Broadband-to-the-Premise Fiber Optic Components 2003-2013

Broadband-to-the-Premise Fiber Optic Components 2003-2013 - Global Market Forecast Service

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: ElectroniCast Consultants
Published: January 2005
Product Code: R56-155

Description

A ten-year forecast of the Fiber-to-the-Premise Fiber Optic Components in:

The Telecom Access Links
Cable TV/Head Ends
Internet Service Provider Access Links
Competitive Access Providers
Subscriber Premise Interface

This broad scope analysis and forecast also covers the broadband links that compete with and/or augment fiber links:

Wireless (WLAN, WiFi, WiMAX)
Satellite-to-Premise
Free Space Optics
Microwave Links

This report updates and expands the information provided in ElectroniCast's earlier Fiber-to-the-Office and Broadband-to-the-Home reports.

ElectroniCast announces a study which provides a ten-year forecast of the Global and Regional markets for Fiber Optic Components used in broadband communication between telecommunication central offices (and remote-sites), internet and long haul points of presence and cable TV head ends; business, government agency and other offices plus residential subscribers.

-- WHY THIS STUDY --

Communication industry movement into broadband services is accelerating. Multimedia business communication loading on the telecom and internet access links will multiply dramatically over the next decade. New technology such as optical amplifier driven passive optical networks and next generation fiber optic fast packet switches will bring major revisions in network design in and from the central office and PoP to the subscriber and in interoffice. A wide range of new products will support the building of these new networks. Early versions of these products are now on the market, but design evolution will continue, and cost per function will drop.

This ten-year forecast of the high data rate system demand for electronic, optoelectronic and all optical network (AON) products will provide information of high value to telecom equipment and system manufacturers, fiber optic component vendors, internet service providers, telephone companies and competitive access providers:

New product markets; timing and price sensitivity
New product availability, performance and pricing, standards, suppliers
Constraints placed on manufacturers by telco and data communication cost requirements and growth plans
Evolution of service providers, which are the future customers for broadband products

-- STUDY SCOPE --

This study analyzes last years product, technology, consumption and competitive status of high data rate system products for telecommunications central office (intra-office) interoffice and the local loop, internet and long haul telephony points of presence and cable TV head end fiber optic connection to business and government office and to residential subscribers. It provides a ten-year North American, European, Japan-Pacific Rim and Global market forecast for each type of system product and fiber optic component, and the significant subsets. The forecast is in terms of quantity, average price and total value year-by-year. The product market forecast also is segmented by fiber optic component end customer categories:

Incumbent Local Exchange Carrier (ILEC)
Competitive LEC (CLEC); Including Utility and Cable TV
Competitive Access Providers/Alternate Local Carriers (CAP/ALC)
Interexchange Carrier Long Haul Telecom and Cable Point of Presence (IXC - PoP)
Internet Service Providers (ISPs)
Cable TV/Broadband providers
Satellite TV/Broadband

Rapidly advancing data throughput from internet servers, distributed networks, massively parallel machines and next generation supercomputers will drive demand for broadband high capacity switching, routing and transport techniques. Next generation switches based on both high speed semiconductor switching and on transparent optical switches have moved into early production. The markets for this advanced equipment and the application of new standards in the local loop, trunk and telecommunications central office are forecasted. Competitive strategies and strategic alliances are outlined.

The Broadband-To-The-Premise (BBTP) Market Forecast is provided in a hardbound report with over 100 figures and tables and the forecast data base spreadsheet printout.

Debriefing Session: A day's debriefing by ElectroniCast staff is included in the subscription fee, except travel expenses. The debriefing will provide analysis of the data, and provide a basis for assuring that clients receive maximum benefits from the study.

Please note: The delivery time for hard copies and CD-ROM is between 3-5 business days, as each is custom printed for the organization ordering it.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary: 1.1 Overview; 1.2 Fiber Optics Industry Overview
2. Broadband -To-The-Premise Component Forecast: 2.1 Overview; 2.2 Residential Access Components Market Forecast
3. Global Broadband-To-The-Premise Components: 3.1 Overview; 3.2 Broadband Cable; 3.3 Fiber Optic Connectors; 3.4 WDM Components; 3.5 Coarse WDM Components; 3.6 Passive Optical BBTP Components; 3.7 SAN/RSAN Fiber Link Components
4. Applications Forecast: 4.1 Residential Access Applications; 4.2 Business/Government Office Access Applications
5. Residential Service Trends: 5.1 Overview; 5.2 Program (Content) Trends; 5.3 Entertainment Television; 5.4 Telephony; 5.5 Data Communication
6. Access Network Architecture Trends: 6.1 Overview; 6.2 Copper Home Run; 6.3 Hybrid Cabling; 6.4 Fiber Home Run (FTTH); 6.5 Microwave
7. Methodology: 7.1 Research and Analysis Methodology; 7.2 Assumptions of the Broadband-to-the-Premise Fiber Optic Components Market Forecast
8. Definitions: 8.1 Acronyms, Abbreviations, and General Terms; 8.2 Data Base Category Definitions
9. Market Forecast Data Base: 9.1 Introduction; 9.2 Tutorial; 9.3 Forecast Data Base

LIST OF FIGURES

1.1.1 Access Network Elements

1.1.2 Fiber Optic Telecommunication Industry Survivors and Their Acquisitions

1.1.3 Cogent Communication's Multi-National IP Network

1.1.4 Broadband-to-the-Premise

1.1.5 Fully Reconfigurable OADM

1.1.6 Hitachi's AMN 1200 (B-PON OLT)

1.1.7 Alcatel 7340 FTTU-PON System

1.1.8 Global Fiber-to-the-Office Product Consumption Value ($, Billion), By Product Category

1.1.9 Fiber-to-the-Office Equipment Categories

1.1.10 Free Space Optics (FSO) Illustration

1.1.11 Fiber-to-the-Office Component Categories

1.2.1.1 LH/SLH/ Submarine Global Fiber Optic Component Shipments, Consumption and Inventory Value Trends

1.2.1.2 Regulated Telco Metro/Access Global Fiber Optic Component Shipments, Consumption and Inventory Value Trends

1.2.1.3 Enterprise LAN/WAN, BBTH, SOHO Global Fiber Optic Component Shipments, Consumption and Inventory Value Trends

1.2.1.4 Price Trends of a Typical Maturing Component

1.2.1.5 Contrasting Trends During the Business Cycle

1.2.2.1 Evolution of Research Emphasis During Technology Life Cycle

1.2.2.2 Evolving to the All-Optical Network

1.3.1 Regional Trends of Fiber Optic Component Consumption In Broadband Access to Premise

2.3.4.4.1 Optical Amplifier Network Functions

2.3.4.4.2 Optical Amplifier Types/Categories

2.3.4.4.3 Access Network Planar Waveguide Optical Amplifier

2.3.5.2.1 Bidirectional Single Fiber Same-Wavelength Transmit/Receive Module

2.3.6.3.1 Solid State Thermo-Optic Switch

2.3.6.3.2 SOA Based Photonic Cross-Connect Switch

2.3.7.1 Fixed optical Add/Drop Multiplexer

2.3.7.2 Semi-reconfigurable Optical Add/Drop Multiplexer

2.3.7.3 Fully Reconfigurable Optical Add/Drop Multiplexer

3.7.1 Emcore Optical Systems Multifiber/Multichannel Data Transmitter

3.7.2 SAN/RSAN Fiber Link Components Regional Market Share Values

4.1.2.1 Evolution of Communication Channels

4.1.2.2 Telecommunication Network Bandwidth Trend

4.1.3.1 Types of Fiber

4.1.3.1.1 Attenuation Curve of Typical Singlemode Fiber

4.1.3.1.2 Singlemode Fiber Dispersion Characteristics

4.1.3.1.3 Future Fiber Data

4.1.3.2.1 Multimode Dispersion

4.1.3.2.2 Theoretical Bandwidth vs. Wavelength for 50 um & 62.5 um MMF

4.2.2.1.1 FSAN APON Architecture

4.2.2.2.2.1 Typical Telco Fiber Network

4.2.2.2.2.2 PRONTO Architecture

4.2.2.3.1.1 Global Mobile Internet Access Revenue Trend

4.2.2.3.1.2 Internet Server/Transport Typical Network

4.2.2.3.1.3 DSL Global Line Deployment Trend

4.2.2.3.2.1 CLEC Services Revenue Trend

4.2.2.3.4.1 Typical DSL Network

4.2.2.3.4.2 DSL Global Line Deployment Trend

4.2.2.3.5.1 Wireless LAN Products Global Consumption

5.1.1 HDTV Purchases and Cumulative Deployment

6.1.1 Residential Broadband Network Options

LIST OF TABLES

1.1.1 Leaders in Broadband, based on Total Subscribers at >200 Kbps (one way)

1.1.2 Minimum and Ideal Speeds Necessary for Popular Applications

1.1.3 PON Comparison

1.3.1 BBTP Access Components Global Consumption Value Forecast, by Region

1.3.2 BBTP Access Components Global Consumption Value, By Link Transport Media

1.3.3 BBTP Access Fiber Optic Cable Global Consumption Value Forecast, by Region

1.3.4 BBTP Access Copper UTP and Coaxial Cable Global Consumption Value, by Region

1.3.5 Global BBTP Components Consumption Value Forecast, by Type

1.3.6 North American BBTP Components Consumption Value Forecast, by Type

1.3.7 European BBTP Components Consumption Value, by Type

2.1.1 Broadband Component Global Consumption In Local Loop Deployment, by Regions

2.1.2 Broadband Components in North America Consumption Value In Local Loop Deployment, by Link Media

2.1.3 Broadband Components North America Consumption Value In Local Loop Deployment, by End Termination

2.1.4 Broadband Components Japan-Pacific Rim Consumption Value In Local Loop Deployment, by End Termination

2.1.5 Broadband Components European Consumption Value In Local Loop Deployment, by End Termination

2.2.1.1 Component Consumption in Residential Subscriber Loop Global, by Type

2.2.1.2 Optoelectronic Component Global Consumption In Residential Subscriber Loop, by Regions

2.2.2.1 In Residential Subscriber Loop Deployment,

2.2.2.1.1 Communication Cable Global Consumption In Residential Subscriber Loop Deployment, by Type

2.2.2.1.2 Fiber Optic Cable Global Installation Trends In Residential Subscriber Loop Deployment

2.2.2.2.1 Cable Connector Global Installation Value Trends In Residential Subscriber Loop Deployment, by Type

2.2.3.1.1 Optoelectronic Component Global Consumption In Residential Subscriber Loop Deployment

2.3.1.1 Component Consumption Value In Office Subscriber Local Loop; Global; by Product

2.3.1.2 Fiber Optic Cable Link Components Global Consumption In Office Local Loop Deployment; by Component Category

2.3.1.3 Broadband Components Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment

2.3.1.4 Component Consumption Value in Office Subscriber Loop; North America; by Product

2.3.2.1 Fiber Optic Cable FTTO Global Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop, by Cable Type

2.3.2.2 Fiber Optic Cable Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.2.3 Fiber Optic Cable North American Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Cable Type

2.3.2.4 Fiber Optic Cable North American Consumption Quantity, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Cable Type

2.3.2.5 Fiber Optic Singlemode Cable North American Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.3.1 Fiber Optic Cable Connector Global Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.3.2 Fiber Optic Cable Connector Global Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.3.3 Fiber Optic Connector North American Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.3.4 Fiber Optic Connector North American Consumption Quantity, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.4.1.1 Dense WDM Components Global Consumption Value, In Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.4.1.2 Dense WDM Components Global Consumption Value, In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.4.1.3 Dense WDM Components North American Consumption Value, In Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.4.2.1 DWDM Transmitter/Receiver Pairs FTTO Global Consumption Value, by Function

2.3.4.2.2 Dense WDM Transmitter/Receiver Components Global Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Active Modules, by Function

2.3.4.3.1 DWDM Passive Filter Module Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Tunability

2.3.4.3.2 DWDM Passive Filter Module Global Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Tunability

2.3.4.3.1.1 Fixed DWDM Filters Global Consumption Value In Local Loop Deployment, by Wavelength Count

2.3.4.3.1.2 Fixed DWDM Filters Global Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Wavelength Count

2.3.4.4.1 DWDM Optical Amplifiers Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Wavelength Band

2.3.4.4.2 DWDM Optical Amplifiers Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.4.4.3 DWDM Optical Amplifiers North American Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Technology

2.3.4.4.4 DWDM Optical Amplifiers North American Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Technology

2.3.4.5.1 Integrated DWDM Optoelectronics Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Function

2.3.4.5.2 Integrated DWDM Optoelectronics Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.4.5.3 Integrated DWDM Optoelectronics North American Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Function

2.3.4.5.4 Integrated DWDM Optoelectronics North American Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Function

2.3.4.5.1.1 Coarse WDM Components Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Function

2.3.4.5.1.2 Coarse WDM Components Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.5.2.1 Transmitters/Receivers Global Consumption Value Government/Business Office Deployment, by Data Rate/Protocol

2.3.5.2.2 Transmitters/Receivers Global Consumption Quantity Government/Business Office Deployment, by Data Rate/Protocol

2.3.5.2.3 Transmitters/Receivers Global Consumption Value Government/Business Office Deployment, by Region

2.3.5.2.4 Transmitters/Receivers North American Consumption Value Government/Business Office Deployment, by Data Rate/Protocol

2.3.6.1 Passive Optical Component Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.6.2 Passive Optical Component Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.6.3 Passive Optical Component North American Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.6.4 Passive Optical Component North American Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.6.2.1 Fiber Optic Coupler North American Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.6.2.2 Fiber Optic Coupler North American Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Type

2.3.6.3.1 Fiber Optic Switch North American Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Configuration

2.3.6.3.2 Fiber Optic Switch North American Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Configuration

2.3.6.4.1 Optical Fiber Attenuator North American Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Configuration

2.3.6.4.2 Optical Fiber Attenuator North American Consumption Quantity In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Configuration

2.3.6.5.1 Other Passive Optical Components Global Consumption Value In Office Local Loop Deployment, by Region

2.3.8.1 SAN/RSAN Fiber Link Components Global Consumption Value By Function

2.3.8.2 SAN/RSAN Fiber Optic Transceivers Global Consumption Value By Data Rate/Format

3.1.1 Global BBTP Components Access Consumption Value Forecast, by Type

3.1.2 Subscriber Loop BBTP Components Global Access Consumption, by Region

3.2.1 Broadband-to-the-Premise Cable Global Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.2.2 Fiber Optic BBTP Cable Global Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.2.3 Fiber Optic BBTP Cable Global Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.2.4 Fiber Optic BBTP Cable North American Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.2.5 Fiber Optic BBTP Cable North American Access Consumption Quantity, by Type

3.2.6 Subscriber Loop BBTP Singlemode Fiber Optic Cable North American Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.2.7 Subscriber Loop BBTP Singlemode Fiber Optic Cable North American Access Consumption Quantity, by Type

3.3.1 Fiber Optic Connectors BBTP Global Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.3.2 Fiber Optic Connectors BBTP Global Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.3.3 Fiber Optic Connectors BBTP North American Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.3.4 Fiber Optic Connectors BBTP North American Access Consumption Quantity, by Type

3.4.1 Wavelength Division Multiplex Components Global Access Consumption Value, by Bandwidth

3.4.2 BBTP WDM Components Global Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.4.1.1 Dense WDM Components BBTP Global Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.4.1.2 Dense WDM Components BBTP Global Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.4.1.3 Dense WDM Components BBTP North American Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.4.1.1.1 Dense WDM Active Filters Global Access Consumption Value, by Function

3.4.1.1.2 Dense WDM Active Filters Global Access Consumption Quantity, by Function

3.4.1.2.1 Fixed DWDM Filters BBTP Global Access Consumption Value, by Wavelength Count

3.4.1.2.2 Fixed DWDM Filters BBTP Global Access Consumption Quantity, by Wavelength Count

3.4.1.2.1.1 DWDM Passive Filters Global Access Consumption Value, by Function

3.4.1.2.1.2 DWDM Passive Filters Global Access Consumption Quantity, by Function

3.4.1.3.1 DWDM Integrated Filters Global Access Consumption Value, by Function

3.4.1.3.2 DWDM Integrated Filters Global Access BBTP Consumption Quantity, by Function

3.4.2.1 Coarse WDM BBTP Components Global Consumption Value, by Function

3.4.2.2 Coarse WDM Components BBTP Global Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.4.2.3 Coarse WDM BBTP Component Modules North American Consumption Value, by Function

3.4.2.4 Coarse WDM BBTP Passive (Filter) Modules American Consumption Value, by Wavelength Function

3.4.2.5 Coarse WDM BBTP Integrated Passive (Filter) Modules American Consumption Value, by Tunability

3.4.3.1 DWDM Active Filters BBTP Access Consumption Value, by Function

3.4.3.2 DWDM Filters BBTP Access Consumption Quantity, by Function

3.4.3.1.1 Fixed DWDM Filters BBTP Access Consumption Value, by Wavelength Count

3.4.3.1.2 Fixed DWDM Filters BBTP Access Consumption Value, by Wavelength Count

3.4.3.1.3 Fixed DWDM Filters BBTP Access Consumption Quantity, by Wavelength Count

3.4.4.1 DWDM Optical Amplifiers BBTP Access Consumption Value, by Wavelength Band

3.4.4.2 BBTP Optical Amplifiers Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.4.4.3 BBTP Optical Amplifiers American Access Consumption Value, by Wavelength Band

3.4.4.4 DWDM Optical Amplifiers BBTP American Access Consumption Quantity, by Wavelength Band

3.5.1 Coarse WDM BBTP Components

Global Consumption Value, by Function

3.5.2 Coarse WDM Components BBTP

Global Access Consumption, by Region

3.5.3 Coarse WDM BBTP Component Modules

North American Consumption Value, by Function

3.5.4 Coarse WDM BBTP Passive (Filter) Modules

North American Consumption Value, by Wavelength Function

3.5.5 Coarse WDM BBTP Integrated Passive (Filter) Modules

North American Consumption Value, by Tunability

3.6.1.1 Passive Optical BBTP Components

Global Access Consumption, by Type

3.6.1.2 Passive Optical BBTP Components

Global Access Consumption, by Value

3.6.1.3 Passive Optical BBTP Components

North American Access Consumption Value, by Type

3.6.1.4 Passive Optical BBTP Components

North American Consumption Quantity, by Type

3.6.2.1 Fiber Optic BBTP Coupler

North American Consumption Value, by Type

3.6.2.2 Fiber Optic BBTP Coupler

North American Access Consumption Quantity, by Type

3.6.3.1 Fiber Optic BBTP Switch

North American Access Consumption Value, by Configuration

3.6.3.2 Fiber Optic BBTP Switch

North American Access Consumption Quantity, by Configuration

3.6.4.1 Optical Fiber BBTP Attenuator

Global Access Consumption Value, by Configuration

3.6.4.2 Optical Fiber BBTP Attenuator

Global Access Consumption Quantity, by Configuration

3.6.5.1 Other Passive BBTP Components

Global Access Consumption Value, by Region

3.7.1.1 SAN/RSAN Fiber Link Components

Global Access Consumption Value, by Function

3.7.1.2 SAN/RSAN Fiber Optic Transceivers

Global Access Consumption Value Forecast, by Data Rate/Format

3.7.1.3 SAN/RSAN Fiber Optic Ethernet Transceivers

Global Access Consumption Value Forecast, by Type

4.2.2.3.3.1 Fibered Homes North American Forecast (Annual Installations; FTTC/FTTH/FTTSA)

5.1.1 Residential Services Revenue Growth, 2003-2013

Broadband versus Narrow Band

5.1.2 Interest Level Per Service

6.1.1 Residential Broadband Network Deployment; Subscriber Growth By Architecture Format (Net New Subscribers/Year)

6.1.2 Residential Broadband Network Deployment; Bandwidth Growth By Architecture Format

6.1.3 The FSAN Initiative

6.2.1 Copper Home Run Network Deployment; Net New Subscriber Growth By Architecture Format

6.2.2 Copper Home Run Network Deployment; Net New Bandwidth Growth By Architecture Format

6.3.1 Hybrid Cabling Network Deployment; Net New Subscriber Growth By Architecture Format

6.3.2 Hybrid Cabling Network Deployment; Net Bandwidth Growth By Architecture Format

6.5.1 RF/Microwave Network Deployment; Net New Subscriber Growth By Architecture Format

6.5.2 RF/Microwave Network Deployment; Net Bandwidth Growth By Architecture Format

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