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On the Viability of an iTunes Movie Download Service - Part II (iTunes to the TV)

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: The Diffusion Group (TDG Research)
Published: August 2006
Product Code: R662-44
Description
Apple's anticipated entry into the online movie space promises to change the entire landscape and serve as a catalyst for broadband-enabled home movie delivery. On the Viability of an iTunes Movie Download Service - Part II(iTunes to the TV), the second installment in TDG's analysis of online movies services, offers a unique combination of primary consumer research and market analysis to evaluate how a living room-based iTunes service would be received among US consumers.

This paper features a discussion and analysis of Apple’s iLife strategy and the role that new hardware platforms and iTunes will play in Apple’s entry into the home living room.
At the moment, cable companies are leading the video-on-demand charge with TV and specialty programming, not first-run post-theatrical content. Alternative movies-on-demand providers such as Movielink, CinemaNow, and MovieBeam have yet to attract a critical mass of users. As long as this continues, the film studios can bank on DVD sales to make up for declining theatrical revenue and profits.

But when a legitimate movies-on-demand business takes hold, the studios will have to rethink their business models. It is within this context that speculation regarding Apple's entry into the online movie space has heated up. Industry insiders predict that within the next few months Apple will announce an iTunes movie download service. Regardless of when the service is launched, and regardless of whether the service is a rental-only or purchase-to-own model, Apple's entry into this space will be viewed by many as a turning point for online movie distribution.

To evaluate how an Apple iTunes movie download service would be received by consumers, TDG commissioned a June 2006 study of more than 2,000 US households regarding their interest in and price sensitivity toward two types of Apple iTunes-branded online movie services - the first involving movie downloads to the PC and the second involving movie downloads to an iTunes-branded set-top box connected directly to the primary home TV. Researchers examined consumer receptivity to both of these scenarios across a variety of price points, identified the core group of consumers most likely to adopt each of these different services, and profiled these segments across a number of characteristics.

The first of this series, On the Viability of an iTunes Movie Service - Consumer & Strategic Perspectives. Part I (iTunes to the PC) contains a detailed examination of consumer receptivity towards an iTunes movie download service for the PC and portable devices. The report also features an overview and analysis of Movielink and CinemaNow, the two leading online movie distribution services, and a discussion regarding why these models have to date failed to capture a critical mass of users.

Please Note: Online delivery of this product is only available as a Global Site License (Access to report for any number of people internal to your organization via your local network or intranet sites, including access to report and supplemental features.)
Table of Contents

1.0 Introduction - Will iTunes Introduce a Movie Download Service?

2.0 Understanding the Landscape

2.1 The Alternative On-Demand Video Universe

2.2 Viewing Movies on the PC - Give Me a Break!

2.3 To STB or Not to STB - That is the Question

3.0 Shifting Online Movie Distribution to the Living Room

3.1 Movielink

3.2 CinemaNow

3.3 MovieBeam

3.3.1 Overview

3.3.2 Brief History

3.3.3 The Money

3.3.4 The Model

3.3.5 The Future

3.3.6 Overcoming Past Stumbling Blocks?

4.0 Apple’s Entry into Movies-on-Demand

4.1 Rationale for Market Entry

4.2 The Living Room Takes Center Stage

4.3 The Evolution of iLife

5.0 Consumer Receptivity to a Set-Top-Based iTune’s Movie Service

5.1 Background & Methodology of June 2006 Consumer Study

5.2 Interest in iTunes Movie Service with an Apple-Branded Set-Top Box/Movie Player

5.2.1 $200 or Less

5.2.2 $200-$300

5.2.3 $300-$400

5.2.4 More than $400

5.2.5 Interest and Power Ranking Comparison

5.3 Profiling iTunes-to-TV Movie Service Intenders

5.3.1 CE Ownership

5.3.1.1 iPods

5.3.1.2 TVs

5.3.1.2.1 TVs Owned

5.3.1.2.2 TV Purchasing Behavior

5.3.1.3 DVD Players

5.3.1.4 Game Consoles

5.3.1.5 DVRs

5.3.1.6 Home Theaters

5.3.1.7 Desktop PCs

5.3.1.8 Laptop PCs

5.3.2 Use of PayTV Services

5.3.3 Use of Value-Added TV Services

5.3.4 DVD Ownership & Purchasing Behavior

5.3.5 DVD Rental Behavior

5.3.5.1 Frequency of Rentals

5.3.5.2 Rental Services Currently Used

5.3.6 Technology Adopter Status

6.0 Demographics of iTunes-to-the-TV Intenders

6.1 Age

6.2 Annual Household Income

6.3 Marital Status

6.4 Education

6.5 Home Ownership Status by Intender Segment

6.6 Number of Children

6.7 Hobbies

7.0 Reflections and Recommendations

Appendix A: 'Apple Profile' of Survey Sample




List of Figures




Figure 1 The Alternative Universe of On-Demand Video

Figure 2 Proclivity to Purchase an Apple Movie Player at Less than $200

Figure 3 Proclivity to Purchase an Apple Movie Player at $200 to $300

Figure 4 Proclivity to Purchase an Apple Movie Player at $300 to $400

Figure 5 Proclivity to Purchase an Apple Movie Player at More than $400

Figure 6 Comparison of Purchase Proclivities of Apple Movie Player Across Price Points

Figure 7 iPod Ownership by Intender Segment

Figure 8 Number of Televisions in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure 9 Number of SD Digital TVs in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure10 Number of HDTVs per Household by Intender Segment

Figure11 Number of Analog TVs in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure12 Date of Most Recent TV Purchase

Figure13 Intended Date of Next TV Purchase

Figure14 Intention to Purchase HDTV in the Next Six Months

Figure15 Number of Stand-Alone DVD Players in the Household by Intender Segment Figure16 Number of Game Consoles in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure17 Number of DVRs in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure 18 Home Theater Ownership by Intender Segment

Figure 19 Number of Desktop PCs in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure 20 Number of Laptop PCs by Intender Segment

Figure 21 Use of PayTV Services

Figure 22 Use of Digital Cable TV Services

Figure 23 Advanced Features/Services Used by Intender Segment

Figure 24 Number of DVDs in the Household by Intender Segment

Figure 25 Number of DVDs Purchased in Last Six Months by Intender Segment

Figure 26 Primary Reason for Purchasing Movies by Intender Segment

Figure 27 Number of Movies Rented Per Month by Intender Segment

Figure 28 Type(s) of Rental Services Used by Intender Segment

Figure 29 Technology Adopter Status by Intender Segment

Figure 30 Age of Respondent by Intender Segment

Figure 31 Annual Household Income by Intender Segment

Figure 32 Marital Status by Intender Segment

Figure 33 Educational Status by Intender Segment

Figure 34 Number of Children Living in the Home by Intender Segment

Figure 35 Hobbies of Respondent by Intender Segment (1)

Figure 36 Hobbies of Respondent by Intender Segment (2)

Figure 37 Evaluating TAM vs. Take-Rate for iTunes-to-TV Movie Download Service

Figure 38 Ownership of iPods Among Broadband Households

Figure 39 Personal Usage of iPods Among Broadband Heads-of-Household (HoH)

Figure 40 Type of iPod Used Among Broadband HoH

Figure 41 Number of People in Broadband Households that Use iTunes

Figure 42 Experience with Downloading Video from iTunes




List of Tables




Table 1 Average Number of Televisions by Intender Segment

Table 2 Average Number of of SD Digital TVs by Intender Segment

Table 3 Average Number of HDTVs by Intender Segment

Table 4 Average Number of Analog TVs by Intender Segment

Table 5 Average Number of DVD Players by Intender Segment

Table 6 Average Number of Game Consoles by Intender Segment

Table 7 Average Number of DVRs by Intender Segment

Table 8 Average Number of Desktop PCs by Intender Segment

Table 9 Average Number of Laptop PCs by Intender Segment

Table 10 Average Number of DVDs Purchased in Last Six Months by Intender Segment

Table 11 Average Number of Movies Rented Per Month by Intender Segment

Table 12 Average Age of Respondent by Intender Segment

Table 13 iPod Ownership and Interest in iTunes-to-TV Movie Service

Table 14 iTunes Video Usage and Interest in iTunes-to-TV Movie Service

Table 15 Number of iTunes Video Users by Household and Interest in iTunes-to-TV Movie Service


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