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Cable Modem Market in China: High Growth, Low Volume

Product Type: Market Research Report
Published by: In-Stat
Published: January 2008
Product Code: R97-3052
Description
Cable modem service is an important part of the triple-play strategy set out by Chinese cable operators. In addition, broadband data service is viewed as an important revenue booster and competition counter-measure against telecom operators' invasion into video service. However, as digital cable conversion has had most of the resources available to cable operators tied up, CMTS deployment and cable modem service are currently only available in a handful of locations. In-Stat believes that cable modem service will become a long-term revenue driver for most cable operators, but that large-scale deployment is still two or three years away.

The cable broadband access market in China is growing at a steady pace. In-Stat estimates that there were 2.69 million cable broadband subscribers in 2007. This number will grow to 8.16 million by the end of 2012, a CAGR of 24.9%. However, cable broadband’s share of the entire broadband access market will remain moderate at around 6% throughout the five-year forecast period.

In-Stat believes that, compared to the rest of the broadband access market, penetration for the cable modem market will remain moderate. Its market share will grow from 4% in 2007 to 6% in 2012. We also forecast that xDSL technology will still dominate the market in 2012.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary

Methodology

Market Overview

Market Landscape

Broadband Access Technologies

Internet Service Value China

Backbone Suppliers

Access Suppliers

Equipment Vendors

Market Trends

Market Drivers

High Demand for Broadband Services

Cable Operators Offer Lower Prices

Bi-Directional Cable Networks Being Deployed

Consumer Unhappiness with Current Services

Market Barriers

Lack of Backbone Resources

Cable Operator Resources Prioritized to Digital TV Whole System Shift

Strong Competition from Telecommunication Companies

Low Consumer Awareness

Market Forecasts

Cable Modem Subscriber Forecasts

Cable Modem-Related Forecasts

CMTS-Related Forecasts

Related In-Stat Reports

List of Figures

Figure 1. Broadband Subscriber Forecast, 2007-2012 (Units in Thousands)

Figure 2. Cable Broadband Covered Household Forecast, 2007-2012 (Units in Thousands)

Figure 3. Cable Modem Shipment Forecast, 2007-2012 (Units in Thousands)

Figure 4. Market Share of Access Technologies

Figure 5. Internet Service Value Chain

Figure 6. Market Share of Backbone Suppliers

Figure 7. Cable Modem Distribution Model

Figure 8. Broadband Subscriber Forecast, by Access Technology, 2007-2012 (in Thousands)

Figure 9. Cable Modem Subscriber Forecast, 2007-2012 (in Thousands)

Figure 10. Cable Broadband Service Revenue Forecast, 2007-2012 (US$ Millions)

Figure 11. Cable Modem Shipment Forecast, 2007-2012 (in Thousands)

Figure 12. Cable Modem Revenue Forecast, 2007-2012 (US$ Millions)

Figure 13. Cable Broadband Covered Household Forecast, 2007-2012 (in Thousands)

Figure 14. CMTS Shipment Forecast, 2007-2012 (Tbits/s Bandwidth)

Figure 15. CMTS Revenue Forecast, 2007-2012 (US$ Millions)

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