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Annuities - UK

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: July 2009
Product Code: R560-3995
Description

The UK’s ageing population, and the current legislative stipulation that requires most of those with a defined contribution/money purchase pension to purchase an annuity by the age of 75, should ensure that the annuity market continues to experience strong growth over the long term. The introduction of personal accounts in 2012 should also provide a substantial boost to the number of people requiring an annuity in the future. However, recent economic turbulence has created some short-term challenges for the market, including a significant fall in the value of pension funds and an increase in the number of people opting to delay their retirement.

A widespread lack of consumer awareness and understanding of annuity products and retirement income issues continues to undermine the market in terms of the gap in pension savings and may also contribute to negative consumer perceptions of the industry. At the same time, increased longevity is placing downward pressure on annuity rates. However, in recent years the annuity market has witnessed considerable innovation as providers develop more flexible annuity products in response to growing demand from the baby boomer generation and through the introduction of more sophisticated underwriting and pricing strategies. Over the last year, the industry has also taken steps to improve consumer outcomes through the increased promotion of and improvements to the open market option.

This report examines the UK annuities market, including recent developments and innovations in the market and analysis of the key players. Market size and future trends are also considered, while Mintel’s exclusively commissioned trade research explores retirement plans and expectations as well as attitudes towards annuity products.

Key issues in the market

  • Demographic trends will ensure strong growth in demand for retirement income products.
  • However, consumer awareness and understanding of annuities remains low.
  • Increased longevity is leading to downward pressure on annuity rates, although providers are trying to mitigate this risk through more sophisticated pricing strategies.
  • The ‘baby-boomer’ generation are more likely to require a flexible approach to retirement income than is offered by many conventional annuity products.
  • There has been a lot of innovation in recent years, as providers try to make annuity products more attractive and engaging to consumers.
  • The recession has reduced the size of many pension pots and has led some people to defer their retirement. Recent economic policy has also resulted in greater uncertainty in annuity rates.
  • Increased focus on the promotion and operation of the open market option has seen the implementation of an improved transfer system by many annuity providers, which is leading to a better customer experience.
  • Accessing independent advice continues to be a challenge for those with small pension pots. This is leading to the development of new direct sales channels and intermediary referral services.

Table of Contents
Issues in the Market

Key issues in the market

Abbreviations



Market in Brief

Annuity sales continue on an upward trend

Figure 1: New pension annuity business - number of new contracts and the value of new premiums, 2003-09

Conventional annuities are beginning to lose ground

Market drivers should ensure growth over the long term

Economic downturn leads to increased uncertainty in annuity market

Prudential remains the leading annuity provider

Figure 2: Top five providers’ share of the UK annuity market, by new business (APE), 2008

Small pension pots drive product and distribution developments

Figure 3: Proportional distribution of annuities sold, by fund size, 2008

Direct annuity sales set to grow

Figure 4: Proportional distribution of new pension annuity premiums, by sales channel, 2004-08

Key consumer findings

Pension product ownership

Retirement plans and expectations

Figure 5: When planning to retire, June 2009

Attitudes towards annuities

Figure 6: Attitudes towards annuities/retirement income, June 2009



Internal Market Environment

Key points

Individual pension policies increase…

Figure 7: Size of the defined-contribution pension pool, 1997, 2002 and 2007

… but membership of DC schemes is shrinking

A large proportion of consumers remain disengaged with pensions

Figure 8: Attitudes towards pension based-savings, January 2009

Personal accounts will boost the market over the long-term

Uncertainty over annuity rates

Figure 9: Annual annuity rates and gilt rates, January 1990-June 2009

OMO continues to create headlines

Figure 10: External versus internal volume sales of new pension annuities - proportional distribution, 2000-08

Industry take positive action to develop the OMO

Regulatory and legislative developments

RDR

Trivial commutation rules

FSA comparative tables



Broader Market Environment

Key points

Ageing population boosts annuity market

Figure 11: UK adult population data and dependency ratios, 2009-56

Increased life expectancy propels ageing population…

Figure 12: Cohort life expectancy at age 65, by gender, 1985-2055

… and drives innovation in the annuities market

Pensioner income data reveal change in approach to retirement

Figure 13: Breakdown in gross pensioner income (weekly average at constant prices, 2007-08), 1994-95-2007-08

Inflationary trends - good and bad news for annuitants

Figure 14: Average annual changes in the Bank of England base rate, CPI and RPI - UK, 2000-09

Share prices experiences a turbulent year

Figure 15: FTSE 100 and FTSE All Share indices - daily index movements, June 2000-May 2009

Gilt yields fluctuate due to economic policy

Figure 16: Historical monthly medium, long and ultra long gilt yields, January 2000-March 2009



Competitive Context

Key points

Annuities protected by legislation…

… but a significant number have alternative retirement strategies

Figure 17: Overview of potential retirment income solutions, June 2009

Equity release provides a different approach to retirement income…

Figure 18: Total value of equity release sales by SHIP members, 1991-2009

…but is it losing its appeal?



Strengths and Weaknesses in the Market

Figure 19: UK annuity market, SWOT analysis, 2009



Market Size and Forecast

Key points

Annuity sales continue to rise

Figure 20: New pension annuity business - number of new contracts and the value of new premiums, 2003-09

Annuity payments increase as market expands

Figure 21: Pension annuity business in force - payments per annum, 1997-2008

Pension annuity market forecast

Figure 22: New pension annuity business - number of new contracts and the value of new premiums, 2003-14

Almost 40% of annuities sold are for less than £10,000

Figure 23: Proportional distribution of annuities sold, by fund size, 2008

Larger pension funds increase since A-day

Figure 24: Number of annuities sold, by size of fund, 2004-08

Factors used in this forecast



Market Segment Performance

Key points

Annuity market is shifting away from conventional annuities

Figure 25: Breakdown of pension annuitiy sales (volume and value), by main product type, 2008 and 2004

Enhanced annuity sales continue to increase

Figure 26: Number of new enhanced/impaired life annuity contracts and as percentage of total annuties sold, 2003-08

Enhanced annuities - becoming a mainstream product?

Third-way sales reach £1 billion in 2008…

… but market turbulence hits variable annuity sector



Income Drawdown Overview

Key points

Sidestepping the annuity

Income drawdown sales decline in 2008

Figure 27: Income drawdown new business, 2004-08

Average income drawdown fund size falls

Figure 28: Average pension annuity versus income drawdown premiums, 2004-08

IFAs likely to be scrutinised as income drawdown funds decline

Figure 29: New income drawdown premiums, by sales channel, 2004-08



Market Share

Key points

Prudential holds 21% of the UK annuity market

Figure 30: Top five providers’ share of the UK annuity market, by new business (APE), 2008

Some movement within top 15 rankings

Figure 31: Top 15 providers in the UK annuity market, by new business (APE), 2008



Companies and Products

Major players

Prudential

Aviva

AEGON

Legal & General



Brand Communication and Promotion

Key points

Annuity adspend declines by 40% in 2008

Figure 32: Total adspend on annuities and income drawdown, 2006-08

Intermediary annuity adspend grows strongly

Figure 33: Overview of annuity adspend, 2006-08

Enhanced annuity provider tops advertisers in 2008

Figure 34: Top annuity adverstiers, 2006-08

Press advertising dominates

Figure 35: Adspend by media type, 2006-08



Channels to Market

Key points

Direct sales increase…

Figure 36: Proportional distribution of new pension annuity premiums, by sales channel, 2004-08

…although IFAs continue to dominate annuity sales

Figure 37: New pension annuity premiums, by sales channel, 2004-08

IFA community faces challenges



The Consumer - Pension Ownership

Key points

Pension savings gap is clear

Figure 38: Financial products owned, June 2009

Balance shifting in the pension market

Figure 39: Proportion of pension holders with a DB scheme, DC scheme or unknown scheme, June 2009

Major gap in pension savings among the under 35s

Figure 40: Pension product ownership, by age group, June 2009

Pension ownership closely aligned to affluence

Figure 41: Pension product ownership, by socio-economic group and gross annual household income, June 2009

Groups for consumer analysis

Annuity targets more likely to be third age, AB and male

Figure 42: Potential retirement strategies (product owership), by demographics, June 2009

Many annuity targets have additional sources of retirement income

Figure 43: Cross analysis of financial products owned, June 2009



The Consumer - Retirement Plans and Expectations

Key points

Most people expect to retire at state pension age

Figure 44: When planning to retire, June 2009

Retirement reality kicks in after people reach 55

Figure 45: When planning to retire, by demographics June 2009

Some 23% of annuity targets expect to retire before state pension age

Figure 46: When planned to retire, by financial products owned, June 2009

Mixed expectations of standard of living during retirement

Figure 47: Financial expectations at retirement, June 2009

Retirement expectations alter with age

Figure 48: Financial expectations at retirement, by demographics, June 2009

A quarter of annuity targets expect a comfortable retirement

Figure 49: Financial expectations at retirement, by financial products owned. June 2009

Retirement plans and expectations are generally aligned

Figure 50: When planned to retire, by financial expectations at retirement, June 2009



APPENDIX - PRODUCT BACKGROUND AND DEFINITIONS

Common product types

Single or joint life

Cash lump sum

Open market option

Alternatives

Pensions simplification and income drawdown

Alternatively secured pensions

Pension products



APPENDIX - INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT



RETAIL DISTRIBUTION REVIEW

Splitting sales and advice

Figure 51: Proposed regulatory landscape, 2012

From commission to fees

Possible extension to non-investment markets



APPENDIX - THE CONSUMER - PRODUCT OWNERSHIP

Figure 52: Potential retirement strategies (product owership), by demographics, June 2009



APPENDIX - THE CONSUMER - RETIREMENT PLANS AND EXPECTATIONS

Figure 53: When planned to retire, by demographics, June 2009

Figure 54: Financial expectations at retirement, by demographics, June 2009

Figure 55: Financial expectations at retirement (continued), by demographics, June 2009



APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

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