Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: May 2008
Product Code: R560-3276Description It has been predicted for some time now that the equity release market is set for strong growth, with a rapidly ageing but asset-rich population facing the realities of inadequate pension provision in retirement. Up until 2007, while there has been steady growth, a major boom in growth has yet to occur due to a number of factors such as negative media coverage, lack of regulation and limited access to advice, which have held the market back from reaching its full potential. Over the past year, however, with the industry achieving full FSA regulation and significantly raising standards for advice, it appears that a foundation has finally been set for the market to achieve the much-hoped-for growth.
In the short term, however, the equity release market still faces a number of issues before it can really take off. For example, full regulation and stricter standards for advice have increased the cost of compliance and are stoking fears of a shortage of qualified advisers, while unregulated copycat products have put a blemish on the market by being unfairly associated with equity release. Furthermore, consumer research has revealed that a large proportion of the population are still unlikely to ever consider equity release. On a positive note there is already evidence that industry stakeholders are already taking steps to address these and other issues.
This report examines the latest developments in the equity release industry, ranging from demographic and economic trends to the potential impact of increased regulation and competing alternatives. The Market Size section details changes and potential for growth in each segment of the equity release market, while the report also identifies the key players and their performance within the marketplace. Finally, consumer research highlights trends in home ownership and attitudes and behaviour towards the concept of equity release.
Key themes of the report:
- The recent decline in housing prices is causing a decline in homeowner confidence regarding the future build-up of equity in their property.
- The credit crunch is further delaying the entrance of big-name lenders into the market as their focus has shifted to supporting more traditional mortgage products.
- Full regulation of equity release products is a welcome development but the time and cost of compliance are causing concern about the availability of qualified advisers.
- Recent negative press associated with the previous generation of faulty equity release products as well as unregulated copycat sale-and-lease-back schemes have unfairly given modern equity release products a bad image.
- Consumer research has indicated that more than half of homeowners would ever consider equity release while only one in six think the concept is a good idea.
- The impact that equity release has on inheritance and in some circumstances entitlement to state benefits may make alternatives to equity release such as downsizing more attractive for some homeowners.
Table of Contents - ISSUES IN THE MARKET
- Key issues
- Market background and definitions
- Lifetime mortgages
- Home reversion
- Regulation
- SHIP
- Taxation
- Potential Impact on state benefits
- Effect on inheritance
- Abbreviations
- MARKET IN BRIEF
- Average value of loans in decline as the number of new sales rises
- Figure 1: Total volume of equity release sales and average value of loan by SHIP members, 1997-2007
- Lifetime mortgages responsible for 93% of new equity release sales
- Rapidly ageing population expands target market
- Longer retirements but less money to fund it
- Pension provision may not be there but property wealth likely is
- Equity release market now fully regulated
- Over 20% of mortgage industry adspend was on equity release in 2007
- Trends in distribution
- Nearly half of homeowners say they would never consider equity release
- Providing an income in retirement the top reason for releasing equity
- More than a third say they had or would seek the help of an adviser
- INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- Key Points Summary
- Steps being taken to ensure confidence
- Equity release market now fully regulated
- The important role of SHIP
- SHIP’s ‘no negative equity’ guarantee (NNEG)
- SHIP raising standards for advice
- Partnering with independent organisations
- Big high street brands still needed to boost credibility
- Government could be holding equity release back too
- Past image problems continue to haunt the market
- Negative press on sale-and-rent-back schemes is bad for business
- The FSA dishes out its first fine
- Is regulation going to scare off new firms and advisers?
- Cost and hassle of compliance
- Regulations may stoke fear of mis-selling accusations
- Potential of legal action from complicating the family inheritance
- Efforts to support intermediaries
- Concern over homeowners using equity release too early
- Equity release and IHT
- BROADER MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- Key Points Summary
- Rapidly ageing population expands target market
- Figure 2: UK population, by age band, 2008-28 (five-year intervals)
- Men leading long-term growth among over-65s
- Time spent in retirement will continue to increase
- Figure 3: Life-expectancy projections for people aged 65, by gender, 1987-2052
- Longer retirements but less money to fund it
- Figure 4: Average gross weekly income of pensioner units*, by age, 2005/06
- More people working past retirement age
- Figure 5: Percentage change in economic activity, by gender and age, 2000-06
- Pension provision may not be there, but property wealth likely is
- Figure 6: Annual house price inflation in the UK, 1995-2007
- Favourable owner-occupation rates among the elderly
-
but the decline in housing prices will have an impact
- The cost of protection from going into negative equity
- Regional house price variation and its impact on equity release
- Figure 7: Mix-adjusted house prices, by region, 2007
- An Irish example?
- The base rate and the market for equity release schemes
- Figure 8: Changes in the bank base interest rate, 1998-2008
- Impact of the credit crunch
- Retirees will be more comfortable with debt
- Government attempts at damage control still not enough for many
- COMPETITIVE CONTEXT
- Key Points Summary
- Equity release alternatives
- Figure 9: Alternative sources of retirement income
- Downsizing
- Assistance from family and friends
- Savings and investment products
- Figure 10: Ownership of savings and investment products*, November 2007
- Safe haven savings products
- Equity-based investments
- Pension provision
- Property investing
- Other types of equity release
- Figure 11: Value of HEW and Halifax house price percentage change year on year, 2000-07
- STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES IN THE MARKET
- Figure 12: Equity release strengths and weaknesses, May 2008
- Market strengths
- Rapidly ageing population and the decline in pension provision
- Rise in house prices over the past decade
- Equity release market now fully regulated
- Changing attitudes towards debt in retirement
- Market weaknesses
- Recent decline in housing prices
- Credit crunch preventing more big players from entering the market
- Recent bad press hurts confidence in the market
- Potential shortage in the number of qualified advisers
- TRADE PERSPECTIVE
- Market development
- How to improve the quality of advice?
- Regulation
- Distribution
- Equity release outlook for 2008 and beyond
- Will the credit crunch spread to equity release?
- MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST
- Key Points Summary
- Value of equity release sales creeps to a new high in 2007
- Figure 13: Total value of new equity release sales by SHIP members, 1991-2007
- Average value of loans in decline as the number of new sales rises
- Figure 14: Total volume of equity release sales and average value of loan by SHIP members, 1997-2007
- FORECAST
- Figure 15: Forecast of total value of equity release sales by SHIP members, by product type, 2003-13
- Factors used in the forecast
- MARKET SEGMENTATION
- Key Points Summary
- Lifetime mortgages responsible for 93% of new equity release sales
- Figure 16: Proportion of new equity release value sales by SHIP members, by type of equity release scheme, 1997-2007
- New sales of lifetime mortgages reach £1.1 billion in 2007
- Figure 17: Total new volume and value sales and average loan amount of lifetime mortgages by SHIP members, 1997-2007
- Demand for flexible drawdown schemes driving down average loan value
- Figure 18: Number of drawdown mortgage plans sold by SHIP members, quarterly Q4 2005-Q4 2007
- Home reversion sales have risen since 2005
- Figure 19: Total new volume and value sales and average loan amount of home reversions by SHIP members, 1997-2007
- Prospects looking good
- MARKET SHARE
- Key Points Summary
- Competition is heating up as smaller players experience strong growth
- Figure 20: Estimated equity release market share* 2007
- Fallout from Northern Rock still unclear
- COMPANIES AND PRODUCTS
- Key Points Summary
- Big-name players slow to enter the market
- Northern Rock’s staying in the game - in its own way
- Partnerships are likely to become increasingly commonplace
- Some providers are increasing Loan-to-Values (LTV)
- NU to provide its own alternative to equity release
- Stonehaven and Pru offer innovative safeguards and increased flexibility
- Recent efforts to increase support for advisers
- Via online tools
-
and face to face
- SHIP MEMBER COMPANY PROFILES
- Bradford & Bingley
- Bridgewater Equity Release Limited
- Bristol & West Mortgages
- Coventry Building Society
- Hodge Equity Release
- Home & Capital Trust Limited
- In Retirement Services
- Just Retirement Limited
- LV=
- more 2 life
- Mortgage Express
- National Counties Building Society
- New Life Mortgages Limited
- Northern Rock plc
- Norwich Union Equity Release Limited
- Partnership Home Loans
- Prudential
- Retirement Plus Ltd
- Standard Life Bank
- Stonehaven
- Stroud & Swindon Building Society
- BRAND COMMUNICATION AND PROMOTION
- Key Points Summary
- Over 20% of mortgage industry adspend was on equity release in 2007
- Figure 21: Advertising expenditure on mortgage products, by type of product, 2003-07
- Norwich Union continues to spend the most on advertising
- Figure 22: Top ten equity release advertisiers, 2003-07
- Direct mail still most common form of advertising media used
- Figure 23: Percentage of advertising expenditure, by media type, 2007
- But is direct mail really effective?
- CHANNELS TO MARKET
- Key Points Summary
- Close to 80% of sales generated through intermediaries in 2007
- Figure 24: Value sales of equity release products from SHIP members, by distribution channel, 2003-07
- Volume sales via intermediaries also leap ahead
- Figure 25: Volume sales of equity release products from SHIP members, by distribution channel, 2003-07
- More providers have invested in direct distribution
- Figure 26: Distribution channels of SHIP members who provide equity release products, 2008
- Rising standards for advice
-
could benefit direct sales in near term
-
but the importance of unbiased advice will benefit IFAs in the long term
- Intermediaries are getting more support
- THE CONSUMER: HOME OWNERSHIP
- Key Points Summary
- One in four own their home outright
- Figure 27: Home ownership, February 2008
- With age comes equity build-up
- Figure 28: Home ownership, by gender, age, marital status and lifestage, February 2008
- Many of the less affluent may be rich in equity
- Figure 29: Home ownership, by socio-economic group, age/socio-economic groups, working status, household income and ACORN group, February 2008
- Regional variations in home ownership
- Figure 30: Home ownership, by TV region and supermarket usage, February 2008
- Media usage and home ownership
- Figure 31: Home ownership, by newspaper readership, technology users and Internet usage, February 2008
- THE CONSUMER: ADVICE, AND SPENDING PATTERNS
- Key Points Summary
- Providing an income in retirement the top reason for releasing equity
- Figure 32: Reasons for releasing equity, February 2008
- Helping the family out
- Figure 33: Reasons for releasing equity, by home ownership, February 2008
- Interest in maintaining lifestyle increases as people approach retirement
- Lifestyle comes to the fore
- Over-65s would release equity to pay for residential or hospital care
- ABC1s want to help younger family members financially
- ABC1s show interest in using equity release for hospital care
- Cramped Londoners uninterested in making home improvements
- Anglia and Midlands homeowners more likely to use money for hospital care
- Media and uses for equity release
- Broadsheet readers most aware of how they would use equity release
- More than a third say they had or would seek the help of an adviser
- Figure 34: Agreement with statements about arranging equity release, February 2008
- Homeowners closer to retirement more likely to seek advice
- Figure 35: Agreement with statements about arranging equity release, by gender, age, marital status and lifestage, February 2008
- ABC1s most likely to seek specialist advice
- Figure 36: Agreement with statements about arranging equity release, by socio-economic group, age/socioeconomic group, working status, gross household income and ACORN group, February 2008
- Regional variations in going about arranging equity release
- Figure 37: Agreement with statements about arranging equity release, by TV region and supermarket usage, February 2008
- Media usage and arranging equity release
- Figure 38: Agreement with statements about arranging equity release, by newspaper readership, technology usage and Internet usage, February 2008
- APPENDIX - ADVICE, AND SPENDING PATTERNS BY DEMOGRAPHICS
- Figure 39: Most popular reasons for releasing equity, by gender, age, marital status and lifestage, February 2008
- Figure 40: Less popular reasons for releasing equity, by gender, age, marital status and lifestage, February 2008
- Figure 41: Most popular reasons for releasing equity, by socio-economic group, age/socio-economic group, working status, gross annual household income and ACORN group, February 2008
- Figure 42: Less popular reasons for releasing equity, by socio-economic group, age/socio-economic group, working status, gross annual household income and ACORN group, February 2008
- Figure 43: Most popular reasons for releasing equity, by TV region and supermarket usage, February 2008
- Figure 44: Less popular reasons for releasing equity, by TV region and supermarket usage, February 2008
- Figure 45: Most popular reasons for releasing equity, by daily newsapaper readership, technology usage and Internet usage, February 2008
- Figure 46: Less popular reasons for releasing equity, by daily newsapaper readership, technology usage and Internet usage, February 2008
- APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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