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Motor Insurance - UK

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: May 2008
Product Code: R560-3277
Description
The private motor insurance market continues to suffer an underwriting loss, due to rising claims costs and intense competition placing a downward pressure on premiums. Speculation that the sector would witness significant premium hikes in 2007 failed to materialise, although premiums have risen steadily over the last year. However, these increases have been insufficient to help the industry achieve an underwriting profit, in the face of growing claims inflation.

Over recent years, the sector has seen a dramatic shift in distribution away from intermediated channels towards direct insurer sales. At the same time, online channels have grown in importance and popularity, with around three in ten policies now arranged online. The move online has enabled insurers to reduce costs and thereby provide more competitive policies, however it has also led to higher levels of customer churn and reduced loyalty. Against this intensely competitive backdrop, it continues to be challenging for insurers to pass on significant premium increases and thereby to improve the underwriting performance.

This report examines the key issues facing the motor insurance industry. It considers the current economic climate, and trends in the wider motoring industry. Data provided by the ABI are used to establish the market size and also an evaluation of the claims experience. Analysis of market share and changes in distribution are included, while the report also identifies key trends relating to distribution, brand perception and innovation. Mintel’s consumer research provides an insight into product ownership and purchasing, quotation and switching behaviour, as well as the wider attitudes of car owners.

Main themes of the report:
  • The sector continues to suffer an underwriting loss, due to rising claims and intense competition.
  • Over the last 12 months, premiums have risen gradually; the AA estimates that average quoted premiums have increased by around 6% over this period.
  • There has been a downward trend in claims frequency in recent years, although the overall cost of claims continues to increase, due to substantial increases in personal injury costs.
  • Distribution changes continue to impact the market for motor insurance, with intermediated sales suffering to the benefit of direct providers.
  • An increase in online sales and the growing importance of price comparison sites maintain the pressure on providers to keep premiums low.
  • The shift towards direct sales has seen a substantial increase in adspend as providers seek to compete in a price-led market.
Table of Contents
ISSUES IN THE MARKET

Key issues in the market

Definitions

Abbreviations

MARKET IN BRIEF

Underwriting deficit continues to plague industry

Figure 1: Illustration of NWP, outgoing payments and underwriting result for the domestic private motor insurance market, 1994-2007

Claims costs up by a third since 2000

Figure 2: Value of claims in the domestic motor insurance sector, 1999-2006

Underlying market factors drive demand…

… however, economic uncertainty creates difficult conditions

RBS Insurance tops market share

Figure 3: Market share for personal motor insurance, based on NWP, 2006

Distribution changes continue to shape market landscape

More than 23 million adults have comprehensive policy

Figure 4: Estimate of the number of live motor insurance policies, 2008

Switching activity continues to increase

Figure 5: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, February 2008

INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

Over 31 million cars in use

Figure 6: UK car parc, 2000-13

Private car registrations have fallen

Figure 7: Trends in private, business and fleet new car registrations, 2001-07

Around 7.5 million used cars sold each year

Figure 8: Sales of used cars, 2002-06

More than 33 million driving licence holders

Figure 9: Full GB driving licence holders, by gender 1975-2006

Steady growth in multi-car ownership

Figure 10: Household ownership of cars, 1998-2007

Electronic motor certificates introduced

ABI demand action on third party costs

Greater emphasis placed on tackling fraud

Figure 11: Percentage of personal motor claims repudiated due to detected fraud, 2004-06

Insurers clamp down on fronting

BROADER MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

Consumer expenditure expected to slow

Figure 12: Trends in PDI, consumer expenditure and savings, 2000-13

Saving rather than spending to become a priority

Figure 13: Intentions to spend and save in the next 12 months, January 2001-December 2007

Bank rate cuts may increase appeal of car finance

Changing population profile will impact demand for insurance

Figure 14: UK adult population trends, 1993-2013

Internet penetration has reached 64%

Figure 15: British Internet penetration, at home/work/place of study or elsewhere, 2002-08

Rising costs of motoring

Many policies are not car friendly

COMPETITIVE CONTEXT

Key points

Legal obligation - so no competition

Battle waged against uninsured drivers

Figure 16: MIB claims, 2005-07

STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES IN THE MARKET

Figure 17: Strengths and weaknesses in the motor insurance market, 2008

Strengths of the motor insurance market

Weaknesses of the motor insurance market

TRADE PERSPECTIVE

Participating companies

Premium hikes fail to materialise

Underwriting losses to continue in the short-term

The shift online

Aggregators are here to stay but fewer new entrants expected

Industry views vary on extent of innovation

Future challenges and developments

MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

Key points

Private motor insurance continues to suffer underwriting deficit

Figure 18: Illustration of NWP and outgoing payments and underwriting result for the domestic private motor insurance market, 1994-2007

Premiums are rising, but so are outgoings

Figure 19: UK motor insurance revenue account for domestic market, 1994-2007

Premiums rose by almost 6% in 2007…

Figure 20: AA British Insurance Premium Index, Motor risks, July 1994-April 2008

…but rates are falling in real terms

Figure 21: Domestic motor insurance exposure, GWP and average premium rates, at current amd constant prices, 2000-07

Number of policies in force approaches around 27 million

Figure 22: Estimate of the number of live private motor insurance policies, 2008

Almost nine in ten policyholders has comprehensive cover

Figure 23: Proportion of cars with comprehensive and non-comprehensive cover, 1998-2007

Forecast

Figure 24: Forecast of private motor insurance market, 2003-13

Figure 25: Forecast of UK motor insurance revenue account for domestic market, 2003-13

Factors used in the forecast

CLAIMS EXPERIENCE

Key points

Claims frequency on downward trend…

Figure 26: Total number of private motor insurance claims and claims frequency, 1996-2007

…but claims costs have risen by 36% since 1999

Figure 27: Value of claims in the domestic motor insurance sector, 1999-2006

Theft claims fall, but average claim rises

Figure 28: Private car theft claims, by volume, cost and average claim, 1996-2007

Personal injury claims have rocketed

Figure 29: Number and average cost of bodily injury claims, 2000-06

Claims service is a key retention issue

Bilateral agreements aim to lower costs

MARKET SHARE

Key points

Top five insurers account for almost 70% of market

Figure 30: Market share for personal motor insurance, based on NWP, 2006

RBS Insurance dominates motor insurance market

Figure 31: NWP for top 15 insurers for personal motor insurance, 2006

COMPANIES AND PRODUCTS

Market overview

Fluctuations in number of motor insurers

Figure 32: Number of ABI members writing motor business, 1996-2006

Developments in aggregator market

INSURER PROFILES

RBS Insurance

Aviva

Royal & SunAlliance (RSA)

Zurich

Fortis

BRAND COMMUNICATION AND PROMOTION

Key points

Motor insurance tops financial adspend

Figure 33: Annual advertising expenditure on general insurance products, 2003-08

Adspend on motor insurance products tops £250 million per year

Figure 34: Annual expenditure on motor insurance products, 2003-08

TV dominates motor insurance adspend

Figure 35: Motor insurance advertising expenditure, by media type, 2008

Direct line and Confused.com top adspend in 2007/08

Figure 36: Top motor insurance advertisers, 2003-08

CHANNELS TO MARKET

Key points

The direct revolution continues…

Figure 37: Motor insurance distribution trends, 1999-2006

…although intermediaries are taking battle online

More than half of all policyholders go direct

Figure 38: Distribution channel used to purchase motor insurance, February 2008

Telephone remains preferred arrangement method…

Figure 39: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, 2007

…but aggregator sites are drawing people online

FSA turns attention to aggregators

THE CONSUMER - PRODUCT OWNERSHIP

Key points

More than three-fifths have motor insurance cover

Figure 40: Ownership of motor insurance, February 2008

Comprehensive cover has increased in popularity

Figure 41: Trends in motor insurance ownership, 2004-08

Over-35s more likely to have comprehensive cover

Figure 42: Motor insurance ownserhip by gender, age, lifestage and marital status, February 2008

Three-fifths of ABs have comprehensive cover

Figure 43: Motor insurance ownership by socio-economic group, gross annual household income, household tenure and working status, February 2008

Internet users more likely opt for full cover

Figure 44: Motor insurance ownership, by TV region, technology users, Internet usage, newspaper readership and supermarket used, February 2008

THE CONSUMER - PURCHASING CAR INSURANCE

Key points

More than half of policyholders go direct to insurer

Figure 45: Distribution channel used to purchase last motor insurance policy, February 2008

Influence of direct insurers grows, at the expense of brokers

Figure 46: Distribution channel used to purchase motor insurance, 2001-08

Women more likely to use a price comparison site

Figure 47: Distribution channel used to purchase most recent motor insurance policy, by gender, age, lifestage and marital status, February 2008

C1s are more likely to use brokers

Figure 48: Distribution channel used to purchase most recent motor insurance policy, by socio-economic group, gross annual household income, household tenure and working status, February 2008

Price comparison sites attract heavy Internet users

Figure 49: Distribution channel used to purchase most recent motor insurance policy, by TV region, technology users, Internet usage, newspaper readership and supermarket used, February 2008

More than half use the telephone to arrange cover

Figure 50: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, February 2008

The rise of the Internet is detrimental to other channels

Figure 51: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, 2001-08

Age is a major influence in the channel used

Figure 52: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, by gender, age, lifestage and marital status, February 2008

Price comparison sites have wide appeal

Figure 53: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, by socio-economic group, gross annual household income, household tenure and working status, February 2008

Broadsheet readers more likely to turn to the Internet

Figure 54: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, by TV region, technology users, Internet usage, newspaper readership and supermarket used, February 2008

Most direct policies are arranged over the phone

Figure 55: Method used to arrange most recent motor insurance policy, by distribution channel used, February 2008

THE CONSUMER - QUOTATION ACTIVITY

Key points

28% obtained four or more quotes

Figure 56: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained on last renewal, February 2008

Renewal activity is changing

Figure 57: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained on last renewal, 2001-08

A third of over-65s just renew their policy

Figure 58: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained at last renewal, by gender, age, lifestage and marital status, February 2008

Mortgage holders more likely to shop around

Figure 59: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained at last renewal, by socio-economic group, gross annual household income, household tenure and working status, February 2008

Heavy Internet users are more likely to obtain multiple quotes

Figure 60: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained at last renewal, by TV region, technology users, Internet usage, newspaper readership and supermarket used, February 2008

Third party policyholders are more likely to shop around

Figure 61: Number of quotes obtained, by type of cover in place, February 2008

Price comparison sites are behind multiple quotes

Figure 62: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained at last renewal, by distribution channel used for most recent policy, February 2008

Internet enables multiple quotes

Figure 63: Number of motor insurance quotes obtained at last renewal, by method used to purchase most recent policy, February 2008

THE CONSUMER - SWITCHING BEHAVIOUR AND LOYALTY

Key points

Two-fifths have been with their current insurer less than two years

Figure 64: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, February 2008

Loyalty is in decline

Figure 65: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, 2001-08

Loyalty increases with age

Figure 66: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by gender, age, lifestage and marital status, February 2008

DEs more likely to be recent switchers

Figure 67: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by socio-economic group, gross annual household income, household tenure and working status, February 2008

Scottish drivers are the most loyal

Figure 68: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by TV region, technology users, Internet usage, newspaper readership and supermarket used, February 2008

Third party policyholders are frequent switchers

Figure 69: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by type of cover, February 2008

50% of price comparison users have moved insurers in last year

Figure 70: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by distribution channel, February 2008

Telephone customer more likely to be loyal

Figure 71: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by method used to arrange cover, February 2008

Switchers obtain more quotes

Figure 72: Length of time with current motor insurance provider, by number of quotes obtained, February 2008

APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Ordering and More Information
Price and Delivery Options



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