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Intel Microprocessor Service: Annual Wrap-Up

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: In-Stat
Published: April 2003
Product Code: R97-1273
Description
This report wraps up our coverage of Intel's processors for 2002 and provides a summary and updated information on events in 2002 for the previous five sections of the report. The report summarizes the effect of a sluggish economy on Intel's products and manufacturing capacities. Looking back at 2002 also provides indicators of Intel's strategies for 2003 and beyond.

This report includes an appendix, Backup Data, with the latest data from the MDR model of Intel's computer processor (CPU) shipments. Although we no longer include revenue forecasts for Intel 's microprocessor business, we continue to project ASPs and processor volumes. Updated estimates through 4Q04 are provided for CPU shipments, sorted by processor die and market segments. Estimates for processor ASPs and manufacturing costs are provided through 4Q03, sorted by processor microarchitecture generation and market segment. Data, dating back as far as 1995, is supplied to provide a historical context to Intel's present and future plans. Data is provided on historical pricing on obsolete Intel processors.
Table of Contents

Table
of Contents



  • Executive Summary


  • Methodology


    • Shipment Model


    • Fab Model


    • Manufacturing Capacity and Die Cost


    • Price Estimates


    • Caveats and Uncertainties




  • Introduction


  • Intel’s Processors in 2002


  • Intel Processor Technology



      • Tualatin and Tualatin-256


      • Pentium M (Banias)


      • Banias-lite


      • Dothan, Dothan-lite



    • The Pentium 4 Family


      • Willamette


      • Willamette-128


      • Northwood


      • NorthwoodX, NorthwoodX-lite


      • Prescott, Prescott-lite


      • Tejas


      • Merced


      • McKinley


      • Madison


      • Montecito




    • Technology Trends


      • Packaging




    • Power Dissipation




  • Intel Manufacturing in 2002


  • Intel Desktop Processors in 2002


    • Overview


    • 2002 Roadmap Events


    • Pricing Trends



  • Intel Server Processors
    in 2002



    • Overview


    • 2002 Roadmap
      Events


    • Pricing Trends




  • Intel Mobile Processors
    in 2002



    • Overview


    • Roadmap Events



    • Pricing Trends




  • Intel Value Processors
    in 2002



    • Overview


    • 2002 Roadmap
      Events


    • Pricing Trends




  • Appendix: Backup
    Data



    • Historical
      Processor Pricing



      • Desktop
        CPU


      • Mobile
        CPU


      • Server
        CPU




    • Shipment Data



      • Units




    • Average Price
      and Cost





List
of Tables



  • Table 1. A brief
    summary of current and future Intel processors


  • Table A-1. Intel
    list pricing for desktop Pentium processors, 1993–1998


  • Table A-2. Intel
    list pricing for desktop P6 processors, 1995–mid-1999


  • Table A-3. Intel
    list price for 0.25-micron Pentium III, intro-EOL (end of life)


  • Table A-4. Intel
    list price for 0.25-micron Celeron, 1Q99–EOL (end of life)


  • Table A-5. Intel
    list price for 0.18-micron Pentium III, intro–EOL


  • Table A-6. Intel
    list price for 0.18-micron Celeron, intro–EOL


  • Table A-7. Intel
    list pricing for Mobile Pentium processors, 1995–1Q99


  • Table A-8. Intel
    list prices for Mobile Pentium II, intro-EOL


  • Table A-9. Intel
    list price for 0.18-micron Mobile Pentium III Coppermine, intro–EOL


  • Table A-10. Intel
    list pricing for Pentium Pro server models, 4Q95–4Q98


  • Table A-11. Intel
    list price for Xeon processors, 1Q99 to 1Q03


  • Table A-12. Intel
    list price for Xeon processors, 1Q99–1Q03


  • Table A-13. Intel
    processor shipments by product type, 386 through Pentium, 1Q93–EOL

  • Table A-14. Intel
    processor shipments by product type, P6 family, intro–4Q04


  • Table A-15. Intel
    processor shipments by product type, P7 family and IA-64 family, intro–4Q04


  • Table A-16. Intel
    quarterly shipments by processor family, 1Q95–4Q04


  • Table A-17. Intel
    quarterly shipments by segment, 1Q95–4Q04


  • Table A-18. Intel
    average selling price by processor family, 1Q95–4Q03


  • Table A-19. Intel
    average selling price by segment, 1Q95–4Q03


  • Table A-20. Average
    per-unit manufacturing cost by processor family, 1Q95–4Q03


  • Table A-21. Average
    per-unit manufacturing cost by segment, 1Q95–4Q03



List
of Figures



  • Figure 1. Intel
    prices always trend downward but can plateau for up to a quarter.

    Intel dropped introduction prices from $995 in early 2000 to as low
    as

    $352, before stabilizing at $562 in 2H01


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