Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: Dittberner Associates
Published: February 2002
Product Code: R70-18Description REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
- TECHNICAL & ARCHITECTURAL FORECASTS
- PRICING FORECASTS
- MARKET & INTERNET TRAFFIC FORECASTS
- CURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS
- 33 PRODUCT OFFERINGS & TECH. SPEC
- 20 CASE STUDIES
- INSTALLED BASE AND ON ORDER STATUS
- CONCLUSIONS / RECOMMENDATIONS
- Different Classes of Service Providers
- Router & Switch Vendors
BENEFITS FOR TELECOM SERVICE PROVIDERS
- AVOID COSTLY MISTAKES With 20 Case Studies - Learn
- Problems Encountered
- Benefits Achieved
- PLAN MOST EFFECTIVE STRATEGY FOR NETWORK ARCHITECTURE AND CONFIGURATION With Detailed Technology Forecasts - Learn
- Future Evolution & How to Plan for It
- EASILY & QUICKLY EVALUATE & COMPARE ALL WORLD -CLASS VENDORS’ PRODUCTS
- Objective and Unbiased review of Products
- Understand which vendors have success
- Easy to read & compare tech spec for all products
- PREPARE ACCURATE BUDGET PROJECTIONS With Detailed Cost Based Price Forecasts
- EXPLOIT THE EXPERIENCE & EXPERTISE OF OUR 35 YEARS EXPERIENCE AS LEADING CONSULTANTS TO THE INDUSTRY!
- UNDERSTAND & MEET MARKET DEMAND With DAI’s Internet Traffic and Market Forecasts, Know Future Needs of Customers
BENEFITS FOR ROUTER/SWITCH VENDORS
- UNPARALLELED MARKET FORECASTS & ANALYSIS Obtain Objective Forecasts on Pricing, Market and Market Shares, as well as Switch/Router Technology Evolution.
- UNDERSTAND USERS EXPERIENCE Learn How Carriers have Evaluated Their High-Performance Switch/Router Experience To- Date.
- IDENTIFY POTENTIAL PROSPECTS & MARKETS With the Installed Base — Learn Who has Switches/Routers that are Susceptible to Replacement Soon.
- IDENTIFY BUYERS’ MOTIVATIONS
- High- End Routers
- Mid- Range Routers
- Multi- Service WAN Switches
- Learn Who is Really Buying These Products & Why Products and Why.
- UNDERSTAND, EVALUATE & COMPARE COMPETITORS With Easy-to Read and Compare Format DAI Detailed Technical Specifications
TERABIT SERVICES & EVOLUTION
Major Market Trends Affecting Network Architecture
- Internet
- Data Traffic
- New Platforms
Overview Advanced Broadband Services Networks
- Backbone Networks
- Local Loop
- Edge Networks
- ISP Networks
HIGH SPEED BROADBAND ACCESS TECHNOLOGIES
- xDSL
- Cable
- Fixed Wireless
- Satellite
- FTTx
- Gigabit Ethernet Each of the above follows this format:
- Facilities
- How it Works
- Types Available
- Benefits & Advantages
BANDWIDTH HUNGRY APPLICATIONS - DESCRIPTION
- Content Distribution Approaches
- Web & Application Hosting
- Streaming Media
- Storage Area Networking
- VPN
ATM /IP/ MPLS TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
- Traditional Routing and Packet Switching
- Major Market Drivers
- Standards Groups
- Short Term & Long Term Growth Forecast
IP/ ATM BACKBONE ARCHITECTURE TRENDS
- Management Problems with Self Routing
- QoS & Traffic Engineering Needs
- Transport Approaches
- SONET
- ATM
- IP
- Routers vs. Switches in the IP Backbone
- Forecasts of Network Architecture
TRENDS IN HIGH PERFORMANCE PACKET SWITCHING TECHNOLOGY
- ATM Switches
- IP Routers
- Potential Impact of Optical Switching Technology on ATM Switches & Routers
- MPLS, MPOA & Related Schemes
- Status & Trends Gigabit Ethernet Transport & Switching
- Comparing MPLS with MPOA
MARKET FORECAST & CURRENT TERABIT MARKET
INTERNET TRAFFIC FORECAST
- Based on peak hr. avg. bandwidth application for:
- Based on Dr. Robert’s Growth Prediction
- Internet Backbone traffic capacity
- Internet core revenues
- OC- 192 Interfaces shipped
HIGH -END ROUTER FORECAST
- Current market analysis by vendor
- World Market Forecast by units and US$ to 2008
MID-RANGE ROUTER FORECAST
- Current market analysis by vendor
- World Market Forecast by units and US$ to 2008
MULTI-SERVICE WAN SWITCH ROUTER FORECAST
- Current market analysis by vendor
- Market Forecast by units and $dollars to 2008
PRICE FORECAST FOR BACKBONE PACKET SWITCHES & ROUTERS
Cost Based Price Forecasts for:
- Port Modules for AMT Switches & IP Routers
- Common Control Subsystem
- Switches:
- Small ATM Backbone Switch
- Large ATM Backbone Switch
- ATM Edge Switch
Routers:
- Small Backbone router
- Large Backbone Router
- Edge Router
- Typical Switching Network
INSTALLED BASE OF ROUTERS & SWITCHES
Installed base and on order status for
- Every country of the world
- High Performance Routers
- ATM/ IP/ MPLS Switches
Installed base Sorted by:
- Country
- Region
- Operator
- Vendor
TELECOM OPERATOR USER PLANS & EXPERIENCE
20 Case Studies from around the world - Each Includes:
- Company Profile
- Systems & Suppliers Utilized
- Supplier & Product Description
- Network Architecture
- Comparison to Previous Method
- Anticipated Benefits/ Payback Periods
- Implementation Problems Encountered
- Benefits Achieved
- Advice to Others & Lessons Learned
PRODUCT OFFERINGS & TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS FOR ROUTERS & SWITCHES
33 Product Offerings from 24 Vendors - Including
- Company Profile
- Product Overview and Pricing
- System component Description
- Technical Speciation in a common format
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ATM/IP/MPLS SWITCHES & ROUTERS
Easy to Read and Compare Charts of:
- High- End Routers
- Mid- Range Routers
- Multi- Service WAN Switches
CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS
- Global Conclusions
- Technical Summary and Conclusions
- Action Recommendations for:
- Global
- Vendors
- Telecom Service Providers (5 Major Classes)
Table of Contents - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- A. INTRODUCTION TO EDITION 45
- B. ORGANIZATION AND SCOPE OF REPORT
- C. PLANS FOR FUTURE UPDATES IN THE DAI PERSPECTIVE SERIES
- D. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- 1. TERABIT SERVICES & SERVICE EVOLUTION
- A. MAJOR MARKET TRENDS AFFECTING CARRIER NETWORK ARCHITECTURES
- 1) Internet Growth
- 2) Data Traffic Explosion
- 3) Today’s IP Networks
- 4) Introduction of New More Powerful Network Platforms
B. OVERVIEW OF ADVANCED BROADBAND SERVICES NETWORKS
- 1) Backbone Networks
- 2) Edge Networks
- 3) PoPs
- 4) Last Mile (or Local Loop)
- 5) ISP Networks
C. HIGH-SPEED BROADBAND ACCESS TECHNOLOGIES
- 1) xDSL
- 2) Cable
- 3) Advantages and Disadvantages of DSL and Cable Modems
- 4) Fixed Wireless
- 5) Satellite
- 6) FTTx (X being Cabinet, Building, Business, Home or Curb)
- 7) Gigabit Ethernet
D. BANDWIDTH HUNGRY APPLICATIONS
- 1) Content Distribution Approaches
- 2) Streaming Media
- 3) Web Hosting / Application Hosting
- 4) Storage Area Networking
- 5) VPN
E. CONCLUSION
- 2. ADVANCED TERABIT MARKET AND FORECAST
- A. MAJOR MARKET DRIVERS
- 1) Bandwidth Demand
- 2) Bandwidth Growth but No Constraints Seen Through 2010
B. INTERNET TRAFFIC FORECAST
- 1) Internet Traffic Forecast (Based on Peak-Hour Average Bandwidth per Application)
- 2) Internet Traffic Forecast (Based on Average Online Hold-Time Approach)
- 3) Internet Traffic Growth Forecast (Based on Dr. Roberts’ Internet Traffic Growth Prediction)
- 4) Outline of Forecast Results
C. CURRENT (YE2001) CARRIER SWITCH ROUTER MARKET ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
- 1) Sources Used in Our Analysis of Current High-End Router / Switch Markets
- 2) Rationale for Our Current Market Sizing
- 3) High-End Router Carrier Market Analysis (OC-192 and OC-48 Capable)
- 4) Mid-Range Router Carrier Market Analysis and Forecast (OC-12 and Below)
- 5) Multiservice WAN Switch Router Carrier Market Analysis
D. DITTBERNER ASSOCIATES CONSENSUS FORECAST OF INTERNET TRAFFIC GROWTH AND TOTAL CARRIER SWITCH / ROUTER SPENDING
- 1) DAI Consensus Forecast of Worldwide Backbone Capacity in Tbps
- 2) DAI Consensus Forecast of Worldwide Carrier Core Router Market
- 3) DAI Forecast of Worldwide Carrier Mid-Range Router Market
- 4) DAI Consensus Forecast of Worldwide Multiservice WAN Carrier Switch Market
- 3. ATM / IP / MPLS TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
- A. TRADITIONAL ROUTING AND PACKET SWITCHING
- 1) Router Evolution
- 2) Increased Throughput
- 3) The Concept of Virtual Routing
- 4) The Concept of Dynamic Virtual Routing
- 5) Packet Switching
B. MAJOR MARKET DRIVERS
- 1) ATM
- 2) ATM Switching
- 3) Typical ATM Applications
- 4) Benefits of ATM
- 5) ATM Classes of Service
- 6) Voice over ATM
- 7) Video over ATM
- 8) ATM Internetworking
- 9) ATM Market Penetration
- 10) IP
- 11) IP Switching / Routing
- 12) IP over SONET / SDH
- 13) IP over ATM
- 14) IP over SONET / SDH vs. IP over ATM
- 15) The Need for IPv6
- 16) Achieving QoS in IP Networks
- 17) MPLS
- 18) MPLS Functionality
- 19) MPLS Forwarding Process
- 20) MPLS Scalability
- 21) MPLS Traffic Engineering
- 22) Routing vs. MPLS
C. STANDARD GROUPS
- 1) ATM Standard Groups
- 2) IP Standard Groups
- 3) MPLS Standard Groups
D. SHORT-TERM / LONG-TERM GROWTH FORECAST
- 1) The Future of MPLS in Public Networks
- 2) MPLS Short-Term / Long-Term Forecast
- 3) The Future of ATM in Public Networks
- 4) The Future of IP in Public Networks
- 4. IP / ATM BACKBONE — ARCHITECTURE TREND
- A. INTRODUCTION
- 1) Management Problems with Self Routing
B. ISSUES RELEVANT TO IP NETWORKS
- 1) QoS (Quality of Service) and Related Topics
- 2) The Need for Traffic Engineering
- 3) Conclusions Regarding Implementation of CoS / QoS and Traffic Engineering
C. TRANSPORT APPROACHES — SONET AND ATM
- 1) Introduction
- 2) SONET Basics
- 3) SONET Networks
- 4) Transporting ATM over SONET
D. TRANSPORT APPROACHES — IP
- 1) IP over ATM
- 2) Multi-Protocol Label Switching (MPLS)
- 3) IP over Optical Networks and its Likely Evolution
- 4) Trends in Optical Technology and the Architecture of Future Networks
E. ROUTERS VERSUS SWITCHES IN THE IP BACKBONE
- 1) The Issue
- 2) The Respective Merits of Routers and Switches
- 3) Combining Routing and Switching
- 4) Trends in Routing and Switching Hardware
F. FUTURE FORECAST OF NETWORK ARCHITECTURE
- 1) General
- 2) Using Fewer but Larger Switches / Routers and More Direct Routes
- 3) Consolidation of Sub-Networks will Reduce the Number of Hops per Connection
- 4) Switches / Routers Must Handle Multi-Terabit Traffic
- 5) A New Optical Infrastructure will Evolve
- 6) All-Optical Network will Use Rings Rather than Intermeshed Topology
- 7) Circuit Switching in the All-Optical Network — a Basis for Packet Transport?
- 8) Long-Distance Voice Transport will Migrate to Packet
- 9) No Universal Network will Emerge
- 10) Metropolitan Area Networks (MANs) will Develop Independently of the Packet Backbone System
G. CONCLUSIONS
- 5. TRENDS IN HIGH PERFORMANCE PACKET SWITCHING TECHNOLOGY
- A. INTRODUCTION
- B. ATM SWITCHES
- 1) General
- 2) ATM Port Modules
- 3) Port Modules for Non-ATM Services
- 4) Other Design Issues for Port Modules
- 5) Switching Fabrics — General
- 6) Time-Division Switching Fabrics
- 7) ATM Switching Elements of the Space-Division Type
- 8) Constructing a Large ATM Fabric from Multiple Switching Elements
- 9) Which Switch Fabric Types are Actually Used in Commercial Products?
- 10) Buffering Issues
- 11) Common Equipment
- 12) Trends in Basic Technologies for High Performance Packet Switches and Routers
- 13) Redundancy and Other Considerations for Carrier-Class Switches
- 14) Future Trends in Backbone ATM Switches
C. IP ROUTERS
- 1) General Architecture of High Performance Routers
- 2) Router Port Modules
- 3) Router Engine
- 4) The Switching Fabric
- 5) Common Equipment
D. POTENTIAL IMPACT OF OPTICAL SWITCHING TECHNOLOGY ON ATM SWITCHES AND ROUTERS
- 1) Introduction
- 2) Optical Cross-Points for Space-Division Switching
- 3) Optical Time-Division Switching
- 4) Optical Wavelength-Division Switching
- 5) Designing Real Optical Switches from These Components
E. MPLS, MPOA AND RELATED SCHEMES
- 1) General
- 2) Classical IP over ATM
- 3) LAN Emulation (LANE)
- 4) Multi-Protocol Over ATM (MPOA)
- 5) Multiple Protocol Label Switching (MPLS)
F. STATUS AND TRENDS IN GIGABIT ETHERNET TRANSPORT AND SWITCHING
- 1) General
- 2) Virtual LAN Services for Long-Haul LAN Interconnections
- 3) Recent Gigabit Ethernet Transport Trends
- 4) What is the Significance of 10 Gigabit Ethernet?
- 5) Likely Trends in 10 Gigabit Ethernet Switching
G. COMPARING MPLS WITH MPOA
- 1) General
- 2) MPLS Versus MPOA — The Most Important Properties
- 3) The Most Important Advantages and Disadvantages of MPLS
- 4) The Most Important Advantages and Disadvantages of MPOA
H. CONCLUSIONS
- 6. COST-BASED PRICE FORECAST FOR BACKBONE PACKET SWITCHES AND ROUTERS
- A. GENERAL
- B. COST OF PORT MODULES FOR ATM SWITCHES AND IP ROUTERS
- 1) Transmission Interfaces
- 2) Port Modules for ATM Switches
- 3) Cost of a Routing Engine
- 4) Port Modules for Routers
C. COST OF A TYPICAL SWITCHING NETWORK
- D. COST OF A COMMON CONTROL SUBSYSTEM
- E. LIFETIME R&D EXPENDITURES AND THEIR ALLOCATION
- F. ASSUMPTIONS MADE FOR OUR COST MODELS
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