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Flash-Based SSDs in Mobile Computing: Contender or Pretender?

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: In-Stat
Published: June 2006
Product Code: R97-2485
Description
In-Stat examines the storage market in the laptop/notebook computing market. Currently consumers are accustomed to selecting the mobile computer with the largest hard drive for the budgeted money, but given Flash-based SSD’s features, end-users may find cause to survey their actual needs. By “economizing” storage space, rather than going “bulk,” in the not too distant future many users, who do not require copious levels of storage, will find the pricing of SSD in mobile computers just as compelling as its features.

To determine when Flash-based SSD will be a desired technology for mainstream personal mobile computing, we determined the amount of storage a person currently needs and the premium that an individual places on such factors as durability and battery life. To do this, we surveyed our online panel of more than 15,000 U.S. technology users. The panel is comprised of a diverse group of people who represent a wide range of company sizes, industries, and areas of expertise.

We then defined the technology and cost direction of both SSDs and HDDs in portable computing applications. To this end we drew from primary/secondary research and proprietary sources to both clarify and refine our assumptions. Finally, a detailed forecast was calculated by segmenting the market into “storage classes” that were sensitive to the criteria we set based on user defined preferences and characteristics.
Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Introduction

Methodology

Overview of Hard Disk Drives

Hard Disk Drive Components

Disk Platters
Substrate Material/Media

Read/Write Heads

Hard Disk Head Sliders and Arms

Head Actuator-Voice Coil Motor (VCM)

Hard Disk Spindle Motor

Hard Disk Cache

Hard Disk Logic Board

Hard Disk Connectors and Jumpers

Casing

Fixed Costs
Overview of Solid State Drives

Why Use an SSD?

Reliability
Speed

Size and Weight

Power and Heat

Drawbacks of Using an SSD
Current Uses for SSDs

Harsh Environments
Server Acceleration

High-Reliability Storage

Hybrid Drives: A Brief Word

Survey Results

Demographics

Age
Income

Occupation

Organization's Primary Line of Business

Computer Configuration

Computer Form Factor

Type of Operating System Installed on Mobile Computers

Microsoft Operating System on Windows-Based Mobile Computers

Primary Purpose of Mobile Computer

Mobile Computer Purchase Time

Hard Disk Drives on Mobile Computers

Used Space
Free Space

Total Space

Songs Stored in Mobile Computer
Pictures Stored in Mobile Computer

Video Minutes Stored on Computer

Solid State Drives
Willingness to Pay Extra for Computers with SSD Storage

Added Value of Computers with SSD Storage

Importance of Battery Life Extension from SSD Storage

Importance of Improved Durability from SSD Storage

Importance of Faster Boot Time from SSD Storage

Solid State Drive Forecast

Appendix: Survey Questions




List of Tables




Table 1. Flash-SSD/HDD Feature Comparison

Table 2. SSDs and HDDs Cost per Gigabyte

Table 3. Environmental Specifications for the Seagate Momentus 5400 Hard Drive Family

Table 4. Comparison of Silicon Systems SiliconDrive to a Typical 2.5? HHD

Table 5. Primary Purpose of Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 6. Used Space by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 7. Free Space by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 8. Total Space by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 9. Songs Stored in Mobile Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 10. Pictures Stored in Mobile Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 11. Minutes of Video Stored in Mobile Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Table 12. Ranking SSD Features

Table 13. Calculation of 50th Percentile (Units in Millions)

Table 14. Calculation of the Serviceable Available Market (Units in Millions)

Table 15. SSD Forecasts (Optimistic)-Units in Millions

Table 16. SSD Forecast (Expected)-Units in Millions

Table 17. SSD Forecast (Pessimistic)-Units in Millions




List of Figures




Figure 1. Shipped SSD Mobile Computers (Units in Millions)

Figure 2. Average Power Consumption for Mobile Computers

Figure 3. Respondents' Age

Figure 4. Respondents' Household Income

Figure 5. Respondents' Occupation

Figure 6. Organization's Primary Line of Business

Figure 7. Computer Form Factor

Figure 8. Type of Operating System Installed on Respondents Computers

Figure 9. Version of Windows Used by Respondents Who Employ a Microsoft OS

Figure 10. Primary Purpose of Computer-Personal or Work

Figure 11. Primary Purpose of Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 12. Computer Purchase Time (Age)

Figure 13. Respondents' Amount of Used Hard Drive Space

Figure 14. Used Space by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 15. Respondents' Free Hard Drive Space

Figure 16. Free Space by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 17. Respondents' Total Hard Drive Space

Figure 18. Total Space by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 19. Songs Stored in Respondents' Mobile Computers

Figure 20. Songs Stored in Mobile Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 21. Number of Pictures Stored in Respondents' Mobile Computers

Figure 22. Pictures Stored in Mobile Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 23. Minutes of Video Stored in Respondents' Mobile Computers

Figure 24. Minutes of Video Stored in Mobile Computer by Hard Drive Utilization

Figure 25. Willingness to Pay Extra for Computer with SSD Storage

Figure 26. Added Value of Mobile Computers with SSD Storage

Figure 27. Importance of SSD Storage on Mobile Computers: Battery Life Extension

Figure 28. Importance of SSD Storage on Mobile Computers: Improved Durability

Figure 29. Importance of SSD Storage on Mobile Computers: Faster Boot Time

Figure 30. Calculations

Figure 31. Adoption Curve

Figure 32. Shipped SSD Mobile Computers, Forecast (Optimistic, Expected, Pessimistic)-Units in Millions

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