Industry Research Reports and Market Analysis at MindBranch.com
  

Online Audio - US

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: December 2006
Product Code: R560-2428
Description

This report covers sales of digital music downloads (files) and subscriptions to digital music libraries sold on the Internet. The online digital music market has increased twenty-fold in three years to an estimated $1.1 billion in 2006. While the dominance of iTunes has been critical to this growth, a number of factors, including rival digital file formats and several new entrants, may be conspiring to topple Apple from its throne. Continued growth as a whole is threatened by new technologies, which allow consumers to access music files for free.

Mintel provides an overview of the activities of major players in this rapidly changing space and discusses which actions may have far-reaching strategic significance in the years to come. A look at the various technology platforms being pushed by each vendor reveals the efforts to break iTunes’ market share.

The online digital music market is heavily dependent on changes in technology, which continue to evolve. This report explores consumer attitudes toward music downloading (both free and paid) and quantifies usage for downloading, streaming content, podcasts, and cell-phone downloads, among other digital distribution services. The impact of age, household income, and race/ethnicity on usage are examined, identifying which demographics may need increased targeting. Mintel’s proprietary survey also examines the viability of streaming media, podcasts, and music and comedy downloads as an advertising medium, with attention paid to who is using these services and is interested in listening to ads in exchange for free content.

Table of Contents


Scopes and Themes

What you need to know

Definition

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms


Executive Summary

Key points

Explosive growth since launch of iTunes leads to $1.1 billion sales in 2006

Minority of respondents use Internet audio

iTunes undisputed market leader with 68% of the total market

Subscription services overpriced for most downloaders

Consumers continue to be drawn by free downloads

Teens, kids, young adults, Asians lead

Reaching out to blacks and women

Competition from MP3-phones

Ad-based revenue and universal format sales being tested

Listeners open-minded about ads

Market limitations

Music, PC playback most common usages for Internet audio


Market Drivers


Convenience of online and single-track sales create value

Increasing broadband penetration

Figure 1: U.S. broadband household projections, 2000-11

Increasing comfort with Internet shopping

Online music and portable MP3 players drive each other forward

Figure 2: Manufacturer sales of MP3 players and online digital music sales, 2001-06

Figure 3: Graph: Indexed manufacturer sales of MP3 players and online digital music sales, 2001-06

Competition from free legal and illegal downloads

Extent of piracy

Efforts to eliminate piracy

Piracy continues unabated

Advertising could monetize more of the market

MP3-capable handsets compete for sales

Increased adoption to continue outpacing demographic growth

Figure 4: Graph: Purchase of CDs and downloaded music, by age, May 2005-June 2006

Figure 5: Graph: Downloads, CD purchases, and broadband access, by household income,


Market Size and Trends

Figure 6: Total U.S. online retail sales of digital music, at current and constant prices, 2003-06


Market Segmentation

Introduction

Figure 7: Online retail sales of digital music, segmented by service type, 2004 and 2006

Figure 8: Graph: Online retail sales of digital music, segmented by service type, 2006

Figure 9: Graph: Indexed U.S. online retail sales of digital music, segmented by service type, 2003-06

Download services

Figure 10: Online retail sales of digital music downloads, at current and constant prices, 2003-06

Subscription services

Figure 11: Online retail sales of digital music subscriptions, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Retail Distribution

Introduction

Figure 12: U.S. online retail sales of music, by vendor, 2004 and 2006

Company profiles

Figure 13: Timetable of entrants into the online music market, 2003-06

iTunes (Apple)

Rhapsody (RealNetworks)

Napster (Roxio)

eMusic

Wal-Mart

Yahoo! Music Unlimited

Connect (Sony)

Recently launched services (2006)

AOL MusicNow

Urge (Viacom)

Zune (Microsoft)


Advertising and Promotion

Introduction

iTunes

Rhapsody

Napster

Zune

Yahoo! Music Unlimited


The Consumer

Introduction

Summary

Downloads and Internet radio

Figure 14: Usage of music downloads and internet radio, by gender, May 2005-June 2006

Figure 15: Usage of music downloads and internet radio, by age, May 2005-June 2006

Figure 16: Usage of music downloads and internet radio, by household income, May 2005-June 2006

Use of digital music services

Figure 17: Usage of online music services, by age, October 2006

Figure 18: Graph: Usage of online music services, by age, October 2006

Figure 19: Usage of online music services, by household income, October 2006

Figure 20: Usage of online music services, by presence of children in the household, October 2006

Reasons for not using digital music

Figure 21: Reasons for not using digital music, by gender, October 2006

Figure 22: Reasons for not using digital music, by age, October 2006

Types of content listened to

Figure 23: Types of content listened to, by gender, October 2006

Figure 24: Types of content listened to, by age, October 2006

Attitudes toward online music

Figure 25: Attitudes toward online music, by gender, October 2006

Figure 26: Attitudes toward online music, by age, October 2006

Figure 27: Attitudes toward online music, by household income, October 2006

How digital music is played

Figure 28: How digital music is played, by gender, October 2006

Figure 29: How digital music is played, by age, October 2006

Figure 30: How digital music is played, by presence of children in the household, October 2006

Rates of usage

Figure 31: Rates of digital music usage, by gender, October 2006

Figure 32: Rates of digital music usage, by age, October 2006

Figure 33: Rates of digital music usage, by household income, October 2006


Race/ethnicity

Figure 34: Usage of music downloads and internet radio, by race/ethnicity, May 2005-June 2006

Figure 35: Usage of online music services, by race/ethnicity, October 2006

Figure 36: Reasons for not using digital music, by race/ethnicity, October 2006

Figure 37: Attitudes toward online music, by race/ethnicity, October 2006

Figure 38: How digital music is played, by race/ethnicity, October 2006


Teens

Figure 39: Usage of music downloads and internet radio, by race/ethnicity, May 2005-June 2006

Figure 40: Teen usage of online music services, by age, October 2006

Figure 41: Teen usage of online music services, by gender, October 2006

Figure 42: Types of content listened to by teens, by age, October 2006

Figure 43: Teen attitudes toward online music, by age, October 2006

Figure 44: How digital music is played by teens, October 2006

Figure 45: Rates of digital music usage, median for teens compared to adults, October 2006


Kids

Figure 46: Usage of music downloads and internet radio by kids, May 2005-June 2006


Future and Forecast


Future trends

Ad-based revenue

Impact of MP3 cell phones

Purchasing via high-definition and satellite radio

Stopping piracy

Pirates acquire new techniques

The battle against iTunes

Direct-to-consumer music sales

Penetration rates to continue outpacing demographic growth

Demographics to watch

Kiosks to bridge the digital divide

Capitalizing on women


Market forecast

Online digital music

Figure 47: Forecast of total U.S. online retail sales of digital music, at current and constant prices, 2006-11

Online digital music downloads

Figure 48: Forecast of U.S. online retail sales of digital music downloads, at current and constant prices, 2006-11

Online digital music subscriptions

Figure 49: Forecast of U.S. online retail sales of digital music subscriptions, at current and constant prices, 2006-11

Forecast factors


Appendix: Trade Associations
Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



MindBranch has been the leading provider of industry and investment research from more than 550 independent research firms since 1992. With over 90,000 market research reports, MindBranch is your trusted source of competitive business intelligence.