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Competitor Insight #37.2007: Juniper Networks, Inc: New Product Cycles in Ethernet Switching and Core Routing Improve Competitive Position

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: IE Market Research Corp.
Published: July 2007
Product Code: R735-121
Description
This market research report on Juniper Networks provides a comprehensive analysis of its strategies, operational and financial metrics. The report covers the key strategic issues facing the company and provides forecasts on its operations, notably we analyze in-depth the potential of Juniper’s recent innovations in routing and switching technologies to provide significant returns. We devote extensive coverage to Juniper’s financial performance and forecasts, highlighting 1Q07 results.
Table of Contents
Strategic Outlook

Robust market growth expected to propel company figures

New product cycles in Ethernet switching and core routing improve Juniper’s competitive positions vis-à-vis Alcatel and Cisco

Shifts in competitive landscape manageable, but will add pressure to operating expenditures

Recent management changes come at a challenging time for Juniper


Operational Summary & Forecasts

Core routing business strong, but emphasis is now on Edge routing

Growth in the infrastructure segment will be the key driver of topline growth

Infrastructure (routing) market trends favourable to Juniper

Juniper holds fledgling, yet promising, share in network security market


Financial Summary & Forecasts

Execution is key now

Estimates

Valuation

Stock buybacks accelerate post completion of SEC filing

Continued hiring pressures margins to two-year lows

Siemens and Verizon were 28%+ customers

Topline growth can accelerate to 15%-20% over the next two years


Figures:


Table 1: Core routing market size and share trends 1Q06 - 1Q07 (USD millions)

Table 2: Juniper’s new T1600 core router vs. Cisco’s CRS-1

Table 3: Edge IP/MPLS routing market size and share trends 1Q06-1Q07 (USD millions)

Table 4: Long term revenue forecasts FY05 - FY08 (USD millions)

Table 5: Strong growth trends in carrier routing market, especially in edge routing, driven by carrier broadband upgrades 4Q05 - 4Q06 (USD millions)

Table 6: Juniper lost share in core and edge routing in 2006, although we expect new products to reverse that trend over next two years (4Q05 - 4Q06)

Table 7: Juniper network security trends over past three years (USD millions)

Table 8: Top-down analysis indicates annual revenue growth potential of 19% over next two years resulting in 2008 sales of $3.26bn, versus our current forecast of $3.08bn (2003-2008E) (USD millions)

Table A1: Key balance sheet data 2005A - 2009E (USD millions)
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