Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: In-Stat
Published: March 2006
Product Code: R97-2375Description A funny thing happened on the way to the future of the Connected Digital Home. The storage capacity of re-writeable micro-sized disk drives, Flash memory products, and other portable storage devices is surpassing the storage capacity of next-generation optical discs. The convenience of “luggable media” is such that many of the key usage models being promoted for the Connected Digital Home can be realized earlier using a “sneakernet” approach than can be achieved if the industry has to wait for high-quality in-home networks to become part of the consumer mainstream.
The concept of the Connected Digital Home uses a home server, usually, but not necessarily, a personal computer, to manage and distribute electronic entertainment throughout a residence. Plans call for advanced wired and wireless networks to be installed and proliferate throughout tens of millions of households.
Low-cost portable storage devices can move the content throughout the home via “sneakernet.” It’s possible that consumers may opt in favor of “luggable” media because of its low-cost, its availability, and its convenience.
The worldwide retail value of Luggable Media is forecast to rise from about US$441 million during 2006, up to more than US$25 billion during 2010, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 176.5% between 2006 and 2010.Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- Luggable Media
for Portability, DVDs for Archives
- $25 Billion
at Retail By 2010
- Methodology
- Previous
Reports that Provide Useful Background Information
- Portable Electronic
Entertainment Emerges as the Next Big Thing
- Flash Drives
and Microdisks Will Gradually Rise Up Alongside Optical Media
- Portable
Optical Formats, Like Sonys UMD, Are Emerging
- CDs and
DVDs Will Be Seen as Archiving Products
- Sneakernet
Will Emerge as an Important Stepping Stone to Enable Portable
Electronic Entertainment
- The Age of
Home Theater Sets Portability In Motion
- Large
Screen TVs and Surround Sound Are Proliferating
- Personal
Computers Are Connecting to HDTV Displays
- But a
Parallel Universe Is Developing for Portable Entertainment
- Personal
Computers Are Becoming Home Entertainment Hubs that Can Connect
to Many Things
- The Connected
Digital Home Is Coming
- Intels
Viiv Entertainment PC Architecture
- Apples
iMac Line Morphing onto an Intel Platform
- Apples
iPod Points the Way for Luggable Media In the Future
- Microsoft
MediaCenter Edition Adding Portable Players
- Personal
Computers Can Be Used to Write to Various Media
- Personal
Computers Abilities to Connect to So Many Things Leads to
Portable Devices
- PCs Provide
Multiple Types of In-Home Network Connectivity
- PC
Cluster
- Entertainment
Center Cluster
- Intra-Room
Networks
- Inter-Room
Networks
- Each Network
Has Three Flavors
- Wired
In-Home Networks
- Internet
Protocol (IP) Approaches Favored by the PC Industry
- Non-IP
Approaches Can Also Be Implemented
- Wireless
In-Home Networks
- Sneakernet
In-Home Networks Using Luggable Media
- Sneakernet
Media Can Also Move Outside of the Home!
- High
Definition Video Favors Sneakernet In the Short Run
- Usage Models
for Portable Electronic Entertainment
- Any Content
to Any Place on Any Device at Any Time
- Two-Foot
Viewing Experience
- Two-Foot
Viewing Experience On the Go
- Ten-Foot
Viewing Experience
- Ten-Foot
Viewing Experience On the Go
- Portable
Viewing Experience Is Already On the Go
- Playing Back
Portable Content on a Big-Screen TV Display
- Enter Sneakernetthe
Low-Cost, Convenient Solution
- Luggable
Media Puts the Content In Your Pocket!
- Standardized,
Low-Cost Players Will Make It Happen
- Five Methods
for Content to Get to a Viewing Device
- Live,
Two-Way Video and Voice for Interactive Communications
- Live,
One-Way Video and Audio for Entertainment Distribution
- Multi-Room
Digital Video Recorders (DVRs) as an Example
- Amimons
Wireless High Definition TV Interface (WHDI)
- Intels
Viiv Architecture Supports Live One-Way Services
- Next-Generation
Networks and MIMO Technologies Help
- The Store &
Forward Approaches Do Not Require QoS
- Store &
Forward Video for Initial Storage In a Server
- Store &
Forward Video for Distribution to Viewing Devices
- Archiving Technologies
for Long-Term Storage and Later Retrieval
- What Luggable
Media Means for the Content Industry
- The Consumer
Market Is Fragmenting Down to An Audience of One
- Original
Content Will Be Sold with Optional Upgrades to Pay for Portability
Rights and Managed Copy Privileges
- Luggable
Media Provides Opportunities to Connect with Your Customers Beyond
the Initial Moment of Sale
- An Example
Using HD-DVDs Managed Copy Feature
- The PC Industry
Is Becoming a Force to Be Reckoned With
- If Its
On a PC, Its Coming to a Cell Phone Soon
- Consumer
Electronics Products Will Follow the PC Example
- How Will Luggable
Media Impact Sales of DVDs?
- "Luggable
MediaIt Has To Fit In Your Pocket and Survive to be Played
- Luggable
Media Must Support 2 Gigabytes of Capacity
- Luggable
Media Must Support Video Recording and Playback
- Luggable
Media Must Support DRM and Copy Protection
- CDs and DVDs
Are Not Luggable Media, by Our Definition
- Small Form
Factor Packaged Goods Are Luggable Media
- Small Form
Factor Packaged Goods Covered In Other Reports
- Luggable Media
Used Mainly for Sneakernet
- Luggable
Media is a Subset of Portable Storage Products
- Secure
Disc SD Memory Devices
- SanDisks
Gruvi MicroSD Product Foreshadows Luggable Media by
Providing the Rolling Stones Bigger Bang Album
with Enhancements
- Memory
Stick® Memory Devices
- USB
Flash Drives
- One-Inch
Hard Disk Drives
- Households Likely
to Use Luggable Media
- Households
Likely to Have a MediaCenter Edition PC
- Households
Likely to Have a Personal Video Recorder (PVR)
- Aggregate
Unique Households with an MCE or PVR
- North American
Luggable Media Market by Category
- European Luggable
Media Market by Category
- Asian Luggable
Media Market by Category
- ROW Luggable
Media Market by Category
- Worldwide Luggable
Media Market by Category
- Luggable Media
Market Value by Region for All Categories Combined
- Portomedia Provides
An Example
List
of Tables
- Table 1. Worldwide
Value of Luggable Media Device Shipments (US$ in Millions, Annual Growth
Rate, Compound Annual Growth Rate [CAGR])
- Table 2. Annual
Shipments of MediaCenter Edition (MCE) PCs by Region (Annual Unit Shipments
in Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent Worldwide Total by Region,
CAGR)
- Table 3. Number
of Households Likely To Be Using an MCE PC by Region (Households in
Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total by Region, CAGR).
- Table 4. Annual
Shipments of Personal Video Recorders (PVRs) by Region (Annual Unit
Shipments in Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent Worldwide Total
by Region, CAGR)
- Table 5. Number
of Households Likely To Be Using A PVR by Region (Households in Thousands,
Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total by Region, CAGR)
- Table 6. Aggregate
Number of Unique Households Using An MCE PC or PVR by Region (Unique
Households in Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total by Region,
CAGR)
- Table 7. Annual
Shipments of Luggable Media Devices by Category in North America (Units
in Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 8. Typical
Retail Pricing For Luggable Media Devices by Category in North America
(Typical Retail Price in US Dollars)
- Table 9. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in North America (US$ in
Millions, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 10. Annual
Shipments of Luggable Media Devices by Category in Europe (Units in
Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 11. Typical
Retail Pricing For Luggable Media Devices by Category in Europe (Typical
Retail Price in US Dollars).
- Table 12. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in Europe (US$ in Millions,
Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 13. Annual
Shipments of Luggable Media Devices by Category in Asia (Units in Thousands,
Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 14. Typical
Retail Pricing For Luggable Media Devices by Category in Asia (Typical
Retail Price in US Dollars)
- Table 15. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in Asia (US$ in Millions,
Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 16. Annual
Shipments of Luggable Media Devices by Category in the ROW Countries
(Units in Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 17. Typical
Retail Pricing For Luggable Media Devices by Category in the ROW (Typical
Retail Price in US Dollars)
- Table 18. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in the ROW (US$ in Millions,
Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 19. Annual
Shipments of Luggable Media Devices By Category, Worldwide (Units in
Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 20. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category, Worldwide (US$ in Millions,
Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 21. Annual
Shipments of All Luggable Media Devices By Category by Region (Units
in Thousands, Annual Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
- Table 22. Annual
Value of All Luggable Media Devices by Region (US$ in Millions, Annual
Growth Rate, Percent of Total, CAGR)
List
of Figures
- Figure 1. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in North America (US$ in
Millions)
- Figure 2. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in Europe (US$ in Millions)
- Figure 3. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in Asia (US$ in Millions)
- Figure 4. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category in the ROW (US$ in Millions)
- Figure 5. Annual
Value of Luggable Media Devices by Category, Worldwide (US$ in Millions)
- Figure 6. Annual
Value of All Luggable Media Devices by Region (US$ in Millions)
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