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Educational Funding - US

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: December 2005
Product Code: R560-1847
Description
In light of the highly publicized costs of a college education today, financing such an education can weigh heavily on the minds of parents and future students. The options that are available range from federal programs to state and institutional aid, to state-sponsored savings plans, created in 1996, that allow households to either lock in current prices for future enrollment or contribute after-tax dollars to investment plans for qualified education expenses. None of these options typically stands alone in covering all or most of college expenses, which makes understanding the interplay of financial aid and savings plans seemingly more complex.

While parents and future students work to understand college financing options, the arena of loans and savings products is constantly evolving. Annual budgetary activities by the federal and state governments often focus on higher education spending and have significant implications for not only end-users but the lending and savings industry in general. In addition, competition for a share in these billion-dollar markets continues to shape product offerings, particularly in the area of private loans. As of the first quarter of 2005, the total assets of 529 plan reached $67.7 billion. The rate of growth in 529 plans has slowed considerably, 4.6%, from last year, compared to the rate of change averaging 66.4% from 2001-2005. In terms of educational loans, the preliminary total assets for 2005 are $76.4 million, with a 12% increase from the previous year.

From the perspective of parents and students, challenges for the future include making consistent efforts to educate and prepare the college-bound for the expenses they will incur as well as the financing options available to them. This audience will need to understand the implication of rising tuition costs in the context of aid programs that make college education significantly more affordable than perceived. Some products such as 529 plans that have traditionally been limited in their promotion and marketing to specific audiences, will need to redirect their focus with strategies that emphasize early and manageable contributions. These efforts should extend to audiences that are under-represented in terms of plan participation specifically and college enrollment in general.

This Mintel report examines participation in educational savings and loan programs. Also explored in depth are factors contributing to participation, such as legislative action, state budgetary activity, student enrollment and increased tuition costs. Mintel also estimates the size of the educational loans market, which encompasses federal and non-federal loans, as well as the size of the education-targeted savings market. The final section of this report looks at the future, assessing where market trends are headed, and forecasting market size changes through 2008.
Table of Contents
Introduction and Abbreviations

Introduction

Other relevant reports

Scope of the report

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms



Executive Summary

Ever-changing legislative climate

Student enrollment in colleges and universities

Tuition and fees on the rise

College graduation in more than four years

Raising the profile of 529 Plans



Market Drivers

Legislative action

Potential overhaul of the federal loan guarantee program

Lack of student awareness of potential changes

State budgets

Figure 1: Undergraduate grant aid in constant dollars, 1999/2000-2003/04

Figure 2: Undergraduate grant aid in constant dollars, indexed growth and share of total by need-based and non-need-based, 1999/2000-2003/04

Residency benefits stimulate greater in-state participation

Figure 3: States offering tax deductions or credits to in-state investors, 2005

Awareness levels remain low on 529s…

Figure 4: Awareness of 529 Plans, by type of plan, 2003

…particularly among lower-income households

529 plan managers face challenges

Student loan interest rates

Figure 5: Student loan rates, 2004/05 and 2005/06

Lender subsidies may be cut

Competition between education savings dollars and retirement dollars

Figure 6: Primary financial goal among households with children under 18, 2003

Student enrollment

Numbers of older students should increase

Figure 7: Actual enrollment and middle alternative post-secondary enrollment projections, by gender, and working status, 2002-14

Value of student aid growing faster than student numbers

Figure 8: Total aid, per FTE in constant dollars, by program, 1999/2000-2004/05

Tuition costs

Public four-year college fees see the greatest increases

Fee increases outstrip inflation, but net tuition costs may be lower than expected

Figure 9: Average published charges for undergraduates, 2004/05 and 2005/06

Number of years spent in college is on the rise

Figure 10: Persistence rates among college students, by institution type, 1989/90 and 1995/96



Market Size and Trends

529 Plans

Figure 11: Growth in total assets of 529 Plans, 1998-Q1 2005

Figure 12: Graph: Total assets in 529 Plans and % change, 1998-Q1 2005

Figure 13: Graph: Number of 529 Plans 2000- Q1:2005

Figure 14: Total 529 Plan assets, by state, March 2005

Educational Loans

Figure 15: Growth in total assets of education (federal and non-federal) loans, 1995/96-2004/05

Figure 16: Graph: Total educational loans (federal and non-federal) in current dollars, 1995/96 to 2004/05*



Market Segmentation

Federal, state and institutional aid

Private Loans

Educational savings plans

Federal, state and institutional aid

Overview

Figure 17: Federal, state and institutional aid for post-secondary education in constant dollars, 2003/04 and 2004/05

Pell Grants key for low-income students…

…while FSEOG awards also target low-income undergraduates

Federal Loans

$63 billion of federal loans awarded in 2004/05 academic year

Figure 18: Federal loans for post-secondary education in constant dollars, 2003/04-2004/05

Perkins Loan appropriations have dropped

Average value of Stafford subsidized loans falling slightly

Figure 19: Stafford subsidized loans for post-secondary education, 2003/04-2004/05

Figure 20: Stafford unsubsidized loans for post-secondary education, 2003/04-2004/05

Value of PLUS loans triples since 1995/96

Figure 21: Plus loans for post-secondary education, 2003/04-2004/05

Private loans

Figure 22: Graph: Growth in private loans for post-secondary education, 1996/97-2004/05

Flexibility a key benefit

Federal Consolidation Loans

Educational Savings Plans

529 Prepaid Tuition Plans

Figure 23: 529 prepaid tuition plan assets, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Impact on financial aid eligibility must be considered

529 Savings Plans

Figure 24: 529 Savings Plan assets, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Savings plans offer great investment choice

Coverdell Education Savings Accounts



Competitive Landscape

529 College Savings Plans

American Funds

Fidelity Investments

Figure 25: Fidelity College savings plans, 2005

TIAA-CREF Tuition Financing Inc. (TFI)

Figure 26: TIAA-CREF TFI College savings plans, 2005

The Vanguard Group

Figure 27: Vanguard College savings plans, 2005

T. Rowe Price Associates

Figure 28: T. Rowe Price College savings plans, 2005

Educational Lending

SLM Corporation (Sallie Mae)

Early success for Tuition Answer

Building sales through partnerships

Collegiate Funding Services (CFS)

CFS diversifying its product offering

The Student Loan Corporation

Nelnet Inc.

MRU Holdings Inc. (MyRichUncle)



Advertising and Promotion

Educational loans

Overview

Figure 29: Top 15 direct mail companies for educational loans, January 2004-July 2005

Collegiate Funding Services

Figure 30: Collegiate Funding Services Private Loan program, 2005

Charter One Bank

Figure 31: Charter One student loan programs, 2005

Sallie Mae Tuition AnswerSM Loan

Figure 32: Sallie Mae Tuition Answer Loan, 2005

Sallie Mae PLUS Loan

Figure 33: Sallie Mae PLUS Loan, 2005

Bank of America Stafford Loan

Figure 34: Bank of America Stafford Loan, 2005

Educational Savings

TIAA-CREF Independent 529 Plan

Figure 35: TIAA-CREF Independent 529 Plan, 2005

Ohio CollegeAdvantage 529 Savings Plan

Figure 36: Ohio CollegeAdvantage 529 Savings Plan, 2005

Fidelity Advisor 529 Plan

Figure 37: Fidelity Advisor 529 Plan, 2005



The Consumer

Introduction

Future and/or current college-bound household residents

Figure 38: Future and/or current college-bound residents, by gender of the respondent, October 2005

Planned methods for paying for college/university expenses

Figure 39: Planned methods for paying for college/university expenses, by gender, October 2005

Figure 40: Planned methods for paying for college/university expenses, by presence of children under age 18 in the household, October 2005

Figure 41: Planned methods for paying for college/university expenses, by marital status, October 2005

Types of loans planned to pay for college/university expenses

Figure 42: Types of loans planned to pay for college/university expenses, by gender, October 2005

Savings programs held to pay for college/university expenses

Figure 43: Ownership of products used for Higher Education expenses, by gender, October 2005

Obtaining college savings program information

Figure 44: Source of information about college/university savings programs, by gender, October 2005

Types of college savings plans owned

Figure 45: Ownership of college savings products, by age, spring 2005

Figure 46: Ownership of college savings products, by household income, spring 2005

Figure 47: Ownership of college savings products, by level of educational attainment, spring 2005

Figure 48: Ownership of college savings products, by total current assets in the account, spring 2005

Summary



Future and Forecast

Educational Loans

Educational Savings

Market forecast

Methodology

Education Loans

Figure 49: Total assets of U.S. educational loans, academic years 2004/05 through 2008/09

529 plans

Figure 50: Forecast of total 529 plan assets, at current and constant prices, 2004-09



Appendix: Trade Associations



Appendix: What is Mintel?

Mintel Group

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