and the majority of phones will be RFID enabled within ten years. Globally acknowledged experts pull together why, where and what next. Will the phone be enabled by a secure chip, the SIM card or the flash card? Will there be interoperability? Will Near Field Communication NFC catch up with the Japanese proprietary interface then conquer all?
Table of Contents
- 1. INTRODUCTION
- 1.1. RFID and its new forms
- 1.2. Contactless smart cards and tickets
- 1.2.1. Contactless smart cards
- 1.2.2. Late adoption
- 1.2.3. Memory chip vs microprocessor
- 1.2.4. Compatibility
- 1.2.5. Dual interface smart cards
- 1.2.6. Privacy and security
- 1.2.7. Secure access cards
- 1.2.8. Contactless smart tickets
- 1.3. Near Field Communication (NFC)
- 1.3.1. RFID enabled phones are not all NFC
- 1.4. Effect of cards/ tickets competing with NFC
- 2. TECHNOLOGIES FOR CONTACTLESS CARDS AND TICKETS
- 2.1. Manufacturing value chain
- 2.2. Choice of frequency
- 2.3. Card technology
- 2.4. Chip choices and designs
- 2.4.1. Chip types
- 2.4.2. Chip circuit and security
- 2.4.3. Cost structure
- 2.4.4. Battery assisted cards
- 2.5. Contactless ticket technology
- 3. CONTACTLESS SMART CARDS IN ACTION
- 3.1. Anatomy of 105 transport schemes worldwide
- 3.2. Stored Value Cards (SVC) for transport
- 3.2.1. Paybacks
- 3.3. SVC cards and RFID phones for general cash replacement - Japan in the lead
- 3.3.1. Huge opportunity to replace cash
- 3.3.2. JR East Suica and its many partners
- 3.3.3. Edy electronic purse, Japan
- 3.4. Major card schemes in China
- 3.4.1. China National ID card
- 3.4.2. Golden Card Project/ RFID Alliance/ Pilots and funding China
- 3.4.3. The Yikatong card China
- 3.4.4. Hong Kong Octopus China
- 3.4.5. City cards in China
- 3.4.6. Student discount card HF in China
- 3.5. Transport cards worldwide - examples
- 3.5.1. Washington WMATA
- 3.5.2. Atlanta MARTA Breeze card and tickets
- 3.5.3. London Oyster
- 3.5.4. Kanto Japan
- 3.5.5. Osaka-Kobe-Kyoto Japan
- 3.5.6. Qingdao China
- 3.5.7. Seoul Korea, U-City, Digital Media City, etc
- 3.5.8. EasyFuelTM Peru
- 3.6. Secure access cards worldwide - examples
- 3.6.1. Introduction
- 3.6.2. Minneapolis St Paul Airport USA
- 3.6.3. China secure access
- 3.6.4. Paybacks
- 3.7. The move to RFID bank cards
- 3.8. Bank credit, debit, account and SVC cards
- 3.8.1. Bank cards for transport? A problem of what they charge operators
- 3.8.2. Bank cards for transport? A problem of speed
- 3.8.3. MasterCard PayPass on New York Mass Transit
- 3.8.4. Paybacks
- 3.9. Contactless smart tickets in action
- 3.9.1. China National Railway System
- 3.9.2. Aichi World EXPO 2005 Japan
- 3.9.3. Buses Portugal and Norway
- 4. STANDARDS
- 4.1. Introduction
- 4.2. RFID card and ticket standards
- 4.3. Move to contactless EMV
- 4.4. NFC standards
- 5. NFC IN ACTION
- 5.1. RFID enabled mobile phones
- 5.1.2. Business cases - fighting for position
- 5.1.3. Park 24 Japan
- 5.1.4. KDDI Japan
- 5.1.5. Osaka Police mobile phone message Japan
- 5.1.6. Hanau Germany
- 5.1.7. NXP France and Taiwan
- 5.1.8. NFC phone trial The Netherlands
- 5.1.9. UnionPay and other NFC trials in China
- 5.1.10. Finnair Airlines, Helsinki-Vantaa Airport mobile phones Finland
- 5.1.11. Philips Arena, cellphone payments USA
- 5.1.12. Atlanta NFC trial USA
- 6. CONTACTLESS CARDS VS NFC
- 6.1. Cash, bank card and phone payment compete
- 6.2. Merits of contactless cards vs RFID enabled phones
- 6.3. Consumer response - say one thing, do another?
- 6.4. Contactless card companies enter NFC
- 6.5. Service providers and phone manufacturers fight for share
- 6.6. Bouygues trials France
- 6.7. GSM Association wades in
- 7. MARKET FORECASTS 2007-2017
- 7.1. Contactless smart card projections
- 7.1.1. Projections 2007-2017 by number, unit price, value
- 7.1.2. Financial and multifunctional cards
- 7.1.3. China National ID card
- 7.1.4. Other national ID cards
- 7.1.5. Transport cards
- 7.1.6. Secure access and other card applications
- 7.2. Contactless smart ticket projections
- 7.3. Forecasts for HF readers for cards and tickets
- 7.4. Memory vs microprocessor card chip projections
- 7.4.2. Memory chip cards and tickets
- 7.4.3. Microprocessors
- 7.4.4. League table of RFID chip suppliers
- 7.4.5. Contactless cards as a percentage of all smart cards
- 7.5. NFC phones
- 7.5.2. Other research on RFID phone shipments
- 7.5.3. RFID enabled phone shipments by interface 2007-2017
- 7.5.4. RFID enabled phone sales by region 2007-2017
- 7.5.5. FeliCa vs NFC phones by region 2007-2017
- 7.5.6. Phasing out of FeliCa 2007-2010
- 7.6. Size of the opportunity to replace cash
- 7.7. The prepaid card opportunity
- 7.8. Readers for financial cards
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- APPENDIX 1: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS
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- APPENDIX 2: REPORT ON SMI CONFERENCE CONTACTLESS SMART CARDS
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- APPENDIX 3: GLOSSARY
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- TABLES
- 1.1. Adoption of memory chip vs microprocessor cards by application.
- 3.1. Examples of contactless smart cards used for public transportation
- 3.2. Speed of transaction for various contactless card technologies
- 4.1. Examples of relevant standards, committees and statutes
- 5.1. Comparison of economic options for RFID enabled phones
- 6.1. The good and bad of contactless cards and tickets vs RFID enabled phones
- 7.1. Global market for contactless cards and tickets number millions 2007-2017
- 7.2. Global market for contactless cards and tickets unit price US dollars 2007-2017
- 7.3. Global market for contactless cards and tickets number millions 2007-2017
- 7.4. Global market for contactless cards and systems US dollars million 2007-2017
- 7.5. Ticket number and unit value 2007-2017
- 7.6. Total value of tickets and systems US dollars million
- 7.7. Typical contactless card price list in 2006
- 7.8. Global market for financial contactless cards 2007-2017
- 7.9. Characteristics of financial market for contactless cards 2007-2017
- 7.10. Issuance of the Chinese National Identification card 2004-2006 and cumulative national target for 2008
- 7.11. Global market for China national ID cards 2007-2017
- 7.12. Characteristics of market for China ID card 2007-2017
- 7.13. Global market for other national ID cards 2007-2017
- 7.14. Global market for transport contactless cards 2007-2017
- 7.15. Characteristics of market for contactless transport cards 2007-2017
- 7.16. Largest contactless card schemes for transport with installed population of cards
- 7.17. Global market for security and other contactless cards 2007-2017
- 7.18. Characteristics of market for contactless secure access and other cards 2007-2017
- 7.19. Global market for contactless smart tickets 2007-2017
- 7.20. Characteristics of the contactless smart ticket market 2007-2017
- 7.21. Largest orders placed for contactless tickets 2004-2006
- 7.22. Forecast for HF reader sales 2007-2017
- 7.23. Largest suppliers of RFID chips at start of 2006 and 2007 by cumulative number sold in millions
- 7.24. Largest suppliers of RFID chips at start of 2006 and 2007 by cumulative number sold in millions
- 7.25. Global shipments of NFC enabled phones in millions 2007-2017
- 7.26. Global shipments of NFC vs FeliCa RFID enabled phones 2007-2017
- 7.27. RFID enabled phone sales percent by region 2007-2017
- 7.28. FeliCa vs NFC phones by region 2007-2017
- 7.29. Phasing out FeliCa 2007-2010 in Japan
- 7.30. The global market for prepaid cards in 2010
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- FIGURES
- 1.1. Security and memory for different shapes of RFID tags vs cost. Cards red, tickets blue, labels yellow
- 1.2. Range vs memory of various shapes and applications of RFID tags to different specifications
- 2.1. Manufacturing value chain for contactless cards and tickets
- 2.2. Frequencies - the good things
- 2.3. Frequencies - the bad things
- 2.4. Reverse of Omron HF contactless smart card showing copper etched antenna and chip assembly.
- 2.5. Reverse of an Expnotech HF inlet showing etched aluminium antenna
- 2.6. Optimal printing technology for RFID antennas as a function of output.
- 2.7. Circuit block diagram of a microprocessor chip used in smart cards
- 2.8. Contactless system environment
- 2.9. Primary elements of the cost of a passive contactless smart card and what influences them
- 2.10. Relative costs of different antenna deposition technologies according to Infineon.
- 2.11. Time temperature recording HF RFID card from KSW Microtec with its inlet
- 2.12. Aveso laminate giving display capability to contactless smart cards.
- 2.13. Types of active RFID compared with passive RFID
- 2.14. An HF smart label or ticket from Hyan Label of China where the antenna is printed straight onto the paper label feedstock.
- 3.1. Shanghai public transport card
- 3.2. The Atlanta MARTA Breeze card
- 3.3. MARTA card operated gate.
- 3.4. Mu Solutions RFID tag in admission ticket
- 3.5. Admission solution for Aichi World EXPO 2005
- 5.1. NFC board for mobile phone
- 6.1. Comparison of value of individual payments by cash, debit/credit card and mobile phone
- 7.1. Global market for contactless cards and tickets number millions 2007-2017
- 7.2. Global market for contactless cards and tickets unit price US dollars 2007-2017
- 7.3. Global market for contactless cards and tickets number millions 2007-2017
- 7.4. Global market for contactless cards and systems US dollars million 2007-2017
- 7.5. Total value of tickets and systems US dollars million
- 7.6. Historical trend of the mix of chip types for smart cards of all kinds 2006-2016
- 7.7. Largest suppliers of RFID chips at start of 2006 and 2007 by cumulative number sold in millions
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