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Home Video Market - US ReportProduct Type: Market Research ReportPublished by: Mintel International Group Ltd. Published: November 2004 Product Code: R560-529 Description Televisions and video playback systems are staples of the American home, vying with telephones, stoves, and refrigerators for 100% penetration in U.S. households. Watching television is the most popular leisure time activity in the U.S. The product is so central to the American household that current Federal Commissions Chairman (FCC) Michael Powell has stated, "There is perhaps nothing so dramatic to change for the family than its suite of television sets." Yet this is the very job of the home video industry, where three-quarters of sales are derived from the sale of television sets.
The market suffers from its enormous success. As an entire industry, home video is beyond mature. Virtually every home desirous of a television or playback device owns one, and most own multiple televisions or playback devices. With an average of 2.5 televisions per household, the television surpasses stoves and refrigerators in its ubiquity. Industry growth is accomplished through upgrades propelled by constant advances in technology and stylization that create new product groups. Presently, the industry has set forth the most desirable product in the history of the industry high-resolution, small-footprint, widescreen flat-panel televisions. Unfortunately, these products retail at a substantially higher price than most consumers are accustomed to paying for television sets. As a result, industry sales during the review period were largely dependent on whether consumers were sufficiently hopeful about the future to place thousands of dollars of home video product on credit. Looking ahead, as prices drop, desirable new product should result in multiple sequential years of industry growth. Because this expected growth is so readily apparent, however, the industry is saturated with new entrants in addition to a large number of market leaders in a fragmented market. Virtually all players are mining the same product categories-flat-panel TVs, and combination DVD-R/DVRs and DVD-recorders/VCRs. Unless manufacturers develop distinct approaches to the market, the future for many will be bright, digital, and flat, but sufficiently competitive to drive profit margins down. Table of Contents INTRODUCTION AND ABBREVIATIONS Introduction Other relevant reports Definition Abbreviations & Terms Abbreviations Terms EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market advances amidst wild annual swings New technology abounds Re-distribution of wealth positive for advanced TV Television continues to pick up leisure hours Television, DTV, continue to pick up segment dollars, but DVD is the most common purchase Sony leads fiercely competitive and homogenous environment Advertising battle over HDTV The Consumer Trending the future MARKET DRIVERS New technology Household income Figure 1: Home video products penetration, by household income, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 2: Real GDP growth (%), Consumer Confidence Index, and home video hardware sales growth, 1999-2004 Graph 1: Consumer Confidence Index and home video hardware sales growth, 1999-2004 Distribution of GDP Figure 3: Number of households per income group, 2000 and 2003 Graph 2: 2003 Percentage of households per income group and change from 2000 Demographic trends Figure 4: American generations, 2000-2010 Figure 5: Median household income, by age of householder, 2003 Graph 3: Median household income, by age of householder, 2003 Generation Factors Echo Boom/Gen Y (Ages 10-27) Gen X (Ages 28-39) Baby Boom (Ages 40-58) Swing (Ages 59-71) WWII (72+) Ethnic populations Figure 6: Incidence of owning at least one early lifecycle product, by race/ethnicity, May 2004 Figure 7: American households, by race/ethnicity, 2000-2010 Competition and aid from other markets Figure 8: Consumer annual hours spent with media, 1999, 2001 & 2003 The role of the movie theater in encouraging upgrades and providing content support MARKET SIZE & TRENDS Figure 9: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of home video products, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004 Graph 4: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of home video products, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004 Figure 10: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of home video hardware, by volume, 1999-2004 The Impact of HTB sales Figure 11: Hypothetical industry gains were dvd players not included in htb, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004 MARKET SEGMENTATION Introduction Figure 12: Sales of home video hardware, segmented by product type, 2002 & 2004 Graph 5: Sales of home video hardware, segmented by product type, 2004 Television unit sales Figure 13: Unit sales of televisions, segmented by product type, 2002 & 2004 Figure 14: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of televisions, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004 Figure 15: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of televisions, by volume, 1999-2004 Video playback Figure 16: Unit sales of home video playback devices, segmented by product type, 2002 & 2004 Figure 17: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of video playback products, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004 Figure 18: Total U.S. manufacturer sales of video playback product, by volume, 1999-2004 SUPPLY STRUCTURE COMPANIES AND BRANDS Attitudes toward brand name products Sub-branding high-end lines Manufacturing partnerships Brand share Figure 19: Brand selection of recent home video equipment, July 2004 COMPANY PROFILES Sony Corporation of America (Sony) Market position Qualia Sony Products Matsushita Electric Corporation (Panasonic, JVC) Market position Selected Panasonic products Toshiba Market position Select product information Thomson Consumer Electronics (RCA) Market position Select product information Mitsubishi Market position Selected product information Hitachi Market position Select product information Philips Market position Select product information Other leading brands ADVERTISING & PROMOTION Overview Sony Panasonic Toshiba RCA JVC Mitsubishi Samsung Hitachi Philips THE CONSUMER Introduction Home video penetration trends Figure 20: Home video products penetration, 2002, 2003, and 2004 Current Ownership Figure 21: Home video products in household, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 22: Home video products penetration, by household income, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 23: Home video products penetration, by household size, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 24: Home video products penetration, by household size and income of <$25K, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 25: Home video products penetration, by presence of children under 18 in household, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 26: Home video products penetration, by gender and household type, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 27: Home video products in household, by age, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 28: Home video products ownership, by race/ethnicity, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 29: Home video products penetration, by video hardware ownership, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 30: Home video hardware penetration, by video ownership/subscription, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 31: Ownership of home video hardware, by videocassete tapes or blank DVDs bought or rented, May 2003-April 2004 Multiple product ownership per household Figure 32: Ownership of home video hardware, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 33: Ownership of home video, by household income, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 34: Ownership of home video, by household size, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 35: Ownership of home video, by children, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 36: Ownership of home video, by income and household size, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 37: Ownership of home video, by gender and household size, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 38: Ownership of home video, by race/ethnicity, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 39: Ownership of home video, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 40: Ownership of home video, by use of video games, satellite, or cable TV, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 41: Ownership of home video, by use of home video software, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 42: Ownership of multiple home video video products, by price of most recent home video purchase, May 2003-April 2004 Purchase of high-end product in most recent purchase Figure 43: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 44: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by household income, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 45: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by presence of children under 18 in household, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 46: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by household size, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 47: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by gender and household size, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 48: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by household age, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 49: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by race/ethnicity, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 50: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by use of television with video games, or cable or satellite content delivery, May 2003-April 2004 Figure 51: amount spent on most recent home video hardware purchases, by videocassete tapes or blank DVDs bought or rented, May 2003-April 2004 Market participation in the last 12 months Figure 52: Home video products purchased in the last 12 months, July 2004 Figure 53: Home video products purchased in the last 12 months, by age, July 2004 Figure 54: Home video products purchased in the last 12 months, by children in household, July 2004 Summary FUTURE & FORECAST FUTURE TRENDS The Future is flat Growth in front projection and micro-display rear projection Plasma and LCD entering into direct competition Cable TV to push DVR DVD-Recorders to replace DVD players HD-DVD to market in 2005 Playback and audio products blur into media center products Demographic shifts Figure 55: U.S. households, by age of head of household, 2005-2010 MARKET FORECAST Home video products Figure 56: Forecast of total U.S. manufacturer sales of home video products, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009 Graph 6: Forecast of total U.S. manufacturer sales of home video products, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009 Televisions Figure 57: Forecast of U.S. manufacturer sales of televisions, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009 Video playback products Figure 58: Forecast of U.S. manufacturer sales of video playback products, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009 Forecast Factors APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND PUBLICATIONS APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Consumer Research Sampling & Weighting Presentation & Definition Further Analysis Trade Research Informal trade research Formal trade research Desk & Internet Research Sources Definitions Forecasts APPENDIX: WHAT IS MINTEL? 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