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Booming Ukraine Banking Sector

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: RNCOS
Published: July 2008
Product Code: R459-1169
Description
The market research report, “Booming Ukraine Banking Sector”, is an analytical study of the thriving banking industry of the southeastern European country, Ukraine. It evaluates the products and services provided by the Ukraine banking industry. It will help clients to dissect the leading-edge opportunities critical to the success of the banking industry and help investors, financial service providers and global banking players to navigate through the market.

Exploring the market development and potential, the report offers a broad overview of the Ukrainian banking industry. The forecasts and estimations given in this report are not based on a complex economic model, but are intended as a rough guide to the direction in which the market is likely to move.

For the purpose of this research, Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Poland, Romania, Hungary, Slovakia and Czech Republic have been included in Eastern Europe.

Key Findings
  • Ukraine is one of the fastest growing countries in Eastern Europe by assets, loans, deposits and profitability of the banking sector.
  • The bank deposits in the Ukrainian banking sector are projected to grow at a CAGR of about 45.8% (in terms of national currency) during 2008-2012.
  • The bank loans in the Ukrainian banking sector are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of about 66% (in terms of national currency) during 2008-2012.
  • Economic entities accounts for majority of bank loans in Ukraine.
  • It is forecasted that total number of payment cards will reach over 95 Million by the end of 2010 at a CAGR of 31%.
Key Issues & Facts
  • Why Ukraine is an attractive banking destination?
  • How competitive is the Ukrainian banking industry?
  • What is hottest market for bank loans?
  • What kinds of deposits are set to boom in the industry?
  • What are the various opportunities and challenges for the industry?
  • What are the prospective areas of investment for the banks in near future?
  • Which factors will lead to the growth of payment cards, loans and deposits in Ukraine?
Key Players This section provides business analysis on top players, like PrivatBank, UkrSibbank, Raiffeisen Bank Aval, State Export-Import Bank and Ukrsotsbank, operating in the Ukraine banking industry.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
Information has been sourced from various authentic sources like books, newspapers, trade journals and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to over 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods
The in-depth analysis of the report has been done by using several methods, like ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, and linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.
Table of Contents
1. Analyst View

2. Eastern Europe Banking Industry

2.1 Assets

2.2 Deposits

2.3 Loans

2.4 Income

3. Ukraine - An Attractive Banking Destination

3.1 Industrial Growth

3.2 Employment Level

3.3 Overseas Investment

3.4 Income Level

3.5 Corporate Demand

4. Ukraine Banking Industry - An Overview

5. Ukraine Banking Industry - Performance

5.1 Deposits

5.1.1 Type of Currency

5.1.1.1 National Currency

5.1.1.2 Foreign Currency

5.1.2 Terms of Deposits

5.1.2.1 Demand Deposits

5.1.2.2 Time Deposits

5.1.3 Category of Depositors

5.1.3.1 Economic Entities

5.1.3.2 Individuals

5.2 Loans

5.2.1 Type of Currency

5.2.1.1 National Currency

5.2.1.2 Foreign Currency

5.2.2 Terms of Repayment

5.2.2.1 Short-term

5.2.2.2 Long-term

5.2.3 Category of Borrowers

5.2.3.1 Economic Entities

5.2.3.2 Individuals

5.2.4 Distribution - By Sector

5.2.5 Distribution - By Economy

5.3 Payment System

5.3.1 Payment Cards

5.3.2 ATMs

5.3.3 Payment Terminals

5.3.4 Imprinters

5.4 Profitability

5.4.1 Income

5.4.2 Expenses

6. Future Outlook (2008-2012)

6.1 Assets

6.2 Deposits

6.3 Loans

7. Opportunities

7.1 Bancassurance

7.2 Internet & Mobile Banking

7.3 Card Manufacturers

7.4 ATMs & Payment Terminals

7.5 Automobile Industry

7.6 Consumer Durables Market

8. Challenges

8.1 Basel II Accord

8.2 Consolidation

8.3 Decreasing Population

8.4 Short-term Liabilities & Investment in Long-term Assets

9. Competitive Landscape

10. Major Industry Players

10.1 PrivatBank

10.2 Raiffeisen Bank Aval

10.3 Ukrsotsbank

10.4 UkrSibbank

10.5 State Export-Import Bank


List of Figures:


Figure 2-1: Eastern Europe* - Banking Industry Assets (in Billion US$), 2002-2007

Figure 2-2: Eastern Europe* - Deposits with Banking Industry (in Billion US$), 2002-2007

Figure 2-3: Eastern Europe* - Banking Industry Loans (in Billion US$), 2002-2007

Figure 2-4: Eastern Europe* - Net Interest Income of Banking Industry (in Billion US$), 2002-2007

Figure 3-1: Ukraine - Real GDP at Factor Cost (in Billion UAH), 2002-2007

Figure 3-2: Ukraine - Employment* (in Million), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-3: Ukraine - Forecast for Employment* (in Million), 2008-2011

Figure 3-4: Ukraine - Foreign Assets in Banking Sector (%), 2002-2006

Figure 3-5: Ukraine - Personal Disposable Income (in Billion US$), 2002-2007E

Figure 3-6: Ukraine - Forecast for Personal Disposable Income (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 3-7: Ukraine - Breakup of Loans to Economic Entities (%), 2007

Figure 4-1: Ukraine - Banking Industry Assets (in Billion US$), 2002-2007

Figure 4-2: Ukraine - Breakup of Banking Industry Assets (%), 2006

Figure 5-1: Ukraine - Deposits with Banking Industry (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-2: Ukraine - Deposits with Banking Industry by Currency (%), 2007

Figure 5-3: Ukraine - Deposits with Banking Industry in National Currency (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-4: Ukraine - Deposits with Banking Industry in Foreign Currency (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-5: Ukraine - Demand Deposits with Banking Industry (in Million UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-6: Ukraine - Time Deposits with Banking Industry (in Million UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-7: Ukraine - Deposits with Banking Industry by Category (%), 2007

Figure 5-8: Ukraine - Bank Deposits of Economic Entities (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-9: Ukraine - Bank Deposits by Economic Entities (%), 2007

Figure 5-10: Ukraine - Bank Deposits of Individuals (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-11: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-12: Ukraine - NPL/Loans Ratio (%), 2004-2006 & H1 2007

Figure 5-13: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Currency (%), 2007

Figure 5-14: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans in National Currency (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-15: Ukraine - Interest Rate on Banking Industry Loans in National Currency (%), 2002-2006

Figure 5-16: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans in Foreign Currency (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-17: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Foreign Currency (%), 2007

Figure 5-18: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Terms of Repayment (%), 2007

Figure 5-19: Ukraine - Short-term Banking Industry Loans (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-20: Ukraine - Long-term Banking Industry Loans (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-21: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Category (%), 2007

Figure 5-22: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans to Economic Entities (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-23: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans to Individuals (in Billion UAH), 2004-2007

Figure 5-24: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Sector (%), Mar 2008

Figure 5-25: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Economy (%), Mar 2008

Figure 5-26: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans by Domestic Economy (%), 2006

Figure 5-27: Ukraine - Domestic & International Payment Cards (in Million Units), 2002-2006

Figure 5-28: Ukraine - Payment Cards (in Million Units), 2005, 2006 & H1 2007

Figure 5-29: Ukraine - Market Share of Key Players by Payment Cards Issued (%), Sep 2007

Figure 5-30: Ukraine - Payment Cards by Function (%), Jun 2007

Figure 5-31: Ukraine - Market Share of Key Credit Card Players (%), Sep 2007

Figure 5-32: Ukraine - Amount (in Billion UAH) & Number of Transactions (in Million) with Payment Cards (2002-2006)

Figure 5-33: Ukraine - Number of ATMs (in ‘000), 2006 & H1 2007

Figure 5-34: Ukraine - Number of ATMs Servicing Domestic & International Payment Cards (2005 & 2006)

Figure 5-35: Ukraine - Number of Payment Terminals (in ‘000), 2006 & H1 2007

Figure 5-36: Ukraine - Number of Payment Terminals Servicing Domestic & International Payment Cards (2005 & 2006)

Figure 5-37: Ukraine - Number of Imprinters (in ‘000), 2006 & H1 2007

Figure 5-38: Ukraine - Number of Imprinters Servicing Domestic & International Payment Cards (2005 & 2006)

Figure 5-39: Ukraine - Income of Banking Industry (in Billion UAH), 2002-2007

Figure 5-40: Ukraine - Breakup of Banking Industry Income (%), 2006

Figure 5-41: Ukraine - Expenses of Banking Industry (in Billion UAH), 2002-2007

Figure 5-42: Ukraine - Breakup of Banking Industry Expenses (%), 2006

Figure 6-1: Ukraine - Forecast for Banking Industry Assets (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 6-2: Ukraine - Forecast for Deposits with Banking Industry (in Billion UAH), 2008-2012

Figure 6-3: Ukraine - Forecast for Banking Industry Loans (in Billion UAH), 2008-2012

Figure 7-1: Ukraine - Forecast for Internet Penetration (%), 2008-2012

Figure 7-2: Ukraine - Forecast for Mobile Subscribers Penetration (%), 2008-2012

Figure 7-3: Ukraine - Forecast for Payment Cards (in Million Units), 2008-2010

Figure 7-4: Ukraine - Forecast for Number of ATMs & Payment Terminals (in ‘000), 2008-2010

Figure 7-5: Ukraine - Forecast for New Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2008-2012

Figure 7-6: Ukraine - Forecast for TV, Refrigerator & Washing Machine Sales (in ‘000 Units), 2008-2012

Figure 8-1: Ukraine - Population (in Million), 2002-2007

Figure 8-2: Ukraine - Forecast for Population (in Million), 2008-2012

Figure 9-1: Ukraine - Market Share of Key Players by Assets (%), H1 2007

Figure 9-2: Ukraine - Market Share of Key Players by Retail Loans (%), H1 2007

Figure 9-3: Ukraine - Market Share of Key Players by Retail Deposits (%), H1 2007


List of Tables:


Table 2-1: Eastern Europe - Banking Industry Assets by Country (in Million US$), 2007

Table 2-2: Eastern Europe - Deposits with Banking Industry by Country (in Million US$), 2007

Table 2-3: Eastern Europe - Banking Industry Loans by Country (in Million US$), 2007

Table 2-4: Eastern Europe - Net Interest Income of Banking Industry by Country (in Million US$), 2007

Table 4-1: Ukraine - Key Banking Indicators (in Number), 2000-2007

Table 5-1: Ukraine - Deposits with Banking Industry by Region (in Million UAH), Mar 2008

Table 5-2: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans to Non-financial Corporations by Industry (%), Mar 2008

Table 5-3: Ukraine - Banking Industry Loans to Advanced & Other Economies by Country (%), Mar 2008

Table 9-1: Ukraine - Market Share of Key Players by Corporate Deposits & Loans (%), Oct 2005
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